PICK 'EM at Roland Garros

steven · Tennis legend

RE: PICK 'EM at Roland Garros

Josh · Challenger level

How many matches is that last update out of???

oops I see it now, 23, I must remeber to read ashamed

19/23 not bad smile

-- Edited by Josh at 15:34, 2007-05-29

steven · Tennis legend

After 32 matches, sheddie was joint top, so I couldn't do a web update then, could I? wink The real reason I waited was because another three matches looked likely to finish shortly afterwards and given how long it takes to do anything on freewebs, I didn't want the web update to be out of date before it even got to the site.

Unfortunately, calamity (sheddie in 1=) quickly turned to catastrophe cry - match 33 saw BT's lead cut to 0.04 and match 34 (Patience's win) saw AM.com regain the lead and sheddie got top on his own. Match 35 (Baggy's win) cut the gap back to 0.05. So:

AndyMurray.com lead BritishTennis.net by an average of 25.79-25.74 points per team member after 35 matches.

The top 10 is:

POS. PLAYER    TEAM   TODAY    TOTAL    %

     1 David Cox           BT     26     30 85.7%
     2 AllyB               AM     25     29 82.9%
     2 Granny              AM     25     29 82.9%
     2 goldfish            BT     25     29 82.9%
     2 Rob C               BT     25     29 82.9%
   - Roberta (*)         -     24     28 80.0%
     6 Count Zero          BT     24     28 80.0%
     6 Speedy Hawk         AM     24     28 80.0%
     6 Richard Morris (ASE) AM     24     28 80.0%
     6 Blodwyn             AM     24     28 80.0%
     6 cazza99             AM     24     28 80.0%

... and detailed results after 35 matches can be found at: http://www.britishtennis.net/07pickem/2007rg.htm

Next website update will be Bethan's tonight, I may post a couple more interim updates on here before that.

Count Zero · Tennis legend

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

End of play and only 7 rd1 matches remaining. Full results here

AndyMurray.com lead BritishTennis.net by an average of 38.17-37.95 points per team member
after 57 matches.

so it's still very close, BT.net led for a while earlier today before AM.com took the lead back again.

the top 10(ish)

POS. PLAYER    TEAM   TODAY    TOTAL    %
1AllyB               AM     40    4477.2%
2kayce               AM     38    4273.7%
3goldfish            BT     37    4171.9%
3cazza99             AM     37    4171.9%
3Guy               BT     37    4171.9%
3Ewan Mansley        AM     37    4171.9%
7Rob C               BT     36    4070.2%
7Josh               BT     36    4070.2%
7Richard Morris (ASE)AM     36    4070.2%
7Johnnylad           BT     36    4070.2%
7Mkkreuk             BT     36    4070.2%
7David Cox           BT     36    4070.2%
7RoastLamb           AM     36    4070.2%
7Kels               AM     36    4070.2%
7Cdagger             AM     36    4070.2%

sorry Count, but remember how you bounced back in Rome.

-- Edited by imoen at 21:08, 2007-05-29

Count Zero · Tennis legend

i think i may have peaked too soon

ForeverDelayed · Grand Slam Champion

Back in contention after a poor first couple of days, but a big problem in that 2 of my QF's are out, and Berdych is 2-0 down as well, so running out of chances to big up the points later on

steven · Tennis legend

Here's the pick analysis for R1 again, showing only the winners (plus who they beat if the majority of us picked the loser) and the actual swings ... plus scores so far in unfinished matches:

BT: 100% / AM: 100% for (1) Roger Federer => no swing
BT: 11% / AM: 25% for (WC) Thierry Ascione (beat Cilic) => 0.14 swing to AM
BT: 84% / AM: 100% for Potito Starace => 0.16 swing to AM
BT: 0% / AM: 0% for Carlos Berlocq (beat (20) Benneteau) => no swing

BT: 100% / AM: 100% for (17) Juan Carlos Ferrero => no swing
BT: 79% / AM: 54% for Stefan Koubek (retirement no. 1 - C Rochus) => 0.25 swing to BT
BT: 63% / AM: 71% for Nicolas Lapentti (retirement no. 2 - Peya) => 0.08 swing to AM
BT: 100% / AM: 100% for (13) Mikhail Youzhny (retirement no. 3 - Hernych) => no swing

