PICK 'EM at Roland Garros

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

PICK 'EM at Roland Garros

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

website results updated here for the end of the day.

Steven will post the summary in a few minutes.

steven · Tennis legend

End of day update - all of the top half R2 matches complete except Ljubo's match, which didn't even start:

AndyMurray.com lead BritishTennis.net by an average of 61.38-61.21 points per team member after 79 matches. - that difference is only about 2 R2 picks (in total, not per entrant!)

POS. PLAYER TEAM TODAY TOTAL %

1 Ewan Mansley AM 28 69 73.4%
2 (Mr)AllyB AM 24 68 72.3%
3 Rob C BT 26 66 70.2%
3 David Cox BT 26 66 70.2%
3 Cdagger AM 26 66 70.2%
3 Johnnylad BT 26 66 70.2%
7 RoastLamb AM 26 66 70.2%
8 Mkkreuk BT 24 64 68.1%
8 Guy BT 23 64 68.1%
10 Kels AM 24 64 68.1%
10 Fitz AM 25 64 68.1%
12 kayce AM 21 63 67.0%
13 goldfish BT 22 63 67.0%
13 ForeverDelayed BT 24 63 67.0%
13 Richard Morris (ASE) AM 23 63 67.0%
16 nicki AM 25 63 67.0%
16 Grundon BT 26 63 67.0%
16 Allan AM 26 63 67.0%
19 cazza99 AM 21 62 66.0%
20 steven BT 23 62 66.0%
21 Claire Bear AM 24 62 66.0%
21 Drew BT 23 62 66.0%
21 Speedy Hawk AM 25 62 66.0%
24 Josh BT 21 61 64.9%
25 Vamos08 AM 23 61 64.9%
26 Xenon21 AM 25 61 64.9%
27 Blodwyn AM 21 60 63.8%
27 Count Zero BT 21 60 63.8%
29 Spraggz AM 22 60 63.8%
30 rochelle BT 24 60 63.8%
- Roberta (*) - 20 59 62.8%
31 Carrie AM 20 59 62.8%
31 Wendy AM 21 59 62.8%
33 Granny AM 22 59 62.8%
33 Bruce BT 24 59 62.8%
33 John BT 23 59 62.8%
36 Claire Morris AM 21 58 61.7%
36 David Carter BT 21 58 61.7%
38 Jambondusoleil AM 24 58 61.7%
39 WallaceEMann BT 20 57 60.6%
40 Imoen BT 21 56 59.6%
40 Shaun7879 AM 20 56 59.6%
42 Dusty Dick BT 24 54 57.4%
43 daisy AM 20 47 50.0%
- King Kong (#) - 11 39.5 42.0%

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

Update after 91 matches:

AndyMurray.com lead BritishTennis.net by an average of 76.71-75 points per team member after 91 matches.

top10:

POS.	PLAYER	TEAM	TODAY	TOTAL	%

1	Ewan Mansley	AM	18	87	73.7%
2	AllyB	AM	18	86	72.9%
3	RoastLamb	AM	18	84	71.2%
4	Rob C	BT	16	82	69.5%
4	David Cox	BT	16	82	69.5%
6	steven	BT	20	82	69.5%
7	kayce	AM	18	81	68.6%
8	Johnnylad	BT	14	80	67.8%
8	Cdagger	AM	14	80	67.8%
8	cazza99	AM	18	80	67.8%

RobC · All-time great

woah!! - you can post tables now????

Kewl!

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

Detailed results to be found here

BT players made the biggest move today with Steven and David Carter both gaining 14 and Grundon and Count both losing 13 places.

AM took back the lead and opened up quite a sizeable gap of 1.39 (it was nearly 2 at one point so it's not all bad at the end of the day!)

AndyMurray.com lead BritishTennis.net by an average of 78.71-77.32 points per team member after 94 matches.

and the top10:

POS.	PLAYER	TEAM	TODAY	TOTAL	%

1	Ewan Mansley	AM	22	91	73.4%
2	AllyB	AM	20	88	71.0%
3	David Cox	BT	20	86	69.4%
4	RoastLamb	AM	20	86	69.4%
5	Rob C	BT	18	84	67.7%
6	steven	BT	22	84	67.7%
7	kayce	AM	20	83	66.9%
8	Johnnylad	BT	16	82	66.1%
8	Cdagger	AM	16	82	66.1%
8	cazza99	AM	20	82	66.1%
8	Mkkreuk	BT	18	82	66.1%

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

Rob, I always just copy and paste from excel...sometimes the formatting works sometimes it doesn't no idea what makes the difference!!

steven · Tennis legend

Thanks for doing all that today, Bethan, I haven't been around much, which seems to have helped my picks to perform. smile

]

Unfortunately, I can only get max. 6 QF-ists while sheddie can apparently still get all 8, but it's looking good for me and us if Fed can manage to lift the Coupe des Mousquetaires for the first time on Sunday week.

