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Post Info TOPIC: 2019 female prediction rankings
Sim


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RE: 2019 female prediction rankings


christ wrote:

... only six of us have got more points in June than in April!


 Yes but need to take into account Naitktha Bains into GB top 10 so everyone now has an effective max score of 90 rather than 100



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Sim wrote:
christ wrote:

... only six of us have got more points in June than in April!


 Yes but need to take into account Naitktha Bains into GB top 10 so everyone now has an effective max score of 90 rather than 100


You can still score a full 50 points for very close WR predictions. That part is unaffected. So can theoretically get to 95.



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Sim wrote:
christ wrote:

... only six of us have got more points in June than in April!


 Yes but need to take into account Naitktha Bains into GB top 10 so everyone now has an effective max score of 90 rather than 100


 I can see no way of taking it into account, and as it affected everyone the same it doesn't seem necessary. Surely without the Bains effect there would likely have been more folk with more points, but that doesn't change the facts as they stand.

indiana wrote:
You can still score a full 50 points for very close WR predictions. That part is unaffected. So can theoretically get to 95.

 

 ... and Ms Bains could drop out of the top 10 to restore the full 100.



-- Edited by christ on Thursday 13th of June 2019 12:25:12 PM

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It would probably need the full top 10 to drop out and be replaced by another set of 10 for me to stand any chance now

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JonH


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JonH wrote:

It would probably need the full top 10 to drop out and be replaced by another set of 10 for me to stand any chance now


 ... and yet you are still several points ahead of me!



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Tennis legend

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Anyone seen anything of Sim ? Probably time for an intermediate table, before the raning system changes yet again !

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the addict wrote:

Anyone seen anything of Sim ? Probably time for an intermediate table, before the raning system changes yet again !


Maybe, but let it have its 05/08 change first 

I was kind of assuming that the next update was planned for after the US Open. 



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Yes, usually it's every quarter. Otherwise poor Sim might get a bit OD-ed....

And it would probably make more sense to do it after the new changes have settled in, given those will be the new (i.e. old) format of rankings for the year-end: not much point really doing one with the weird system that's about to be abolished.

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AH, OK - I was thinking that we had an update after Wimbledon. No worries.

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Sim


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Apologies I was going to update after Wimbledon so this is a bit late.....

Here are the latest standings with points as of this week with Babfive having knocked Status Quo of the lead and has  a seven point lead over Ace Ventura and brendan in joint second.

Still all to play for

Points Table 
  
Babfive57
Ace Ventura50
brendan50
SuperT48
paulsi47
Miriambee46
Status Quo46
JonH45
indiana45
flamingowings45
kundalini44
Barefoot44
Michael D44
scottie144
Oakland44
adz198343
Steve J43
M Turner0443
Coup Droit43
RedSquirrel43
JayFayFulham42
nickw81141
brittak41
The Traveller241
telstar39
hoots39
Helen4039
Tennpar39
Jon39
ROSAMUND38
Mervatron238
Grachka38
Peter too37
the addict37
Andy Parker37
Strongbow36
Bruce35
Canda34
christ33
Jaffa33
Deano1332
LordBrownof31
vohor31
Ian131430
Bolt28
Jaggy187624
 
  

 

 

Full tables are here: http://www.britishtennis.net/predictions/2019%20Female%20Ranking%20predictions.htm

 



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I was going to suggest I had a chance, but the gap from first to second is massive.

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There's plenty of time for changes. I think I will just try to enjoy my lead while it lasts.



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Just need a little more lift from Mandy C now... Gabi wouldn't go amiss either, hard to imagine her year would be as awful as it has been so far.

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Sim wrote:

Edited with the hidden rows now in and also the stats corrected for the final 3 entries!

Few more stats from the entries.

You are an optimistic lot predicting rises in ranking for everyone apart from Hev who is only predicted to slip 2 places.

The stats for players with only a few picks can be misleading as the people who didn't pick them probably has them at a lower ranking

Amanda Carreras has a dummy ranking of 999

The highest ranked player not to be picked by anyone is Alicia Barnett at GB 13

 PicksTotalAverageHighLow Actual+/-
         
Jo Konta45110224790 3713
Heather Watson4544569948150 91-8
Katie Boulter4533067346112 9724
Harriet Dart45457910270160 14947
Katie Swan45530311886170 17658
Gabriella Taylor45707715775257 18730
Naomi Broady306384213134340 25037
Katy Dunne379205249164330 26011
Maia Lumsden328340261180324 30746
Jodie Barrage102919292145357 436144
Sarah Beth Grey1400400400400 44141
Eden Silva2720360350370 460100
Francesca Jones298439291190370 476185
Laura Robson143184227125360 493266
Sam Murray1366366366366 568202
Emma Raducanu184899272150350 624352
Amanda Carreras61677280200320 999720
 
  

 





It's obviously just a bit of fun, with some purposely going in more optimistically, or tactically, in some cases, but it's not just Gabi who is having a much poorer year then many expected (everyone picked her in their top 10, and she was referred to earlier as being included in the those that pick themselves category), but there's a number of players currently 100+ places of their average, not highest, rank, which isn't great. Katie Bs couldn't be helped as she's not picked up one point for about 6 months through injury, but it's collectively been a pretty poor year for most of that top 8, unfortunately our higher end players, pretty much Konta aside.

 

 

 



-- Edited by Ace Ventura on Friday 9th of August 2019 01:24:26 AM

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I think the stats are misleading naturally.....

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