BT: 100% / AM: 100% for (9) Tommy Robredo => no swing
BT: 68% / AM: 33% for (Q) Konstantinos Economidis => 0.35 swing to BT
BT: 84% / AM: 96% for Janko Tipsarevic => 0.12 swing to AM
BT: 100% / AM: 96% for (22) Marat Safin => 0.04 swing to BT

BT: 95% / AM: 100% for (29) Filippo Volandri => 0.05 swing to AM
BT: 74% / AM: 50% for Martin Vassallo Arguello => 0.24 swing to BT
BT: 32% / AM: 33% for Stanislas Wawrinka (beat Ram-Hid from 0-2 down) => 0.02 swing to AM
BT: 84% / AM: 83% for (7) Ivan Ljubicic => 0.01 swing to BT

BT: 100% / AM: 100% for (4) Nikolay Davydenko => no swing
BT: 84% / AM: 63% for Werner Eschauer (retirement no. 4 - Sidorenko) => 0.22 swing to BT
BT: 79% / AM: 67% for Michael Llodra => 0.12 swing to BT
BT: 100% / AM: 96% for (32) Nicolas Almagro => 0.04 swing to BT

BT: 89% / AM: 96% for (18) Juan Ignacio Chela => 0.06 swing to AM
BT: 100% / AM: 83% for Gael Monfils => 0.17 swing to BT
BT: 63% / AM: 79% for (Q) Ivan Navarro Pastor => 0.16 swing to AM
BT: 95% / AM: 96% for (15) David Nalbandian => 0.01 swing to AM

BT: 100% / AM: 100% for (11) Richard Gasquet => no swing
BT: 79% / AM: 88% for Kristof Vliegen => 0.09 swing to AM
BT: 74% / AM: 88% for Simone Bolelli => 0.14 swing to AM
BT: 100% / AM: 100% for (19) Guillermo Canas => no swing

BT: 26% / AM: 33% for (27) Jurgen Melzer (beat Acasuso) => 0.07 swing to AM
BT: 100% / AM: 100% for Juan Monaco => no swing
BT: 37% / AM: 54% for (WC) Edouard Roger-Vasselin (retirement no. 5 - Daniel) => 0.17 swing to AM
BT: 0% / AM: 0% for Radek Stepanek (beat (5) Gonzalez) => no swing

BT: 100% / AM: 100% for (6) Novak Djokovic leads (LL) Santiago Giraldo 2:0 (sets) : no swing possible
BT: 53% / AM: 17% for (Q) Laurent Recouderc (beat Querrey in 5) => 0.36 swing to BT
BT: 74% / AM: 100% for (WC) Olivier Patience => 0.26 swing to AM
BT: 0% / AM: 13% for (LL) Mariano Zabaleta (beat (26) Calleri) => 0.13 swing to AM

BT: 74% / AM: 88% for (21) Dmitry Tursunov => 0.14 swing to AM
BT: 100% / AM: 100% for Fernando Verdasco => no swing
BT: 63% / AM: 58% for Diego Hartfield tied with Robby Ginepri 1-1 (sets) : 0.05 swing - to BT if Hartfield wins, to AM if Ginepri wins
BT: 100% / AM: 100% for (12) David Ferrer leads Daniele Bracciali 2:0 (sets) : no swing possible

BT: 42% / AM: 71% for (16) Marcos Baghdatis => 0.29 swing to AM
BT: 79% / AM: 79% for Kristian Pless => no swing
BT: 32% / AM: 4% for Jan Hajek (beat Johansson) => 0.27 swing to BT
BT: 0% / AM: 0% for (Q) Bohdan Ulihrach (beat (24) Hrbaty) => no swing

BT: 74% / AM: 75% for Paul-Henri Mathieu => 0.01 swing to AM
BT: 89% / AM: 92% for Gilles Simon => 0.02 swing to AM
BT: 63% / AM: 67% for Nicolas Massu => 0.04 swing to AM
BT: 37% / AM: 38% for Igor Andreev (beat (3) Roddick) => 0.01 swing to AM

