Miriam, well done for spotting my typos - I wrote the notes whilst looking at the spreadsheet - and missed out the line for 4 points and subsequently the rest were wrong. I've edited the original with the correct figures. (And of course the women's has/had the same error)
And don't forget, the calculations for percentage difference are factored below WR100. The formula is 100(Predicted - Actual)/Actual and then multiplied by Actual/100
-- Edited by the addict on Monday 15th of December 2025 10:15:49 PM
So for any actuals below WR 100, cancelling out the 100/Actual x Actual/100, you end up with (Predicted - Actual)?
So basically their number of places out will be their adjusted % out for scoring purposes - eg. 10 places out would score 4, 18 places out would score 2?
Certainly raises the stakes for trying to make accurate WR predictions for our very top players whereas it was previously difficult to get WR points for such as Jack and Emma unless you were very close.
Yes, it does make a big difference and brings the top few players into play. I hadn't actually realised it quite like that whilst I was working out the formulae ! But one is percentages and one is ranking. At one point I was looking at just adjusting the top 50, or even doing the top 50 and 51-100 differently. Maybe I'll do a non-linear adjustment next year
Examples:-
Jack Draper, Actual GB1 and WR10. If you predict WR8 then actual % difference = 20% which last year was worth 2 points. This year the difference is adjusted by 10/100 to give 2% and 10 points Cam Norrie, actual is GB2 and WR27. Predict WR20 and the actual difference - 26%, reduced down to 7% and 6 points instead of 1.
Having made myself mildly unpopular this year with my tactic of a 10% improvement across the board I'm going for outright hatred next year with a 10% decline across the board!
All entries up to here are now entered as I had some time to spare.
A reminder to everyone else - Entries close at midnight on Saturday 27th to give me time to enter the data and check it - hopefully before I go away on Monday. I may not get time to post the tables until I get back from Spain on 7th January.
I don't follow the men outside of US college so I don't have the knowledge to do anything other than a random list of names and numbers. So don't worry those of you who have seen my women's post , theres no long explanation here.
Jack D 8 Jake F 40 Cam N 49 Jan C 120 Billy H 130 Jay C 150 Arthur F 160 JPJ 161 JoMo 183 Toby S 212 Sub: Ollie T 190 (worth a punt if any of my top 10 have a long term injury when the sub window opens)