Aussie Open pick'em predictions competition

RobC · All-time great

RE: Aussie Open pick'em predictions competition

Drew · Jan 18, 2007

RobC wrote:

I'm feeling smug again - apologies all. Just Nieminen messing up for me today. Otherwise, all the players I have in the draw did the business. 12 from 15 so far, and Nadal to come: he's 4-1 up.

As one of the bottom feeders Im not going to win but ALL my remaining players except Jarko won some feeling slightly better !!! (Incl Nadal...dont let me down boy

)

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

Position Name       Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 total
1        RobC          23     24   20     26    93
2       Andyjmr     23     23    22     24    92
3        Akhenaten 24     21     22     24    91
4        Vonce        21     22    22     24     89
5        Steven       23     20     18     24    85
6        Imoen      22     24     20     18     84
7        GC77       23     21     16     24    84
8        Drew         22     19    18      22    81
9        John         22     21     18      20     81
9=      DavidC      18     20     22      20    80
11      Mkkreuk     24     18    22     14     78

usual rules apply.

Interestingly, most of us are relatively ok in the top and bottom quarters, it's the middle ones where this game is being won and lost.

-- Edited by imoen at 16:11, 2007-01-18

steven · Tennis legend

That's interesting.

I'm not surprised that people are doing well in Q4 - 6 seeds left and Ginepri always seemed likely to beat no. 32 seed Almagro. I've got 7/8 left there, I didn't have Chela.

I am surprised that people are doing well in Q1 though, what with Baggy out and Udomchoke & Querrey still left in. I had Melzer to beat Robredo too (a risky one), so I've only got 4/8 left there, compared with 5/8 in each of the middle two quarters.

Btw, Bethan, you're very sweet to be so sympathetic to how much worse I'm doing than last time, but you've given me two points too many again today, using a different method to yesterday - 23+20+18+24 is 85 not 87.

In fact, just to show how lucky I was in the USO, even if I got all the points I could possibly still get from now on, I wouldn't beat my USO total!

-- Edited by steven at 15:57, 2007-01-18

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

steven wrote:

Btw, Bethan, you're very sweet to be so sympathetic to how much worse I'm doing than last time, but you've given me two points too many again today, using a different method to yesterday - 23+20+18+24 is 85 not 87.

that's because I used my written totals from yesterday to calculate the new totals and forgot that I hadn't changed yours there, only on the post here.

As for the top quarter, whilst most didn't get Udomchoke, Ferrero or Querrey nearly all of us got the rest (you seem to be the exception!) Whereas in Q2, Fish and Arthurs weren't really got by anyone and the rest we're all over the place, some getting it right some not. Q3 is pretty dire as well, Mayer/Tursunov.Santoro/Clement/Lapentti/Nalbandian have mucked that one up for most of us. Then back to Q4 and most people are doing well, maybe one or two wrong out of the 8 left. It does vary from person to person and I'm speaking in general terms from what I remember so it could be a lot closer than I'm making out but that's the trend as I see it!

Drew · Jan 18, 2007

In the space of half a round Im up 3 places....watch out Rob...Im gaining....

8 Drew 22 19 18 22 81

RobC · All-time great

What a boring day - everything going with the rankings. 5 from 7 so far, though: I guess I made boring picks

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

Position Name       Day1  Day2   Day3   Day4  Day5 Total
1        RobC       23     24     20     26    24   117  
1=       Vonce      21     22     22     24    28   117
3        Akhenaten  24     21     22     24    24   115
4        Andyjmr    23     23     22     24    20   112
5        DavidC     18     20     22     20    24   104
5=       Imoen      22     24     20     18    20   104
5=       GC77       23     21     16     24    20   104
8        Drew       22     19     18     22    20   101
8=       John       22     21     18     20    20   101
8=       Steven     23     20     18     24    16   101
11       Mkkreuk    24     18     22     14    20   98

Table up again. Vonce did amazingly well today getting 7/8. Actually, I think there was only one match that was called wrong when both players were correct, so it's more the previous rounds that stopped us getting 100% today! (Steven, you especially I'm afraid!)

As usual any questions I'm happy to answer. One interesting thing was that only one of us predicted a Roddick loss today, i'd have thought we would be more unsure than that.

RobC · All-time great

imoen wrote:

osition Name       Day1 Day2 Day3   Day4 Day5 Total
1        RobC       23     24   20     26    24   117
1=       Vonce      21     22    22     24    28   117

Grr - Ferrer let me down & let Vonce get back in

Drew · Jan 19, 2007

Out of the 6 players I had left 5 won so cant feel too bad....Only the ugly one after being 2 sets up let me down !!!

...well done to Vonce !

steven · Tennis legend

so it's more the previous rounds that stopped us getting 100% today! (Steven, you especially I'm afraid!)

That makes sense, and ties in with what you said about most people doing ok in Q1 despite it being a disaster for me, Fed and Duckboy aside. I did hope that, as on the Greg Rusedski board, lots of people would pick the nutter to beat the quacker, but you're all obviously far too sensible for that!

I can only get max. 2/4 top half QF-ists now, so I'm going to drop further behind on Sunday. Very well done to Vonce for getting so many right, and having the players still in there in the first place!

Count Duckula was yet another player I picked who managed to thow away a match from a seemingly unassailable position. That's happening a bit too often for my liking this tournament!

It would be quite interesting know tomorrow, when this round's over, how many QF picks each of us still has left.

-- Edited by steven at 15:43, 2007-01-19

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

steven wrote:
Count Duckula was yet another player I picked who managed to thow away a match from a seemingly unassailable position. That's happening a bit too often for my liking this tournament!
It would be quite interesting know tomorrow, when this round's over, how many QF picks each of us still has left.

Have to say, I did think that Ferrer would win so am quite happy with that unassailable lead being lost!

I'll let you know the qf picks thing tomorrow, after the end of round 3.

Drew · Jan 19, 2007

Andrew Murray [1.20] v Juan Ignacio Chela [4.33] - 25 on Murray

mkkreuk · Admin:Moderator + ATP qualifying

Drew wrote:
Andrew Murray [1.20] v Juan Ignacio Chela [4.33] - 25 on Murray

wrong thread

DavidC · Tennis legend

A pleasant surprise to learn that I have had my highest scoring day. I thought I had picked Hrbaty, but checking my file to see that I ended with Ancic, so a serendipitous gain of 4 points!

It won't last though - I predicted a seed carnage in the bottom half, with Nadal, Nalbandian, Davydenko, Gonzalez, Hewitt and Haas all out in the first week. I therefore await tomorrow with trepidation.

Regarding the question about QFs surviving I still have 3 in the top half (Federer, Gasquet and Roddick) with Berdych, Blake and Murray in the bottom half, if they get through tomorrow

Good luck to all, and thanks again to Bethan for the stats