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Post Info TOPIC: Will Katie Swan be junior no.1?


Tennis legend

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RE: Will Katie Swan be junior no.1?


Yes, I agree, but I think it's more just the way things have happened with Katie so early moving onto high grade tournaments and then just not having ultimate successes though doing very well.

It maybe could have been read a bit, though more in another thread, as she's not a winner, can't win above grade 4 level. That I am sure wasn't your intention ( more as said related to the thread title she probably does need a title or two ), when I guess we all are pretty confident what would happen if she was now to enter grade 2s or 3s, though no reason to do so.

And as said, anyway she's only recently turned 16, and very much learning about so many things as she goes along, like so many.

And she's going along rather well with her recent ITF 10K title being in the bigger scheme more encouraging than any grade 2 or 3 title.

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Challenger level

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There's little practical advantage in being Junior number 1, until 1 January 2016.

The good news for Katie is that her two highest scores (270 +120) have come in 2015. So in the Juniors race to 1/1/16, she's only trailing Arconada (and possibly ANOther). If she can do as well in the three remaining quarters of 2015, she should be either JR1 or JR2 by year's end. She can also now reasonably hope to have her own half of the draw at most junior tournaments, and perhaps her own quarter at the Slams. As noted in the top post, many of the other girls in the top 10, have got what they wanted from juniors (a top ten finish for 2015) and have moved up to the women's tour.

If JR1 is her aim, and fwiw I think it should be, and that it is realistic, it will help her little to play and win any Grade 2s or Grade 3s. She could win a Grade 3, end up dropping the points as her seventh best score, and still fall short of JR1. She should be aiming to play only Grade1 and above. Particularly of course, the Grand Slams. Winning one of them would be up there with making Jr1.

Her Easter Bowl doubles win is very encouraging. Still needs to work on her movement, netplay, and backhand.



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Just stumbled across another example of another girl who had a promising juniors career, except that she consistently lost every final she played at Grade 1 and above... Played 5, lost 5...

www.itftennis.com/juniors/players/player/profile.aspx

Then she mysteriously gave up, and by the time she was 17, and still eligible for Juniors, she'd found an apparently easier level of competition.

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Lower Club Player

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wimdledont wrote:

Just stumbled across another example of another girl who had a promising juniors career, except that she consistently lost every final she played at Grade 1 and above... Played 5, lost 5...

www.itftennis.com/juniors/players/player/profile.aspx

Then she mysteriously gave up, and by the time she was 17, and still eligible for Juniors, she'd found an apparently easier level of competition.


 LOLbiggrinbiggrin



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Let her be, she's probably quite happy wherever she is now, reading and stamp collecting.

She may never have taken to any of the trappings or fame if she had in any way made it.

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ATP qualifying

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But she was never junior No 1 ........!!!!



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There is a grade 1 this week, but I don't think anyone will go past Katie, who climbs to no.9 this week

1 XU, Shilin 0 CHN 10 Jan 1998 14 1102.50
2 SHYMANOVICH, Iryna 0 BLR 30 Jun 1997 22 974.38
3 GALFI, Dalma 0 HUN 13 Aug 1998 20 920.00
4 BELLIS, Catherine 0 USA 08 Apr 1999 15 915.00
5 VONDROUSOVA, Marketa 0 CZE 28 Jun 1999 23 904.38
6 KASATKINA, Darya 0 RUS 07 May 1997 7 846.88
7 ARCONADA, Usue Maitane 0 USA 28 Oct 1998 28 833.75
8 RUSE, Elena Gabriela +1 ROU 06 Nov 1997 20 813.13
9 SWAN, Katie +1 GBR 24 Mar 1999 25 795.00


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Italy holds the next grade 1 and Grade A tournament in the middle of May. Quite a few girls above have points to defend in May

Bouzkova who is ranked 10 is the highest ranked player due to play the grade 1


Katie is down to play the Grade A alongside Galfi, Vondrousova, Arconada and Bozkova



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ATP qualifying

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Zoo Tennis have just put up some nice video of Katie from The Easter Bowl.



