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Post Info TOPIC: Weeks 3/4 - Australian Open, Melbourne (hard)


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RE: Weeks 3/4 - Australian Open, Melbourne (hard)


JonH comes home wrote:
indiana wrote:

The top half looks rather more interesting than the bottom half.

After his great escape the draw has fallen nicely for Fed.


 Raonic gets through to the last 8 to play Djoko and knocks Evo down to 34 in the live rankings in doing so. 

 


 And Sandgren joins them, without the surrounding controversy this year.



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Coup Droit wrote:
flamingowings wrote:

Last 16:
[1] Nadal vs. [23] Kyrgios
[10] Monfils vs. [5] Thiem
[4] Medvedev vs. [15] Wawrinka
[7] Zverev vs. [17] Rublev
[12] Fognini vs. Sandgren
[3] Federer vs. Fucsovics
[32] Raonic vs. Cilic
[2] Djokovic vs. [14] Schwartzman


 In terms of geographic representation, it's Europe 12, Rest of the World, 4, but with a very good spread between countries:

Russia 2

Switzerland 2

USA 1

Argentina 1

Canada 1

Australia 1

France 1

Germany 1

Italy 1

Austria 1

Hungary 1

Croatia 1

Serbia 1

Spain 1


 Does anyone know how the court has played this event? Last 16 seems a right mix of players no sense from this if it is slow or fast, presumably medium? I've not seen a single shot played though, how poor is that !?



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JonH comes home wrote:
Coup Droit wrote:
flamingowings wrote:

Last 16:
[1] Nadal vs. [23] Kyrgios
[10] Monfils vs. [5] Thiem
[4] Medvedev vs. [15] Wawrinka
[7] Zverev vs. [17] Rublev
[12] Fognini vs. Sandgren
[3] Federer vs. Fucsovics
[32] Raonic vs. Cilic
[2] Djokovic vs. [14] Schwartzman


 In terms of geographic representation, it's Europe 12, Rest of the World, 4, but with a very good spread between countries:

Russia 2

Switzerland 2

USA 1

Argentina 1

Canada 1

Australia 1

France 1

Germany 1

Italy 1

Austria 1

Hungary 1

Croatia 1

Serbia 1

Spain 1


 Does anyone know how the court has played this event? Last 16 seems a right mix of players no sense from this if it is slow or fast, presumably medium? I've not seen a single shot played though, how poor is that !?


 Federer down 5-3 first set, another long night for his fans and entourage!



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With djoko, Federer,  raonic in last 8 in lower half, stan the man wins another 5 setter over Medvedev to join then. Thiem also through , but the old crowd are certainly showing the way again in these 5 setters.



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Tennis abstracts latest forecasts. Hard to see past the Big 3 it seems


2020 Australian Open Men's Draw Forecast
Player                                    SF        F       W
(1)Rafael Nadal (ESP)           73.3% 60.4% 27.0%
(5)Dominic Thiem (AUT)       26.7% 16.8% 3.8%
(15)Stanislas Wawrinka (SUI) 45.0% 9.4% 1.3%
(7)Alexander Zverev (GER)   55.0% 13.4% 2.1%
Tennys Sandgren (USA)         2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
(3)Roger Federer (SUI)        97.8% 40.4% 24.6%
(32)Milos Raonic (CAN)        3.6% 0.3% 0.0%
(2)Novak Djokovic (SRB)     96.4% 59.3% 41.3%



-- Edited by JonH comes home on Monday 27th of January 2020 01:12:32 PM

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From Twitter

Rafael Nadal ties Jimmy Connors for 3rd among Open Era men with 41 QF (Federer 57, Djokovic 46)

Halfway to 34 years old, Nadal's 10th consecutive Slam QF is now tied for the 5th longest streak.



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We have had so many false dawns

Dimitrov, a few slam SF and a year end finals win
Zverev winning 20 or so Masters 1000 and year end finals
Sissypas, winning year end finals
Medvedev reaching US final.

All these kids are hopeless.

Theim seems a very steady consistent player.

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I raised the question of court speed earlier in this thread.

It seems it is playing very slow this year, new company laid the courts, cooler weather etc.

mobile.twitter.com/mattebden/status/1221760073971580928

Matt Ebden is an ex pro so should be quite authoritative on this.

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JonH comes home wrote:

I raised the question of court speed earlier in this thread.

