With three R2 results in, two of which we all picked correctly (Murray-Lopez and Fed to win) and one of which none of us picked correctly (HT Lee to win), it's all hung on the Safin match, with a big swing to AM.com at stake if he won.
He won the 1st set 6-0, had at least 1 MP in the 2nd before losing it 10-8 in the t/b, went a break up in the 3rd and finally lost it 6-4 in the final set. Woohoo!
Nobody picked Vliegen, so we end the day with everyone +4 points on what they had at the end of R1.
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
When did the Undertaker stop being reliable? He took the 1st set off Soderling, lost the 2nd in the t/b then lost his serve 5 times in the final set (he also broke Soderling 3 times in that set!) to lose the match. One semi-finalist down, 3 to go ...
That result was good for the AMs too, Djokovic's win was marginally good for us.
AndyMurray.com lead BritishTennis.net by an average of 20.33-19.06 points per team member after 30 matches.
The top 16:
POS. PLAYER TEAM TODAY TOTAL %
1 Rochelle BT 2 24 66.7% 1 Xenon21 AM 4 24 66.7% 1 Kels AM 4 24 66.7% 4 Chrissi AM 2 23 63.9% 4 Richard Morris AM 4 23 63.9% 4 Claire Morris AM 4 23 63.9% 4 Robert Hulse AM 4 23 63.9% 8 Drew BT 2 22 61.1% 8 Guy BT 4 22 61.1% 10 silk AM 0 21 58.3% 10 Goldfish BT 2 21 58.3% 10 Wendy AM 2 21 58.3% 10 english-boy AM 2 21 58.3% 10 Vimto AM 2 21 58.3% - Roberta (*) - 2 21 58.3% 10 WallaceEMann BT 2 21 58.3% 10 Allan AM 2 21 58.3%
That's 6 AMs in the top 7
Looking at the 3 matches on court now, they have a lot more to gain than we do, simply because clever us (ahem!) allowed for Almagro and Acasuso being clay court specialists (something which seems to be more or less irrelevant this year) ...
Robredo-Clément
Donna (AM) went for Clément, everyone else went for Robredo, so we're talking just a 0.08 point swing one way or the other here.
Gonzalez-Andreev.
All AMs went for Gonzo, nobody went for Andreev and 3 BTs went for Acasuso (already out), so there's a 0.33 swing to AM.com if Gonzo wins, no change if Andreev wins.
Becker v Berdych.
14 AMs and 2 BTs went for Berdych, 1 AM and 1 BT for Becker. 8 AMs and 15 BTs went for Almagro (kod by Berdych), 1 AM and 0 BTs went for ToJo (kod by Becker), so there will be no swing if Becker wins (though it will be great for Rochelle and Shaun, the only people who went for him to win, and pretty good for all of us who went for Almagro) but there will be a big 0.95 points per player swing to AM.com if Berdych wins.
In other words, thanks to Acasuso and Almagro going out in R1, the maximum potential swing to AM from these three matches is 1.36, the maximum potential swing to BT is just 0.08. I don't think we're going to be taking back the lead for some time yet.
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
Ferrero winning (sorry, I didn't do the preview in time) was a 0.11 swing to BT.
Nobody picked Andreev to beat Gonzo, but the main impact will be felt by mad people like me who had Gonzo as a semi-finalist. (that's two semi-finalists I've lost today, sorry team, but I blame the players! LOL
Previews of remaining matches:
Ferrer-Benneteau
17 AMs and 15 BTs went for Ferrer, 6 AMs and 2 BTs went for Benneteau, 1 AM and 1 BT went for Simon.
So that's a 0.25 swing to BT if Ferrer wins or a 0.28 swing to AM if Benneteau does.
Gasquet-Hrbaty
21 AMs and 17 BTs went for Dammit, 1 AM (Robert Hulse, who could go top) went for Hrbaty. AMs Donna and Jambon went for Verdasco.
0.14 swing to BT if Dammit wins, 0.08 swing to AM if Hrbaty does.
Stepanek-Ljubicic
21 AMs and 13 BTs went for Ljubicic, 2 AMs (Richard Morris and Sound) went for Count Duckula, 1 AM and 5 BTs went for Monfils.
So AM get a swing towards them (0.31 if Ljubo wins, 0.17 if Duckula wins) whatever happens! Mirnyi-Roitman
2 AMs (english-boy and Sound) and 0 BTs went for Mirnyi, 1 AM (AllyB) went for Roitman, the rest of us went for Baggy or Melzer.
So AM get a small swing towards them (0.17 if the Beast wins, 0.08 if Roitman does) whatever happens!
Kohlschreiber-Nalby
All of the BTs and went for Big Dave, as did 22 of the AMs. murraymaniac (AM) went for Kohlschreiber. Sound (AM) went for Pavel.
0.17 swing to BT if Big Dave wins, 0.08 swing to AM if Kohly does.
Chela-Nadal
All 42 of us went for Rafa.
-- Edited by steven at 14:50, 2007-04-18
-- Edited by steven at 14:50, 2007-04-18
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!