Miriam, well done for spotting my typos - I wrote the notes whilst looking at the spreadsheet - and missed out the line for 4 points and subsequently the rest were wrong. I've edited the original with the correct figures. (And of course the women's has/had the same error)
And don't forget, the calculations for percentage difference are factored below WR100. The formula is 100(Predicted - Actual)/Actual and then multiplied by Actual/100
-- Edited by the addict on Monday 15th of December 2025 10:15:49 PM
So for any actuals below WR 100, cancelling out the 100/Actual x Actual/100, you end up with (Predicted - Actual)?
So basically their number of places out will be their adjusted % out for scoring purposes - eg. 10 places out would score 4, 18 places out would score 2?
Certainly raises the stakes for trying to make accurate WR predictions for our very top players whereas it was previously difficult to get WR points for such as Jack and Emma unless you were very close.
Yes, it does make a big difference and brings the top few players into play. I hadn't actually realised it quite like that whilst I was working out the formulae ! But one is percentages and one is ranking. At one point I was looking at just adjusting the top 50, or even doing the top 50 and 51-100 differently. Maybe I'll do a non-linear adjustment next year
Examples:-
Jack Draper, Actual GB1 and WR10. If you predict WR8 then actual % difference = 20% which last year was worth 2 points. This year the difference is adjusted by 10/100 to give 2% and 10 points Cam Norrie, actual is GB2 and WR27. Predict WR20 and the actual difference - 26%, reduced down to 7% and 6 points instead of 1.