Monte Carlo Pick 'Em. Scores and Analysis

steven · Tennis legend

RE: Monte Carlo Pick 'Em. Scores and Analysis

steven · Tennis legend

23	Drew	BT	10	30	53.6%
23	Josh	BT	12	30	53.6%
23	cazza99	AM	14	30	53.6%
23	Sheddie	BT	14	30	53.6%
23	Seagull	BT	14	30	53.6%
23	Aria81	BT	14	30	53.6%
23	ForeverDelayed	BT	14	30	53.6%
23	Spraggz	AM	16	30	53.6%
31	Jambondusoleil	AM	12	29	51.8%
31	Shaun7879	AM	12	29	51.8%
31	Sound (Lewis)	AM	12	29	51.8%
34	AllyB	AM	10	28	50.0%
34	Vamos08	AM	12	28	50.0%
34	Dusty Dick	BT	14	28	50.0%
37	Johnnylad	BT	10	27	48.2%
37	steven	BT	12	27	48.2%
37	John	BT	12	27	48.2%
40	Imoen	BT	10	26	46.4%
41	Mkkreuk	BT	10	24	42.9%
-	King Kong (#)	-	7.5	22	39.3%
42	Donna	AM	6	22	39.3%

8 AMs in the top 9. Gulp! ashamed

Top scorer today was new joint leader english-boy (AM) with 9 correct, he also top scored for the whole of R2, with 11 correct, i.e. 22 points. Everyone else except poor Donna (AM, 3 right) got 5 or more out of 12 today and 7/16 or more in total for R2.

Highest climber today was spraggz (AM), up from 40= to 23= after being the only person not in the top half after R1 to more than 7 matches correct today - he/she must not have lost too many players in R1 whom he/she had picked to win R2 as well.

Fallers of the day were Drew (BT), down from 4= to 23= cry , AllyB (AM) down from 16= to 34= cry and Johnnylad (BT) down from 22= to 37= cry - they all got 5 right today. Luckily (?) for me, I couldn't fall much further! ashamed

aria81 · Club Coach

This tournament has been weird. Undertaker losing on clay to Soderling - what the hell happened there? Gonzo is still suffering from his post AO slump, Fat Dave and Safin did what they seem to do best now and Max Mirnyi is winning singles matches on a clay court...

Strange tournament.

steven · Tennis legend

aria81 wrote:

This tournament has been weird. Undertaker losing on clay to Soderling - what the hell happened there? Gonzo is still suffering from his post AO slump, Fat Dave and Safin did what they seem to do best now and Max Mirnyi is winning singles matches on a clay court...

Strange tournament.

I know. All the most intelligent pickers are at the bottom (*COUGH*), it's just the players who have turned stupid! furious

Goodness knows why I spent time looking at clay court form before making my picks, that's for sure. cry

steven · Tennis legend

Detailed results as at the end of R2:

http://www.britishtennis.net/2007mc.htm

L16 MATCHES

Fed-HT Lee

Nobody went for HT - everyone went for Fed except murraymaniac (AM), who went for Moya.

0.17 swing to BT if Fed wins, 0 swing if Lee wins

Ferrer-Djokovic

14 BTs and 21 AMs went for Djokovic, 4 BTs (Josh, seagull, Johnnylad & mkkreuk) and 1 AM went for Ferrer, 2 AMs (sound & AllyB) went for Gaudio.

0.72 swing to BT if Ferrer wins, 0.39 swing to AM if Djoko wins.

Andreev-Ferrero

3 BTs (sheddie, Wallace & Dusty) and 3 AMs (silk, R Morris & Shaun) went for Ferrero, nobody went for Andreev. The rest were split 11 BTs & 21 AMs for Gonzo, 3 BTs for Acasuso and 1 BT (John) for Henman, having expected Tigger to meet Andy in the Final. Awww ...

0.17 swing to BT if Ferrero wins, 0 swing if Andreev wins.

Gasquet-Ljubicic

This is the BIG match on Thursday as far as the team competition is concerned.

14 BTs & 12 AMs went for Gasquet, 3 BTs and 10 AMs went for Ljubo (sorry, this is the one case where I won't list the minority pickers individually!), 1 BT went for Monfils, 1 AM for Count Duckula-Hingis and 1 AM for Hrbaty.

1.11 swing to BT if Gasquet wins, 1.00 swing to AM if Ljubo wins.

Robredo-Berdych

Another match with more than 1 point of potential swing from one extreme to the other.

17 BTs & 18 AMs went for Robredo, 0 BTs & 4 AMs (Chrissi, Kels, R Hulse & Speedy) went for Berdych, so Berdych could once again do BT some damage. 1 BT (Drew) & 1 AM (Vamos) went for Almagro, 1 AM (Donna) went for ToJo.

0.78 swing to BT if Robredo wins, 0.67 swing to AM if Berdych wins.

Mirnyi-Soderling

1 BT (Guy) & 4 AMs (R Hulse, C Morris, R Morris & cazza) went for Soderling, nobody went for Mirnyi. Of the rest, 14 BTs & 14 AMs went for the Undertaker, 2 BTs & 6 AMs for Baggy and 1 BT for Melzer.

0.45 swing to AM if Soderling wins, 0 swing if Mirnyi wins.

Andy/Garcia-Lopez v Kohlschreiber

15 BTs and all 24 AMs went for Garcia-Murray, nobody went for Kohlschreiber. The other 3 BTs (CountZero, ForeverDelayed & JohnnyLad) went for big Dave.

