The head-to-head is 2-6 in Rafa's favour & given the surface, I can't see it being anything other than 2-7, come the end of this match! Rafa in straight sets. That said, I'd give just about anything to be proved wrong...
Their semi will be played after that between NoDjo (3) & Stan the Man (13), which will kick off no earlier than 12.30 BST. According to the tournament site, Rafa extended his winning streak in Monte-Carlo to 25 today...
Last time they met on the clay, it was 63 - 44 in terms of points won, the final score 3-6 2-6. At the time I wrote - "Tactics weren't too bad. Andy was certainly trying to make things happen most of the time but his execution was shocking, especially on the easiest of shots, and against Nadal he just couldn't afford to smash simple put aways into the net, fire straightforward forehands wide with the court open, volley straight back to his opponent and so on.
There was enough penetration on view to suggest that Andy could become a good player on clay but his concentration is abysmal and he must have gifted Nadal 15 points with careless errors. Also worth noting that the forehand was shocking in the first set, something like 10 unforced errors and no winners in that set, though he did finally start to hit some forehand winners in the second. Double handed backhand crosscourt looked like a decent weapon and even the serve had its moments though far too many were hit at medium pace rather than flat out."
This time around Andy should adopt a similar approach but look to improve his execution. Hopefully he can start to close the gap and perhaps over the course of a few meetings on this surface, he might eventually become competitive with Nadal.
The last thing I want to see is another contest similar to their match at Wimbledon last year in which Andy let Rafa dictate throughout. Of course Andy will lose but he should do so going for his shots because if he is to beat other top players on this surface then he will need to deploy his weapons and get full value for them; few opponents will play as poorly as Fognini and Davydenko did.
-- Edited by kundalini on Friday 17th of April 2009 11:30:11 PM
he will need to deploy his weapons and get full value for them; few opponents will play as poorly as Fognini and Davydenko did.
Quite so, but surely one of his main weapons is that he frustrates his opponents and makes them play badly!
The match with Davydenko was a prime example- you could argue that D's huge unforced error count was mainly through over-pressing, because that pesky blighter up the other end just kept junk-balling everything back.
(And don't take this the wrong way, but most of us on this board couldn't win a match in the East Dulwich TC's under 8 championship, and we are advising a guy who is clearly one of the most thoughtful and clever players on the tour on his match strategy!!!)
-- Edited by Ratty on Saturday 18th of April 2009 06:34:36 AM
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I know, I realised I'd better check that, but too late! Stani was 2-0 up in the 3rd unless I was seeing things. He's just won his first game in five for 3-4*
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