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Post Info TOPIC: 2018 female prediction rankings


All-time great

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RE: 2018 female prediction rankings


indiana wrote:

Out of interest, I calculated an average from everyone for Laura and Tara if all the people that didn't put them in their top 10 ( 6 for Laura and 29 for Tara ) ranked them just one WR place below their #10 selection.

Results :

Laura overall then averages 210, as against her average from her 33 selectors of 189 and current ranking of WR 228.

Tara overall then averages 306, as against her average from her 10 selectors of 242 and current ranking 350.

So on that very conservative basis I can't prove that either's 'true' overall average would be lower than their current ranking. But certainly more towards it than my figures and much more towards it than the average from their selectors.


Yes, Tara's overall average especially, with 29 people not selecting her, would obviously be much lower. I only had her 18th on my prediction list at 462. I wonder in fact how much she will play this year. (I managed to predict 19 in the top 500 vs 12 that are there now biggrin)



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Sim


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First update of standings with some high scores.

Brittak takes the lead with a 4 point cushion over Jon in second and Status Quo in third.

As with the men tight at the bottom of the table as well 3 points covers the bottom 5.

I can't upload the complete tables at the moment, may have to wait until Steven comes back.

Current standings:

Points Table 
  
Brittak67
Jon63
Status Quo62
Jiwan61
Nix61
TheTraveller260
paulsi57
Peter too57
SuperT57
JonH56
Canda55
indiana54
cakj123453
cecil53
Coup Droit53
flamingowings53
Tennpar53
brendan52
christ51
theemptyvessel51
Long time reader50
Michael D50
scottie150
Bolt49
jb28849
Sim48
the addict48
Helen4047
Strongbow47
hoots45
wimdledont45
Grachka43
kundalini43
LordBrownof43
vohor41
Mervatron240
telstar40
Andy Parker38
Ian131438
Miriambee37
 
  


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Tennis legend

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Thanks Sim - some pretty high scores there. Early days though ..........

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Tennis legend

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Most folk will have selected our current top 9.

Just then though getting them in the right order and then these pesky world rankings.

Though in this year to date traditional optimism may have paid off a fair bit, with our women at least   



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Satellite level

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Wow some thing of beginners luck me thinks! May be I should be quitting whilst I am ahead...

Look forward to the next update.

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Futures level

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Mid-table obscurity will do for me!

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Sim


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Interesting times for the leading British women, and it will be intriguing to see how the predictions play out by the end of the year.

Here is an update following the French open. Brittak is still in the lead with same number of points as in April with Long time reader moving up into second., and TheTraveller2 into third place.

Helen40 has dropped to the bottom of the table, but a long way to go.

Points Table 
  
Brittak67
Long time reader64
TheTraveller262
Jiwan61
Nix61
Tennpar61
Jon58
scottie158
hoots56
JonH56
brendan55
Bolt52
cakj123452
Michael D52
jb28851
paulsi51
Canda50
cecil50
indiana50
christ49
Status Quo49
flamingowings48
Peter too48
SuperT48
kundalini47
Sim47
Strongbow47
the addict47
Mervatron246
Miriambee46
Ian131445
theemptyvessel44
wimdledont43
Andy Parker42
Grachka42
telstar42
vohor41
Coup Droit40
LordBrownof40
Helen4036
 


-- Edited by Sim on Tuesday 12th of June 2018 08:12:02 PM

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Tennis legend

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Interesting if you look at our highest 8 averaged ranked players in Sim's table on the previous page, then our current actual best 8 have a better overall average ranking just now than those season end predictions.

Shows how well our top 8, more particularly 4 to 8, have done to exceed our normal optimism. Indeed blob ( haste yea back ) was insisting we were still being far too optimistic this year.

9 & 10 are not so good but still.

Predictions - totals of best average ranked :

1-3 : 192
4-8 : 1007 ( so 1-8 : 1199 )
9-10 : 510
Total : 1709 ( overall average 170.9 )

Actual current post French Open rankings :

1-3 : 235
4-8 : 953 ( so 1-8 : 1188 )
9-10 : 759
Total : 1947 ( overall average 194.7 )

And that's just in June with those 4-8 girls having been very much on the up. May this be even more marked in a few months time.