0.67 swing to AM if Murray-Lopez wins, 0 swing if Kohli wins.

Vliegen-Nadal

Nobody went for Vliegen - everyone went for Rafa except Sound (AM), who went for Mathieu.

0.17 swing to BT if Rafa wins.

Best case scenario for BT

If Fed, Ferrer, Ferrero, Gasquet, Robredo, Mirnyi, Kohlschreiber & Rafa all win, BT would end the day 0.92 points per player ahead.

Best case scenario for AM

If Lee, Djokovic, Andreev, Ljubicic, Berdych, Soderling, Garcia-Lopez & Vliegen all win, AM would end the day 5.36 points per player ahead.

steven · Tennis legend

Things are getting a bit desperate for us this morning, with only Guy scoring any points for us (4) and 32 points scored for AM.com in the first two matches. That was thanks to Soderling winning again and Robredo capitulating against Berdych having won the 1st set 6-1.

Not sure who I'm more annoyed with - Robredo for not pressing home his advantage or Berdych for losing every time I pick him, wwaiting until I finally give up on him then starting to win all the time. furious

AndyMurray.com lead BritishTennis.net by an average of 33.25-29.94 points per team member after 42 matches.

Players still on 50% or more:

POS.	PLAYER	TEAM	TODAY	TOTAL	%

1	Robert Hulse	AM	8	43	67.2%
2	Chrissi	AM	4	41	64.1%
3	Kels	AM	4	40	62.5%
4	Guy	BT	4	38	59.4%
5	english-boy	AM	0	37	57.8%
5	Claire Morris	AM	4	37	57.8%
7	Xenon21	AM	0	36	56.3%
7	Rochelle	BT	0	36	56.3%
7	Speedy Hawk	AM	4	36	56.3%
10	silk	AM	0	35	54.7%
10	Vimto	AM	0	35	54.7%
-	*Roberta ()**	-	0	35	54.7%
10	Allan	AM	0	35	54.7%
10	Richard Morris	AM	4	35	54.7%
14	Granny	AM	0	34	53.1%
14	cazza99	AM	4	34	53.1%
16	Goldfish	BT	0	33	51.6%
17	Fiona Lamb	AM	0	32	50.0%

GC77 · County player

Steven, where was the update after the 1st match of the day (Soderling) - I'd stormed into the lead for the first (and most likely only) time!!

Edit - grrr, i would only have been 2nd, i needed Robredo to win to take the top spot

-- Edited by GC77 at 12:11, 2007-04-19

Sheddie · administrator

grrrr....how are we getting smashed so bad

Good job (in a way) that Andy had to withdraw otherwise this could have been humiliating

steven · Tennis legend

GC77 wrote:
Steven, where was the update after the 1st match of the day (Soderling) - I'd stormed into the lead for the first (and most likely only) time!!

If there had been a BT in the lead, there's no way I wouldn't have posted it here. wink

GC77 · County player

Steven, any idea which AM went for Ferrer?

steven · Tennis legend

Sheddie wrote:
grrrr....how are we getting smashed so bad

Very simple - the majority of our entrants made an allowance for the surface, the majority of theirs didn't. Then Karlovic won in Houston, it turned out that the Monte Carlo clay is playing faster than Wimbledon this year (well, almost!) and the whole world's gone bananas! doh

I mean Soderling v Mirnyi in the L16, Berdych finally winning some matches, HT Lee in the L16, Garcia-Lopez v Kohlschreiber in the last 16 - I ask you!! furious

There have also been four retirements during matches, all of which helped them if I remember right. (they were all my picks anyway!)

steven · Tennis legend

GC77 wrote:
Steven, any idea which AM went for Ferrer?

Silk. Sorry I didn't include that snippet of info in the preview.

Edit: just looked and the table and realised that was the answer you probably wanted the least. cry

-- Edited by steven at 12:31, 2007-04-19

GC77 · County player

Thanks Steven, think i need Soderling to reach the semis and Nadal to win the tournament to have a chance of winning overall - too many of the big names are still in. Unless of course someone like Andreev (who was awesome in the 3rd set against Gonzo yesterday) comes through to win the tournament.

steven · Tennis legend

We've closed the gap a little - tiny swing from Fed's win, bigger swing from Ferrer's win (though only 4 of us went for him to beat Djokovic and I wasn't one of them) ...

AndyMurray.com lead BritishTennis.net by an average of 37.25-34.83 points per team member after 44 matches.

Top 19:

POS.	PLAYER	TEAM	TODAY	TOTAL	%

1	Robert Hulse	AM	12	47	65.3%
2	Chrissi	AM	8	45	62.5%
3	Kels	AM	8	44	61.1%
4	silk	AM	8	43	59.7%
5	Guy	BT	8	42	58.3%
6	english-boy	AM	4	41	56.9%
6	Claire Morris	AM	8	41	56.9%
8	Xenon21	AM	4	40	55.6%
8	Rochelle	BT	4	40	55.6%
8	Speedy Hawk	AM	8	40	55.6%
11	Vimto	AM	4	39	54.2%
-	*Roberta ()**	-	4	39	54.2%
11	Allan	AM	4	39	54.2%
11	Richard Morris	AM	8	39	54.2%
14	Granny	AM	4	38	52.8%
14	cazza99	AM	8	38	52.8%
14	Josh	BT	8	38	52.8%
14	Seagull	BT	8	38	52.8%
18	Goldfish	BT	4	37	51.4%
19	Fiona Lamb	AM	4	36	50.0%

johnnylad · Tennis legend

I think I had Ferrer to beat Nole? Am i right?