Yep, both Bozoljac and Berlocq won. Bozo overtakes Alex.
Russell, is knocked out by Bozo.
So Alex is sitting in 131st, down 8 places on the week. So.....The permutations now are:
If Alex Wins the Tournament He'll advance up to 121st - up 2. Norman & Peya are outHartfield or Bozoljac can overtake if they are finalists in Naples; and Russell if he wins in Naples. A max of one can overtake, so worst case is WR 122th - up 1.
If Alex is a finalist: He'll advance up to 127th - down 4. Peya & Russell are out.Navarro-Pastor will overtake him if he's the other finalist in Shrewsbury; Bozoljac and Hartfield need to make the Naples semis. A max of three can overtake, so worst case is 130th - down 7.
If Alex loses today's semi: He'll get up to 130th. Peya & Russell are out. Hartfield, Bozoljac and Navarro-Pastor are already out of reach. Berlocq must win Naples to overtake, so worst case is 132nd - down 9.
Navarro- Pastor plays Zverev in Shrewsbury today.
Tonight in Naples: Bozoljac plays Kim; Berlocq plays Hipperdinger and Hartfield plays Cuevas.
Nav-Pas, Bozo and Hartfield must lose if Alex is to advance far with a win today. Berlocq must lose if Alex loses today.
So pins into: Nav-Pas, Meffert, Hartfield & Bozo!! (with any spare into Berlocq)
Looking at Next week's points, the Maui entry list only shows Michael Russell within reach behind Alex, and only Sam Querrey among those he can overtake this week. Russell's defending the Orlando title, so cannot go higher than his current points.
So, we're looking at Alex dropping 4 points. Which, if he wins Shrewsbury, puts him at 122nd, with Nav-Pas, Querrey (next week), Hartfield & Bozo all threats. Worst case 125th.
If he's the losing finalist, he'll be at 129th, with Hartfield & Bozo threats. Worst case 131st.
If he loses today, he'll be at 134th, (Fraile dropping back, as he's defending Spain F34) with Berlocq able to overtake. worst case 135th.
- So looking OK for top 16 seeding in the AO qualies, but not a shoo- in. We definitely need that DE to an ATP in week 1.