2022 Women's Ranking Prediction Competition

the addict · Tennis legend

2022 Women's Ranking Prediction Competition

Andy Parker · Club Coach

1. Emma 22
2. Katie B 50
3. Heather 108
4. Harriet 120
5. Fran 122
6. Katie S 145
7. Jodie B 165
8. Matilda 220
9. Naiktha 275
10 Sarah Beth 320

Reserve: Sam Murray 300

-- Edited by Andy Parker on Friday 31st of December 2021 11:10:16 PM

brittak · Satellite level

Sorry TA - just realised I have listed my entry slightly incorrectly. I have edited it to show Heather as 153 instead of 156 which keeps the order as i have listed retaining Swan as 154. Hope that makes sense - apologies.

-- Edited by brittak on Saturday 1st of January 2022 09:03:27 AM

-- Edited by brittak on Saturday 1st of January 2022 09:05:20 AM

the addict · Tennis legend

Entries now closed. Just 25 entered this year, surprisingly low considering the number of visitors to this site (over 1100 in the last 24 hours)

Coup Droit · Tennis legend

I'm sure some people don't enter so they can't be proved 'wrong' later on when they say that knew so-and-so was going to have a good year, or whatever.... wink

kundalini · Specialist Reporter + Intermediate Club Player

the addict wrote:
Entries now closed. Just 25 entered this year, surprisingly low considering the number of visitors to this site (over 1100 in the last 24 hours)

By my count it's 27. Indeed, if you go back a few posts, you mentioned 24 with 6 hours to go, since then 3 more entered.

the addict · Tennis legend

You are right, it is 27. I discounted two for AsYou Were and Mr Average when they hadn't been calculated yet.

So 27 entries plus my two dummy marker accounts.

I'll post the full list once I have gone back and checked the entries.

indiana · Tennis legend

Interesting to see all the final predictions ( though yes pity not a few more ).

Emma is GB # 1 with everyone with a range from WR 8 to WR 55 and a median in the 20s. 12 of our 27 predicted from WR 21 to WR 30. I am a little surprised no-one went really out on a limb with a lower ranking, thinking it might all be pretty tough in this follow-up season. I went for WR 12 so fairly confident. myself.

There is then a general feeling of a number of lock ins for the top 10, with 25/27 going for the same top 7, ie the current top 7, albeit in different orders, though it certainly, as CD said, seems difficult to settle on an actual order.with some looking possibly very close. 6 of these 7 were picked by everyone for their top 10.

Matilda and Beth were also picked by 25/27 and 23/27 respectively so the most variety in the top 10s was the final name. Sonay has most with 15/27, fairly well clear of Naiktha with 7 and Sam with 5.

JonH comes home · Tennis legend

Interesting 27 are taking part in the womens and only 20 in mens.

GAMEOVER · Satellite level

indiana wrote:
Interesting to see all the final predictions ( though yes pity not a few more ).

Emma is GB # 1 with everyone with a range from WR 8 to WR 55 and a median in the 20s. 12 of our 27 predicted from WR 21 to WR 30. I am a little surprised no-one went really out on a limb with a lower ranking, thinking it might all be pretty tough in this follow-up season. I went for WR 12 so fairly confident. myself.

There is then a general feeling of a number of lock ins for the top 10, with 25/27 going for the same top 7, ie the current top 7, albeit in different orders, though it certainly, as CD said, seems difficult to settle on an actual order.with some looking possibly very close. 6 of these 7 were picked by everyone for their top 10.

Matilda and Beth were also picked by 25/27 and 23/27 respectively so the most variety in the top 10s was the final name. Sonay has most with 15/27, fairly well clear of Naiktha with 7 and Sam with 5.

I felt. Emma could be anywhere between 1 and 100. If she repeats her Grand Slam successes of 2021 she will have a high ranking. On the other hand if she has a run of 1St round defeats including Grand Slams then her ranking will fall heavily.In the end I settled for a high ranking as no one would comment on that but a ranking of 100 would attract comments.

SuperT · Futures qualifying

Thanks for the analysis Indi. It confirms my feelings that the top 7 picked themselves - it was just a case deciding on the order and EOY rankings. There always seemed to be a very limited field from which to choose the remaining 3 as evidenced by the consistence of the picks. I felt the men's field was far more open and therefore more difficult.

indiana · Tennis legend

GAMEOVER wrote:
indiana wrote:
Interesting to see all the final predictions ( though yes pity not a few more ).

Emma is GB # 1 with everyone with a range from WR 8 to WR 55 and a median in the 20s. 12 of our 27 predicted from WR 21 to WR 30. I am a little surprised no-one went really out on a limb with a lower ranking, thinking it might all be pretty tough in this follow-up season. I went for WR 12 so fairly confident. myself.

There is then a general feeling of a number of lock ins for the top 10, with 25/27 going for the same top 7, ie the current top 7, albeit in different orders, though it certainly, as CD said, seems difficult to settle on an actual order.with some looking possibly very close. 6 of these 7 were picked by everyone for their top 10.

Matilda and Beth were also picked by 25/27 and 23/27 respectively so the most variety in the top 10s was the final name. Sonay has most with 15/27, fairly well clear of Naiktha with 7 and Sam with 5.
I felt. Emma could be anywhere between 1 and 100. If she repeats her Grand Slam successes of 2021 she will have a high ranking. On the other hand if she has a run of 1St round defeats including Grand Slams then her ranking will fall heavily.In the end I settled for a high ranking as no one would comment on that but a ranking of 100 would attract comments.

Strange reason for a choice. Sorry for that attracting my comment

Lambda · Challenger level

JonH comes home wrote:

GAMEOVER wrote:
JonH comes home wrote:
Wanting to support our old friend TA, this is one of the best things annually on this board.
Not put much thought into this, but here we go!
1. Emma R - 55
2. Harriet D - 90
3. Fran J - 95
4. Katie B - 120
5. Matilda M - 130
6. Katie S - 150
7. Jodie B - 175
8. Heather W - 200
9. Beth G - 250
10. Sam M-S - 300
No Reserve
Jon
You don't seem to have much faith in Heather. Are you anticipating she is going to add more losses to her consecutive losses currently running at 6? If somehow or other she could manage to win another singles title on the WTA tour that would make 5 , one more than Jo managed. There's always potentially Nottingham for our players.
noting I came bottom this year and so my predictions are pretty poor, and I hope I am wrong, I just think Heather will be on a spiral down now and dont see her picking up out of it - so yes, I think more losses I feel.
Maybe focus on doubles in years to come?

Going back to the Heather discussion a couple of pages back, of all our women Heather's official ranking is the one that has benefitted the most from the covid adjusted ranking system. Over half her points are from pre Covid with most of those due to drop in the next 3 months. Right now, she would be GB#4 on a normal 52 week ranking below Harriet and KB and just ahead of Fran. As those 2020 points drop in the first 3 months she is going to fall down the rankings very quickly unless she has a very good start to the year. By the time the home grass season comes around and her ranking is more reflective of a true 52 week ranking she may be out of contention for those lucrative WTA main draw wild cards behind Harriet, KB and Fran.

indiana · Tennis legend

Heather has been fairly consistently inconsistent for a while. Come year end I've a feeling she will still have managed two or three quite big points weeks to help retain a decent ranking.

indiana · Tennis legend

For some reason I had a sense that Harriet was going to have a difficult year. In the end she was probably the one opayer I most moved up from my initial thoughts just to end with a WR 146 prrdiction.

Will now be interesting to see the effect of the overhaul in her coaching set-up. That hopefully will work out well for her.