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Post Info TOPIC: Weeks 3-4 - Australian Open (men's)
RJA


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RE: Weeks 3-4 - Australian Open (men's)


chavkev wrote:

I don't think being between 5-8 makes that much difference. Surely 3/4 will play 5/8 in the quarters anyway. He is playing the same people, but from the other side of the draw!


Not quite true. It means he could play Nole or Rafa in the quarters where  as 3/4 he couldn't face them till the semis.

His Wimbledon seeding will of course be boosted by the grass court adjustments that they make.



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Intermediate Club Player

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Andy hopefully his ranking will improve from the CLay Court season. Defencding no points for the FO, should give him a big boost

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RJA


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Between now and Wimbledon Andy defends

Indian Wells: QF (180)
Miami: W (1000)
Monte Carlo: R3 (90)
Madrid: QF (180)
Rome: R2 (10)
French Open : Absent (0)
Queens: W (250)

It looks like he won't play Monte Carlo but will play Acapulco, an ATP 500 on hard.

He can also gain points from the Davis Cup. He will get 40 points each for live rubber wins against the US and would get 65 points for live rubber wins in the second round if we get there. Those points added to the 15 from the Croatia tie would replace his 20 points from Doha.

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So happy for Stan, but gutted Rafa was injured so it wasn't a better match. Glad Stan is Swiss no 1 now and not SmugFed.

Yes, Andy will need another 1000 points or so to get back up to 3. (Cut down table from live tennis site), thankfully apart from Miami he's not defending too many points.


Pos. Player Name Ctry Pts Moved Previous Tournaments
 1 Rafael Nadal ESP 14330 - Lost in Australian Open F
 2 Novak Djokovic SRB 10620 - Lost in Australian Open QF
 3 Stanislas Wawrinka SUI 5710 5 Australian Open W
 4 Juan Martin Del PotroARG 5370 1 Lost in Australian Open R64
 5 David Ferrer ESP 5280 -2 Lost in Australian Open QF
 6 Andy Murray GBR 4720 -2 Lost in Australian Open QF
 7 Tomas Berdych CZE 4540 - Lost in Australian Open SF
 8 Roger Federer SUI 4355 -2 Lost in Australian Open SF
 9 Richard Gasquet FRA 3050 - Lost in Australian Open R32


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I'm not generally a gloomy Gus, but I still think that Mr Murray is going to be hard put to raise his ranking much in the near future. Del Potro has quite a bit to defend at Rotterdam and Indian Wells, but the combined total from these is only 100 points less than Mr Murray's 1000 from Miami. Moreover he had a wretched clay season, so has the capacity to make up ground there. Ferrer is more likely to lose ground: repeating as a finalist at RG and Miami won't be easy. But Berdych, who is looking really good, has a lot of scope for improvement. Clay isn't Mr Murray's best surface (though granted anything from Rome onwards is bonus), and his path at Indian Wells and Miami is potentially a tough one. Sincerely hope to be proved wrong!

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And on a more cheery note (last one for the Wawrinka fans) ... I'd suspect Mr Wawrinka hasn't ever come home to quite this welcome before ... www.tagesanzeiger.ch/sport/tennis/Die-Heimkehr-des-Champions/story/14595683

Same paper also amused by way some elements of the German press are laying a claim to Mr Wawrinka because he has a German passport, though he speaks no German and rejected an approach from the German tennis federation at one point. Guess the poaching attempts happen everywhere.

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Andy's ranking could move about a bit up to and most certainly including Wimbledon, but by the end of the year I fully expect him to be at least back in the top 4. Because basically, with a full year, that's what his overall talent consistently produces, and whatever he and the others may be defending or not defending here and there, these are fairly irrelevant to the end of year rankings.

As RJA pointed out, when everyone is in place for the big tournaments, whilst Andy does remain outside the top 4, he can be drawn against any of the top 4 seeds in the QFs, so possibly Nadal or Djokovic. That is potentially a fair hinderance, particularly if he is consistently unlucky in the draws. But not enough that he won't end the year in the top 4, I tell you now :)

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