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Unless the young Russian top seed(or one or two of the top seeds) have a good week in Italy this week, then Katie should climb above Kasatkina next week into 8th. The following week is the grade A where lots of people have points to defend and Katie is entered, so chances for Katie to move higher again (She will climb above Bellis)

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1 XU, Shilin 0 CHN 10 Jan 1998 14 1102.50
2 SHYMANOVICH, Iryna 0 BLR 30 Jun 1997 20 968.13
3 GALFI, Dalma 0 HUN 13 Aug 1998 18 920.00
4 VONDROUSOVA, Marketa +2 CZE 28 Jun 1999 21 834.38
5 ARCONADA, Usue Maitane +2 USA 28 Oct 1998 28 833.75
6 BELLIS, Catherine -2 USA 08 Apr 1999 13 832.50
7 RUSE, Elena Gabriela +1 ROU 06 Nov 1997 18 801.88
8 SWAN, Katie +1 GBR 24 Mar 1999 25 795.00
9 BOUZKOVA, Marie +1 CZE 21 Jul 1998 9 790.00
10 MIHALIKOVA, Tereza +1 SVK 02 Jun 1998 24 776.25


Katie up to 8th - With grade A this week, Katie needs to get 60pts singles or better or 20pts doubles or better to improve her score

Bellis loses 312.5pts singles points this week
Vondrousova loses 30 singles points and 62.5 doubles points - these will get replaced with next best of the same mark so no change
Shymanovich loses 62.5 singles points (replaced by 30pts) and 62.5 doubles points (replaced by 50pts)


So Katie guaranteed to go ahead of Bellis, the rest is in her hands

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Interview with Katie on Eurosport now.

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Katie 150pts or 225pts from her doubles with 20pts to come off

So will finish on either 827.5pts or 846.25pts

Katie will go past Ruse and Bellis and closing in on Arconada(passes her if she wins the final).

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Katie climbs to 7th as the Canadian jumped ahead, but close with Arconada and the Canadian.

1 VONDROUSOVA, Marketa +3 CZE 28 Jun 1999 21 1157.50
2 XU, Shilin -1 CHN 10 Jan 1998 14 1102.50
3 GALFI, Dalma 0 HUN 13 Aug 1998 20 946.25
4 SHYMANOVICH, Iryna -2 BLR 30 Jun 1997 18 932.50
5 ROBILLARD-MILLETTE, Charlotte +16 CAN 12 Jan 1999 33 834.38
6 ARCONADA, Usue Maitane -1 USA 28 Oct 1998 28 833.75
7 SWAN, Katie +1 GBR 24 Mar 1999 27 827.50
8 RUSE, Elena Gabriela -1 ROU 06 Nov 1997 18 801.88
9 BOUZKOVA, Marie 0 CZE 21 Jul 1998 9 790.00
10 MIHALIKOVA, Tereza 0 SVK 02 Jun 1998 26 782.50


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Katie up to 6th

1 VONDROUSOVA, Marketa 0 CZE 28 Jun 1999 21 1157.50
2 XU, Shilin 0 CHN 10 Jan 1998 16 1110.00
3 GALFI, Dalma 0 HUN 13 Aug 1998 18 930.00
4 ROBILLARD-MILLETTE, Charlotte +1 CAN 12 Jan 1999 31 834.38
5 ARCONADA, Usue Maitane +1 USA 28 Oct 1998 28 833.75
6 SWAN, Katie +1 GBR 24 Mar 1999 27 827.50
7 SHYMANOVICH, Iryna -3 BLR 30 Jun 1997 16 811.25
8 RUSE, Elena Gabriela 0 ROU 06 Nov 1997 18 801.88
9 BOUZKOVA, Marie 0 CZE 21 Jul 1998 9 790.00
10 MIHALIKOVA, Tereza 0 SVK 02 Jun 1998 26 782.50

 

Of the girls ahead of Katie only Vondrousova has points to defend(180 singles and 180 doubles to be replaced by 30 and 62.5)



-- Edited by paulisi on Monday 1st of June 2015 01:07:37 PM

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