BT: 5% / AM: 25% for Ivo Karlovic (beat (8) Blake) => 0.20 swing to AM
BT: 63% / AM: 83% for Jonas Bjorkman => 0.2 swing to AM
BT: 95% / AM: 100% for Oscar Hernandez leads (LL) Juan-Pablo Guzman 2:0 (sets) & 3-1 : 0.05 swing to AM if Hernandez wins
BT: 89% / AM: 100% for (28) Philipp Kohlschreiber => 0.11 swing to AM

BT: 100% / AM: 100% for (23) Carlos Moya leads Andreas Seppi by 2:1 (sets) & 0-4 : no swing possible
BT: 74% / AM: 79% for Florent Serra => 0.05 swing to AM
BT: 74% / AM: 38% for (Q) Juan Pablo Brzezicki => 0.36 swing to BT
BT: 0% / AM: 0% for Guillermo Garcia-Lopez leads (10) Tomas Berdych by 2:0 (sets) & 2-2 : no swing possible

BT: 100% / AM: 100% for (14) Lleyton Hewitt => no swing
BT: 58% / AM: 67% for Gaston Gaudio => 0.09 swing to AM
BT: 32% / AM: 8% for (WC) Mathieu Montcourt (beat Becker) => 0.23 swing to BT
BT: 68% / AM: 79% for (20) Jarkko Nieminen => 0.11 swing to AM

BT: 16% / AM: 8% for Albert Montanes (retirement no. 6 - (25) Soderling) => 0.07 swing to BT
BT: 5% / AM: 4% for Ernests Gulbis (beat Henman) => 0.01 swing to BT

BT: 47% / AM: 21% for (Q) Flavio Cipolla leads Teimuraz Gabashvili 2:0 (sets) : 0.27 swing to BT if Cipolla wins
BT: 95% / AM: 100% for (2) Rafael Nadal => 0.05 swing to AM

Summary

There were no less than 6 retirements today, three of them in consecutive matches in the draw!

Out of the 17 matches that all 43 of us agreed on:

- we got 10 right
- there are 3 unfinished matches in which the player we all went for is leading
- we got 3 wrong
- Berlocq (the guy Bloomers thrashed in R1 at Wimby last year) upset Benneteau
- Count Duckula upset Gonzo
- Ulihrach upset Hrbaty
- there is 1 unfinished match in which the player we all went for is losing
- Berdych is 2 sets down against Garcia Lopez

AM.com 'won' 28 matches to BT.net's 15, with 14 tied and 7 still to finish. The reason AM.com's lead in the team competition isn't even bigger is that, as usual in R1s, BT.net tended to get the better of the matches in which the biggest swings were at stake.

Roll on R2 ...

RobC · All-time great

Laurent Recouderc! Big win for me. big swing for us!

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

Yep, i was another who thought he'd win. Was looking a bit dodgy for a while but the home crowd brought him through...now he just has to lose to Djokovic (who has to get there too) in rd2 and I'll be very thankful to him

steven · Tennis legend

The last few matches in R1 were good to us and amazingly, we gained enough to win the round by just 0.04 points per player - that's just under 1 single player pick in total across all 64 matches!

R1: Bt beat AM by 43.00-42.96!

However, AM.com are ahead in R2 so far by 2.17-2.00, thanks to Shaun & Xenon picking Tipsy to beat Safin, so overall:

AndyMurray.com lead BritishTennis.net by an average of 45.13-45.00 points per team member after 66 matches. cry

The gap at the top has closed to 1 point again today too.

Top 20 (i.e. everyone above Roberta)

POS. PLAYER TEAM TODAY TOTAL %

1 AllyB AM 6 50 73.5%
2 kayce AM 7 49 72.1%
2 Ewan Mansley AM 8 49 72.1%
4 cazza99 AM 7 48 70.6%
4 Guy BT 7 48 70.6%
4 Rob C BT 8 48 70.6%
4 David Cox BT 8 48 70.6%
4 Johnnylad BT 8 48 70.6%
4 Mkkreuk BT 8 48 70.6%
4 Cdagger AM 8 48 70.6%
11 goldfish BT 6 47 69.1%
11 Josh BT 7 47 69.1%
11 Richard Morris (ASE) AM 7 47 69.1%
11 ForeverDelayed BT 8 47 69.1%
15 Kels AM 6 46 67.6%
15 RoastLamb AM 6 46 67.6%
15 steven BT 7 46 67.6%
15 Blodwyn AM 7 46 67.6%
15 Count Zero BT 7 46 67.6%
15 Fitz AM 7 46 67.6%