If Rafa wins, we're dead as a team, but sheddie and others will still have a good chance in the individual.

Bethan - I've just realised the answer to the table formatting mystery.

If you copy the summary table from Excel and paste it straight into here, you get a properly formatted table, but you are limited to only pasting the top dozen or so because the hidden html code it produces is huge.

If you first paste the table into AM.com (which converts it into plan text) then copy it from there and paste it into here, you get the unformatted table but you can paste all of it.

Btw, it's looking like when Ewan Mansley registered as an individual because he was a newbie on AM.com and didn't know if he could claim to represent them, we shouldn't have given him the option wink

-- Edited by steven at 00:05, 2007-06-01

steven · Tennis legend

From yesterday's picks analysis, it always looked like being a good day for AM.com (with more potential for big swings and some matches that could only swing to AM), and so it turned out. In fact, 5/6th of AM.com's lead comes from the bottom half of the draw and just 1/6th from the top half, which is much more even.

This means that in the top half of R3, BT members have almost as many players left as AM members do and, as you can see from the top half picks analysis below, BT have more players left who they predicted to not only reach R3 but go on to R4 too. So, on balance, BT have good chances to close the gap on Friday. biggrin

As yesterday, the swing figures mean "this would be the swing if the player mentioned in this line wins".

First of all, the two bottom half R2 matches held over from Thursday:

Paul-Henri Mathieu : 0.20 to BT
Gilles Simon : 0.39 to AM

Nicolas Massu : 0.23 to AM
Igor Andreev : 0.03 to BT

Massu-Andreev are 1 set all, while Mathieu-Simon didn't even manage to start - they are first on Lenglen on Friday.

Now the top half R3 matches, in a bit more detail than the R2 matches:

(1) Roger Federer : no swing
Potito Starace : no swing

We all picked Fed for this one.

(17) Juan Carlos Ferrero : 0.16 swing to BT
(13) Mikhail Youzhny : 0.16 swing to AM

We all picked one or other of these two to reach R4.

(9) Tommy Robredo : 0.33 swing to BT
Janko Tipsarevic : no swing

All of the BTs picked Robredo as did most of the AMs, but Richard & Claire Morris (AM) went for Safin.

(29) Filippo Volandri : 1.36 swing to BT
(7) Ivan Ljubicic : 1.24 swing to AM

This is the big match on Friday as far as the team comp is concerned. Most people went for one of these two. Count Zero (BT) went for Ram-Hid, while Speedy & Wendy (AM) went for Clément. Thank goodness sheddie didn't make a bet with you in the end, eh Count?

(4) Nikolay Davydenko : 1.12 swing to BT
Michael Llodra : no swing

Most people went for the Undertaker, but Dusty (BT) and 8 AMs went for Almagro - they include the top two as at the end of Thursday, so they (and the AMs in general) should be hoping Llodra wins, otherwise we are likely to get a new individual leader after this match unless Monfils has beaten Nalby before that.

Gael Monfils : 0.37 swing to AM
(15) David Nalbandian : 0.55 swing to BT

Most people went for Chela here, so those who went for Monfils (Johnnylad, Rochelle & Imoen (BT) and Ewan Mansley, RoastLamb, Kels, Xenon, Fitz & JambonDuSoleil (AM)) will gain on a lot of people if he wins and those who went for Numpty Nalby (FD, Bruce, Drew, John & Dusty (BT) and kayce, Speedy & Granny (AM)) will gain on a lot of people if he wins. The only pick outside those three was Santoro, picked by Daisy.

Kristof Vliegen : no swing
(19) Guillermo Canas : 0.82 swing to BT

10 BTs & 9 AMs went for Canas. The rest, i.e. 8 BTs & 15 AMs, went for Dammit.

Juan Monaco : 0.46 swing to BT
(WC) Edouard Roger-Vasselin : no swing

Mkkreuk, Josh (BT) & Imoen (BT) and Roastlamb (AM) will be hoping for a Monaco win. Everyone else picked Gonzo for this one, except Shaun (AM), who went for Melzer.

So, 4 of the 8 top half R3 matches can only result in swings to BT (or none at all), with the swings to BT if Kolya and Canas win together being enough to wipe out AM.com's lead. No swing is possible in the Fed match, a small swing either way is available in the JCF-Youzhny match, a medium swing either way in the Nalby-Monfils match and a big swing either way in the Volandri-Ljubo match.

