Starts at midnight British summer time. 7pm Toronto.

They have met 4 times before. Nadal has won each time though Andy played well in a couple of the meetings and should have won in Australia.

Wim 3-6 2-6 4-6
Hamburg 3-6 2-6
Madrid 6-7 4-6
Aus 7-6 4-6 6-4 3-6 1-6

Having destroyed Gasquet, you'd expect Rafa to do the same to Andy, given the form that Murray showed against Djokovic. But Andy may well adopt a more proactive approach and hopefully, will get a lot more first serves in play.

I took a quick look at Andy's first serve percentage against the top 3 and the numbers are truly wretched. He averages 48%, regularly serving below 45%, though his stats are somewhat better against Nadal with one match at 62%.

I feel Murray does have the weapons to beat Nadal but lacks the ability to execute on a consistent basis. If Andy is to be competitive he will have to be super aggressive, mixing up serve and volley, with huge forehands, going for his double-handed backhand crosscourt and down the line, and looking to attack the net to put away straight forward volleys. He needs to return far more aggressively than he did at Wimbledon, and he can't afford to be passive at any point in the rally, as he is so often prone to be.

Another good test for Andy but I'd be surprised if he was up to the task.


-- Edited by kundalini at 11:08, 2008-07-26