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Post Info TOPIC: 2014 female ranking predictions


Hall of fame

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Posts: 9477
Date:
RE: 2014 female ranking predictions


Coup Droit wrote:
paulisi wrote:

36pts to win it, just shows what a lottery predicting the girls was this year.


 

now, now - that could come across as sour grapes smile

 

I think we should just accept our positions in the relegation zone and and go down to div. 2 where, hopefully, all those audience members of Countless will be, the ones who'd never heard of Mandy, or Jade, or practically anyone else besides Laura and, possibly, Heather. We might stand a chance then . . .


 Clearly there was one chap who didn't make predictions this year, who would have topped that 36 points ;)



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Sim


County player

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Posts: 942
Date:

Full table is now uploaded here:

 http://www.britishtennis.net/predictions/2014%20Female%20Ranking%20predictions.htm



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Sim


County player

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Posts: 942
Date:

Comparing players actual standings against predictions Naomi comes top finishing 27% higher than the average prediction.

Heather and Katy Dunne were the only others to be above the average prediction.

Ignoring the single vote for EWS which was virtually spot on the most accurate predictions were for Katy Dunne.

I did think about removing a few of the injured players, poor Laura has some very large negative numbers and Lisa has fallen off the ranking list

 PicksAverageHighLow Actual+/-%
         
Laura Robson1834984 940-906-2665%
Jo Konta188548121 148-63-74%
Heather Watson18573082 49814%
Tara Moore18160105200 313-153-95%
Naomi Broady18215138321 1575827%
Sam Murray18239161347 462-223-93%
Jade Windley17306225365 585-279-91%
Lisa Whybourne13321210433 ---
Amanda Carreras10344195390 449-105-30%
Emily Webley-Smith1333333333 33210%
Anna Smith14341275500 547-206-60%
Katy Dunne16319215485 303165%
 
  


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Specialist Reporter + Intermediate Club Player

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Posts: 2133
Date:

Congratulations to Korriban. I see that betting against Laura paid dividends.

I shall put my own abysmal performance down to an inability to predict injuries (as opposed to my abysmal showing in the men's competition which was down to poor judgement regarding many of the players).

I do find it difficult to predict a poor season for anyone other than an older player who seems to be on the decline.

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