And actually if you compare the same 5 girls ( Katie B, Gabi, Harriet, Katy D and Katie S ) the difference for them is already even more marked, given Laura rather than Harriet is part of the predictions 4-8 ).

Those 5 predicted total : 1086 ( average 217.2

Those 5 current total : 953 ( average 190.6 )



-- Edited by indiana on Tuesday 12th of June 2018 10:44:33 PM

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All-time great

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indiana wrote:

Interesting if you look at our highest 8 averaged ranked players in Sim's table on the previous page, then our current actual best 8 have a better overall average ranking just now than those season end predictions.

Shows how well our top 8, more particularly 4 to 8, have done to exceed our normal optimism. Indeed blob ( haste yea back ) was insisting we were still being far too optimistic this year.

9 & 10 are not so good but still.

Predictions - totals of best average ranked :

1-3 : 192
4-8 : 1007 ( so 1-8 : 1199 )
9-10 : 510
Total : 1709 ( overall average 170.9 )

Actual current post French Open rankings :

1-3 : 235
4-8 : 953 ( so 1-8 : 1188 )
9-10 : 759
Total : 1947 ( overall average 194.7 )

And that's just in June with those 4-8 girls having been very much on the up. May this be even more marked in a few months time.

And actually if you compare the same 5 girls ( Katie B, Gabi, Harriet, Katy D and Katie S ) the difference for them is already even more marked, given Laura rather than Harriet is part of the predictions 4-8 ).

Those 5 predicted total : 1086 ( average 217.2

Those 5 current total : 953 ( average 190.6 )



-- Edited by indiana on Tuesday 12th of June 2018 10:44:33 PM


 Hi Indi - where you bored??! JK!!

 

PS the World Cup starts later this week, you can cheer Scotland on to aleviate the long summer nights!

 

PS I am only kidding - I actually liked the analysis!



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JonH


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My Tunisian flag is already in place - JK

4 weeks of fitba to alleviate this tennis stuff.



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Grand Slam Champion

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Hi sim, have you got a link to the tables. I want to see what on earth I've done with my predictions to be so far out.

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All-time great

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Helen40 wrote:

1. JoKo - 8
2. Hev - 80
3. Laura R - 180
4. Naomi B - 181
5. Katie B - 220
6. Katie S - 250
7. Gabi T - 270
8. Katy D - 271

9. Harriet - 280

10. Freya C - 330



-- Edited by Helen40 on Sunday 31st of December 2017 01:52:59 PM


 Hi Helen - these where your choices above!



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JonH


Grand Slam Champion

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Jo Konta 9
Gaby Taylor 98
Heather Watson 122
Katie Boulter 140
Naomi Broady 145
Harriet Dart 160
Katie Swan 180
Laura Robson 202
Katy Dunne 240
Tara Moore 274

That was mine, which I found when I logged on to my laptop earlier incidentally, I never posted it. If you recall I did post that Gaby would be number 2 and that Katie B and Harriet would do well this year. So Im doing pretty well here. And on the mens Ill post as well and youll remember I expected Cam to nearly catch Kyle and predict he will pass him after Aus Open, Im not as close with the rest although expect to be with Evo.

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Sim


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Helen40 wrote:

Hi sim, have you got a link to the tables. I want to see what on earth I've done with my predictions to be so far out.


Helen, I have not been able to upload the tables onto the Britishtennis site, hopefully Steven will be able to sort it out.

Here is a link to the files on my BTcloud - it is a bit clunky as it downloads the webpage onto our PC/device but works for me:

https://btcloud.bt.com/web/app/share/invite/rY8MDtis0R

You need to keep scrolling to the right to find your entry



-- Edited by Sim on Wednesday 13th of June 2018 07:52:00 PM

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Grand Slam Champion

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Thanks sim, by the looks of things Gabi and Jo are the predictions to have done me most damage, but not knowing the new bunch very well hasn't helped either.

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