If all the matches go BT's way, we would lead by 3.64 at the end of Friday. If all the matches went AM's way, they would lead by 3.78 at the end of Friday. The average of those two possibilities would be for the gap at the end of Friday to be very small again!

-- Edited by steven at 01:38, 2007-06-01

steven · Tennis legend

Five results so far today and BT have cut AM's lead, but only slightly - it's now just under one point per entrant:

AndyMurray.com lead BritishTennis.net by an average of 85.54-84.68 points per team member after 99 matches.

Youzhny beating JCF caused the biggest changes in the individual table. The top three have pulled away a bit, but it's amazingly close behind them, with only 2 points (half a pick in this round) and a few tiebreaks covering 4th-15th! Guy, Fitz, Josh, ASE & Imoen are all up 10 or more places on the day.

POS. PLAYER TEAM TODAY TOTAL %

1 Ewan Mansley AM 6 97 69.3%
2 RoastLamb AM 10 96 68.6%
3 kayce AM 12 95 67.9%
4 (Mr)AllyB AM 4 92 65.7%
5 David Cox BT 6 92 65.7%
6 Mkkreuk BT 10 92 65.7%
6 Guy BT 12 92 65.7%
8 Fitz AM 12 92 65.7%
9 goldfish BT 10 91 65.0%
9 Josh BT 12 91 65.0%
9 Richard Morris (ASE) AM 12 91 65.0%
12 Rob C BT 6 90 64.3%
12 Johnnylad BT 8 90 64.3%
12 cazza99 AM 8 90 64.3%
15 steven BT 6 90 64.3%
16 Cdagger AM 6 88 62.9%
17 Kels AM 6 88 62.9%
18 Blodwyn AM 10 88 62.9%
19 ForeverDelayed BT 6 87 62.1%
20 nicki AM 6 87 62.1%
21 David Carter BT 8 86 61.4%
22 Xenon21 AM 4 85 60.7%
23 Speedy Hawk AM 6 84 60.0%
24 Drew BT 10 84 60.0%
24 Claire Morris AM 10 84 60.0%
26 Carrie AM 8 83 59.3%
- Roberta (*) - 8 83 59.3%
27 Claire Bear AM 4 82 58.6%
28 Imoen BT 10 82 58.6%
29 Allan AM 4 81 57.9%
29 Vamos08 AM 4 81 57.9%
29 Wendy AM 6 81 57.9%
29 Grundon BT 6 81 57.9%
33 Granny AM 4 81 57.9%
33 Bruce BT 4 81 57.9%
35 rochelle BT 6 80 57.1%
36 John BT 6 79 56.4%
37 Spraggz AM 4 78 55.7%
38 Jambondusoleil AM 4 78 55.7%
39 Shaun7879 AM 4 76 54.3%
40 WallaceEMann BT 6 75 53.6%
41 daisy AM 10 75 53.6%
42 Count Zero BT 4 74 52.9%
43 Dusty Dick BT 4 72 51.4%
- King Kong (#) - 2.5 49.5 35.4%

Count Zero · Tennis legend

yikes, i think sheddie can sleep safe, stoopid clay, roll on wombledon

mkkreuk · Admin:Moderator + ATP qualifying

steven wrote:
The top three have pulled away a bit, but it's amazingly close behind them, with only 2 points (half a pick in this round) and a few tiebreaks covering 4th-15th!

Can you explain this bit? (basically i wanna know why im not joint 4th LOL!)

RobC · All-time great

Grr..

Just the Fed and Mathieu coming in for me today so far

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

It's a bit soon for an update but I thought I'd document BT's return into the lead

BritishTennis.net lead AndyMurray.com by an average of 88.47-88.21 points per team member after 100 matches.

top10:

POS.	PLAYER	TEAM	TODAY	TOTAL	%

1	RoastLamb	AM	14	100	69.4%
2	kayce	AM	16	99	68.8%
3	Ewan Mansley	AM	6	97	67.4%
4	David Cox	BT	10	96	66.7%
5	Mkkreuk	BT	14	96	66.7%
5	Guy	BT	16	96	66.7%
7	Fitz	AM	16	96	66.7%
8	goldfish	BT	14	95	66.0%
8	Richard Morris (ASE)	AM	16	95	66.0%
8	Josh	BT	16	95	66.0%

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

Oh, Mkkreuk Tiebreaks are sorted by points scored in the first round, if they're equal then in the second round and so on until a difference is found

-- Edited by imoen at 16:36, 2007-06-01