Bethan, whenever you want to take over is fine by me wink

steven · Tennis legend

After 68 matches, both teams had got exactly 47.00 picks correct per entrant, but one more of the 1128 correct picks the AMs had made between them was a R2 pick and one more of the BTs correct picks was a R1 pick, so AM.com led by 0.04.

Then Monaco beat Melzer to give us the lead back: smile

BritishTennis.net lead AndyMurray.com by an average of 52.89-52.79 points per team member after 72 matches.

Ally is still holding onto her lead, while AM newbie Ewan is making a very impressive showing on his debut (to think he wasn't sure if they'd let him be in theirr team!), while quite a few of BT's 'big hitters', as sheddie would say, are pilling up up 2 or 3 points behind ready to strike.

Top 25

POS. PLAYER TEAM TODAY TOTAL %

1 AllyB AM 16 60 75.0%
2 Ewan Mansley AM 18 59 73.8%
3 Rob C BT 18 58 72.5%
3 David Cox BT 18 58 72.5%
3 Cdagger AM 18 58 72.5%
6 Johnnylad BT 16 56 70.0%
6 Mkkreuk BT 16 56 70.0%
6 Guy BT 15 56 70.0%
9 RoastLamb AM 16 56 70.0%
10 kayce AM 13 55 68.8%
11 goldfish BT 14 55 68.8%
11 Josh BT 15 55 68.8%
11 ForeverDelayed BT 16 55 68.8%
11 Richard Morris (ASE) AM 15 55 68.8%
15 nicki AM 17 55 68.8%
15 Grundon BT 18 55 68.8%
15 Allan AM 18 55 68.8%
18 cazza99 AM 13 54 67.5%
19 Kels AM 14 54 67.5%
19 Fitz AM 15 54 67.5%
19 steven BT 15 54 67.5%
22 Claire Bear AM 16 54 67.5%
23 Vamos08 AM 15 53 66.3%
24 Blodwyn AM 13 52 65.0%
24 Count Zero BT 13 52 65.0%

Btw, ranks are now based on the higher R1 score (= the official tiebreak) where overall scores are level. e.g. Kayce is shown as 10th to goldfish's 11th despite them both having 55 points, because Kayce had the higher R1 score.

-- Edited by steven at 16:31, 2007-05-30

RobC · All-time great

Looking good so far

........ but I've got Gonzo through to the semis, and A-Rod to the quarters

imoen · Admin: Moderator+Tennis Legend

After 75 mathces...

AllyB finally loses his lead (in the last match)

the teams are separated by 0.03...BT.net is just on the right side of that divde at the moment

:

BritishTennis.net lead AndyMurray.com by an average of 57.32-57.29 points per team member after 75 matches.

the top 10

POS.	PLAYER	TEAM	TODAY	TOTAL	%

1	Ewan Mansley	AM	24	65	75.6%
2	AllyB	AM	20	64	74.4%
3	Rob C	BT	22	62	72.1%
3	David Cox	BT	22	62	72.1%
3	Cdagger	AM	22	62	72.1%
3	Johnnylad	BT	22	62	72.1%
7	RoastLamb	AM	22	62	72.1%
8	Guy	BT	19	60	69.8%
8	Mkkreuk	BT	20	60	69.8%
10	Kels	AM	20	60	69.8%
10	Fitz	AM	21	60	69.8%

-- Edited by imoen at 20:13, 2007-05-30

steven · Tennis legend

Ah, there you are

You meant on the right side of the divide (I'm guessing you changed the board name but not the 'wrong'). but just to show how tight it is, Spraggz was the only person on either team to pick Llodra to reach R3 (he beat Almagro) and that's been enough to give them the lead again. cry

The team lead doesn't usually change hands quite this often!

-- Edited by steven at 19:33, 2007-05-30