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Post Info TOPIC: Weeks 26 and 27 - The Championships, Wimbledon (grass) - men's singles
Helen40


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RE: Weeks 26 and 27 - The Championships, Wimbledon (grass) - men's singles
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wales1994 wrote:

First time I've seen Ali Gray play, he has some weapons! He has hit some impressive shots, that OH backhand has produced some lovely winners. I would say he maybe isn't a natural tactician and did let his opponent back in it for part of the 2nd set. His opponent doesn't seem all too comfortable on grass either.

 I hadn't even heard of him, but I'm very impressed. I was wondering why the pre match odds were so even and now I know. Has anyone got a bit more background to his story please?

 



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JonH comes home


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Helen40 wrote:
wales1994 wrote:

First time I've seen Ali Gray play, he has some weapons! He has hit some impressive shots, that OH backhand has produced some lovely winners. I would say he maybe isn't a natural tactician and did let his opponent back in it for part of the 2nd set. His opponent doesn't seem all too comfortable on grass either.

 I hadn't even heard of him, but I'm very impressed. I was wondering why the pre match odds were so even and now I know. Has anyone got a bit more background to his story please?

 

 Hes been having a great season and going up the rankings well. Had been at college in US until recently, but has been dominating at the ITF level on the GB events this season.



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JonH comes home


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Liam has come back to one set all, go Liam

Ali close to end of third set, lets see it over the line

Dan outplayed in opening set, oh heck

Rafa possibly going two sets all. Wow. Bottom half could be wide open if he and Berrettini both go out on the same day (for different reasons!)

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Aberdaberdonian


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Well done Ali!!!

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Stircrazy


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Stircrazy wrote:
Stircrazy wrote:

L128:  (WC) Ryan Peniston WR 135 (= CH  smile ) defeated Henri Laaksonen (SUI) WR 96 by 4, 3 & 2   ban-woohoo.gif

*****

L64:  (WC) Ryan Peniston WR 135 vs Steve Johnson (USA) WR 93 (CH = 21 in July 2016)

L128:  Jack Draper WR 94 defeated (WC) Zizou Bergs (BEL) WR 146 by 6-4 6-4 7-6(4)  biggrin

*****

L64:  (19) Alex de Miñaur (AUS) WR 27 (CH = 15 last June) vs Jack Draper WR 94

L128:  (WC) Alastair Gray WR 288 defeated Tseng Chun-hsin (TPE) WR 95 by 6-3 6-3 7-6(3)   biggrin 



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JonH comes home


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Ali G!

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Helen40


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JonH comes home wrote:
Helen40 wrote:
wales1994 wrote:

First time I've seen Ali Gray play, he has some weapons! He has hit some impressive shots, that OH backhand has produced some lovely winners. I would say he maybe isn't a natural tactician and did let his opponent back in it for part of the 2nd set. His opponent doesn't seem all too comfortable on grass either.

 I hadn't even heard of him, but I'm very impressed. I was wondering why the pre match odds were so even and now I know. Has anyone got a bit more background to his story please?

 

 Hes been having a great season and going up the rankings well. Had been at college in US until recently, but has been dominating at the ITF level on the GB events this season.

 Thanks, great win. I saw him get a bit nervous at 6-3, but he held it together.



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Jan


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Fab Ali!!!!!

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Coup Droit


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What a win and at what a moment

SO pleased for Ali G

He bottled the match I watched a week or so ago and I felt really badly for him - it must have been going through his mind - but he held strong

Haven't the lads done well so far????

Jay's result was definitely very disappointing - but his game doesn't really suit grass

But Ryan P, and Jack, and Ali - it's just brilliant

(And allez Liam ! And Evo - switch the 'on' button !)



-- Edited by Coup Droit on Tuesday 28th of June 2022 05:54:59 PM

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JonH comes home


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steven wrote:
JonH comes home wrote:

TA forecast that Djoko will take the title over Berretini.

In terms of Brits:

Andy, Cam, Ryan, Dan are forecast to win their opening matches - so, 4 wins like the women's side. The percentages suggest 4.6 wins in fact, could argue that is closer to 5!

Dan is rated as the most likely winner with 0.8% chance, Andy is 0.7% and Cam is 0.6%

Andy and Cam are both forecast for the last 16 ,Dan for the last 32. So that would give us 9 wins overall in the mens singles, added to 4 in the womens - 13 overall.

I suspect many of us think there is more chance of wins than TA is forecasting, sorry Jeff, I hope you are proven wrong!!!

Bookies' odds were a fair bit more optimistic when I checked them on Sunday afternoon. Implied R1 win probabilities as follows:

94% Cameron
79% Andy
76% Dan
76% Ryan
73% Jack
62% Liam
53% Jay
47% Alastair
11% Paul

Seven favourites (ok, six clear favourites, two too close to call) and only one little-to-no-hoper, though if Paul could pull off the win against Kyrgios, it would probably make me happier than any other win!

Expected value 5.7 - the expected value will usually be below the number of favourites if a clear majority are favourites to win.

So the expected number of R1 winners altogether (men and women) is 9.9, which still seems too 'out there' to be plausible but, should the number in R2 get into double figures, it would have me going back into the 20th century to find the last time it happened - unsurprising given the highest number of Brits in the singles main draws since 2001 and possibly the kindest set of R1 draws in living memory.

 At 7 so far with Liam, Dan, Harriet and Katie B playing or still to play. Feels like it could be a stretch to get to 9.9 (i.e 10) but 8 or 9 will hopefully be possible



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JonH comes home


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Liam up 2 sets to 1 now. Good lad.

Evo not going well. Not watching as out and about - whats happening to Dan?

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Vandenburg


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This is the slowest I have ever seen Wimbledon, total joke, it is basically green clay.

Look at Lopez and Evans today, their slices are non existent

The courts need speeding up.

Tennis surfaces are becoming too homogeneous

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Vandenburg


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Jan wrote:
GAMEOVER wrote:

Berrettini has pulled out after testing positive for Covid.

 Sorry to hear that.  I thought he had a real chance this year.

 No, he has not pulled out, he was made to pull out...

 

Why are we still testing for this common cold, complete joke. 



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Bob in Spain


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Nick Kygrios has apparently admitted spitting at someone in the crowd after his victory today.

He should be immediately thrown out of the tournament.

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Christine


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JonH comes home wrote:

Liam up 2 sets to 1 now. Good lad.

Evo not going well. Not watching as out and about - whats happening to Dan?

 Just being outplayed at the moment cry



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