I forgot to look in the right place for these prediction competitions before the deadline so missed the boat. But I can see why the overall picture is optimistic from most people as we come on here as we support gb players so want them to do well. We remember players best matches and hope they can reach those levels more consistently. If we think someone has a weakness we hope they can improve it, and this can sometimes move someone's ranking up significantly, especially when young. However, I do also feel reticent about making predictions, I didn't enter last year either, as I often feel quite pessimistic about some players and feel it is rude to predict too low! I can also see why the comment earlier about Emma's ranking for end of 22 is difficult to predict is true. If she doesn't start the year well and doesn't get far in the grand slams in 2022 she could go right down. Having said that the way she played in the us she should have enough opportunities to stay between 50 to 100 anyway. Also, I have very little idea how all the points dropping from 2019 and 2020 will affect various players through the year, surely this year is harder than normal to make predictions?

Lambda wrote:

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Coup Droit wrote:

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Interesting that only five are 'pessimistic'.


Five out of twenty-nine.


Natural optimism?

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I'm one of those that is 'pessimistic', although only just. But I didn't base my selection on the current rankings, but rather mostly on 2021 performance. I suspect when compared against a normal ranking system my selection would be optimistic. We know Heather is significantly over-ranked on the official ranks thanks to her early 2020 success and some tournament wins in 2019 ITFs. My selection also includes Jodie being lower ranked than her current rank, when I suspect on a normal ranking system she would currently be ranked lower than my prediction for end of 2022 - in other words I'm predicting she is going to better in 2022 than she did in 2021. That might sound odd given her current ranking but I'm baffled at how Jodie is so highly ranked and been reaching career highs recently when she did no better in 2021 than she did in 2019.

Points from best 16 counters in each year

Name	2019		2020		2021
Emma Raducanu	124	*	30	*	2507	*
Heather Watson	662		543	*	406
Harriet Dart	432		193	*	466
Katie Boulter	169	*	81	*	413
Fran Jones	138		146	*	391
Jodie Burrage	200		102	*	202
Katie Swan	247		16	*	201	*
Sam Murray Sharan	275		85	*	71	*
Sarah Beth Grey	39		13	*	183
Naiktha Bains	295		15	*	127

* Fewer than 16 tournaments played

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 I think there are reasons, particular to Jodie, why she had been maintaining, indeed improving, her ranking without seeimngly doing much of great note of late.

Most particularly she has not dropped any counting points since May when she dropped 25 points ( 1/2 of May 2019 25K title points) .In 2019 she was out injured for 3 months from June to September and didn't do much at all on her return that year. So no second half of 2019 counting points to drop. Also no WTA tournament  counting points in 2020 and no reduction to her ITF tournament points. So everything she has added since May this year ( 101 counting points including 40 in Septembet for a 25K RU ) has increased her counting points tally.

Overall her current 323 points are made up of ;

2019 : 56 ( 3 ITF tournament 50% points )

2020 : 85 ( 5 ITF tournament 100% points )

2021 :  182 ( 8 tournaments )

The difference for Harriet is that I was (or rather the WTA website is) missing off Chicago 500 qualifying points. The annoying thing is I used those OER race to cross-check, but clearly not for Harriet.

And here is the current points table. Strongbow in the lead here as well as in the mens.

Was there a Ms Average score in the womens table ?

the addict wrote:

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I'll have a look at your points later JonH.

Mr Average got missed off so I will check the link for next time - remains constant on 46 points.

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 No worries - I just wasnt expecting any points increase as most of my guessses are still miles off!