It seems it is playing very slow this year, new company laid the courts, cooler weather etc.

mobile.twitter.com/mattebden/status/1221760073971580928

Matt Ebden is an ex pro so should be quite authoritative on this.


 On Twitter - if I recall, Rio was very slow, I can recall Andy grinding through his matches. Aligned to colder temps, maybe thicker air from the recent fires etc and I can see why all seems a lot slower  

So the reason why the courts are slower in Melbourne is because they switched from Plexicushion to GreenSet, the same surface used at the 2016 Rio Olympics.



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JonH comes home wrote:

Tennis abstracts latest forecasts. Hard to see past the Big 3 it seems


2020 Australian Open Men's Draw Forecast
Player                                    SF        F       W
(1)Rafael Nadal (ESP)           73.3% 60.4% 27.0%
(5)Dominic Thiem (AUT)       26.7% 16.8% 3.8%
(15)Stanislas Wawrinka (SUI) 45.0% 9.4% 1.3%
(7)Alexander Zverev (GER)   55.0% 13.4% 2.1%
Tennys Sandgren (USA)         2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
(3)Roger Federer (SUI)        97.8% 40.4% 24.6%
(32)Milos Raonic (CAN)        3.6% 0.3% 0.0%
(2)Novak Djokovic (SRB)     96.4% 59.3% 41.3%



-- Edited by JonH comes home on Monday 27th of January 2020 01:12:32 PM


 Federer being taken to a 5th set might suggest some doubt

with those figures. Not sure Nole will have such an easy match as those figures suggest either.



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Miriambee wrote:
JonH comes home wrote:

Tennis abstracts latest forecasts. Hard to see past the Big 3 it seems


2020 Australian Open Men's Draw Forecast
Player                                    SF        F       W
(1)Rafael Nadal (ESP)           73.3% 60.4% 27.0%
(5)Dominic Thiem (AUT)       26.7% 16.8% 3.8%
(15)Stanislas Wawrinka (SUI) 45.0% 9.4% 1.3%
(7)Alexander Zverev (GER)   55.0% 13.4% 2.1%
Tennys Sandgren (USA)         2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
(3)Roger Federer (SUI)        97.8% 40.4% 24.6%
(32)Milos Raonic (CAN)        3.6% 0.3% 0.0%
(2)Novak Djokovic (SRB)     96.4% 59.3% 41.3%



-- Edited by JonH comes home on Monday 27th of January 2020 01:12:32 PM


 Federer being taken to a 5th set might suggest some doubt

with those figures. Not sure Nole will have such an easy match as those figures suggest either.


 Looks like you're right, tennis abstract does pretty well but clearly it's not all seeing and all knowing! 98% chance looks foolhardy in retrospect!



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JonH comes home wrote:
Miriambee wrote:
JonH comes home wrote:

Tennis abstracts latest forecasts. Hard to see past the Big 3 it seems


2020 Australian Open Men's Draw Forecast
Player                                    SF        F       W
(1)Rafael Nadal (ESP)           73.3% 60.4% 27.0%
(5)Dominic Thiem (AUT)       26.7% 16.8% 3.8%
(15)Stanislas Wawrinka (SUI) 45.0% 9.4% 1.3%
(7)Alexander Zverev (GER)   55.0% 13.4% 2.1%
Tennys Sandgren (USA)         2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
(3)Roger Federer (SUI)        97.8% 40.4% 24.6%
(32)Milos Raonic (CAN)        3.6% 0.3% 0.0%
(2)Novak Djokovic (SRB)     96.4% 59.3% 41.3%



-- Edited by JonH comes home on Monday 27th of January 2020 01:12:32 PM


 Federer being taken to a 5th set might suggest some doubt

with those figures. Not sure Nole will have such an easy match as those figures suggest either.


 Looks like you're right, tennis abstract does pretty well but clearly it's not all seeing and all knowing! 98% chance looks foolhardy in retrospect!


 Although Fed comes through 6-3. I guess tennis abstract say 98 % chance but not how close it might be smile



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Apparently Fed saved 7 (seven) MPs on the way to his 5 set victory.

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apparently injured in the 1st set with a groin twinge



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Bob in Spain wrote:

Apparently Fed saved 7 (seven) MPs on the way to his 5 set victory.


 Yes, including three from *3-6 down in the fourth set tie-break.



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