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Post Info TOPIC: Boggo v Sluiter


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RE: Boggo v Sluiter


al outs a bh down the lin long to give S anoth bp. S is hitting some really fleoting deep shots which are troubling al, but he saves it to make duce.


 


a untimely Df lands al back in trouble.


and a fantstic retrun puts S in the driving seat to take the match



-- Edited by Count Zero at 16:30, 2006-11-07

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Count Zero - Creator of the Statistical Tennis Extrapolation & Verification ENtity or, as we like to call him, that steven.


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Sluiter to serve for the match

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Al double faults at deuce. Big double on a big point. I'm still a long long long way from convinced about his mental strength.

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6-2 6-4


What a shame




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ace


un retunalble


boggo puts a forehand just wide after a rally,


3 mp's


and S wraps it up with a forehand winner.



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Count Zero - Creator of the Statistical Tennis Extrapolation & Verification ENtity or, as we like to call him, that steven.


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Ah well. It would be overstating the case to say Al got Sluitered, but he did not seem able to cope with the Dutchman's power. Those double faults at inopportune moments did not help either.

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yeah, i think al has the game on the faster courts, but on slower he just doesnt have the power, he has quickpower if that makes sense ratehr then the big wind up hit. it was always going to be a tough match after their recent results and S is also playignvery well at the moment, he brealy put a foot wrong in that match, sometimes there isnt really anyhting you can do.


hopefulyl al's work in amercia will start to see him improve on the slower coruts.



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Count Zero - Creator of the Statistical Tennis Extrapolation & Verification ENtity or, as we like to call him, that steven.


www.alexbogdanovic.com



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For once I actually managed to watch live streaming on the web.

My thoughts:

Alex's serving was really poor today and that was the big difference between them. I think he hit only 1 or 2 aces in the entire match and for most of the time it caused Sluiter no problems whatsoever. In comparison to Sluiter's thundering deliveries, Alex's seemed relatively lightweight, resulting in him getting broken 4 times in the match.

I think that was the key factor. Sluiter was blasting service winnes and aces left, right and centre and rallies on his serve barely lasted more than 3 shots. He was winning on most of his service games, at least 3 cheap points off the serve while Alex averaged about 1 cheap point per 3 service games. In order for Alex to win a point on serve he would have to grind out a rally of about 10-12 shots and it's tough mentally, to keep doing that when you're basically not playing on your opponent's service games.

I think the reason behind this is the courts. Sluiter's serve gets up into the mid 130s while Alex's is mainly in the low 120s and so he relies on variation and different
spins to mix things up. When on slow surfaces, the courts aren't aiding his serve which makes things tricky. Alex's serve is most effective on fast indoor courts and on grass when the speed of the courts gives it extra bite and the balls skids through.

I can see how Alex was the better player in Kolding and Mons though. He's a really big hitter from the back off both wings and he regularly forced Sluiter onto the back foot and opened up the court. However, as the bloomin' courts were so slow Sluiter was able to run down shots and get himself back in the rally. There were countless times Alex hit what would have been clean winners on a faster court but they kept coming back.

Sluiter unleashed some vicious forehands from the back and he's a great player on the defensive - gets some superb angles turning defense into attack in an instant. I think that Alex needed to come into the net more, he hit some really booming forehands which Sluiter just floated back and the Boggo should have been at the net thumping them away but instead he was still at the back of the court, letting the ball bounce and the process repeated itself.

This is definately something Alex needs get used to doing more on slow courts. He did so with success against Henman but not today. He also needs to maybe work more on his 2nd serve and maybe a bit more variation on his 1st serve. Eg with Mikhail Zverev - if Alex had his serve and net game he could be top 30 for sure. The reason why Zverev isn't top 30 is because his baseline game is nothing like Alex's.
Zverev's variation on serve - in particular his topspin 1st and 2nd serves out wide to the deuce court and down the centre to the ad court, cause big problems and it's why he was only broken once against Tipsarevic who's one heck of a returner.

It's disappointing but hopefully Alex can learn from this match, he lost to a top 100 player who played one heck of a match today.



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i wonder if alex is sufferring a bit of a mental burnout, he has played a lot of events in the last 2 months or so, and is playing consistently at a higher level recently, along with organising his move to amercia, might be kinda geting to him.  

-- Edited by Count Zero at 17:06, 2006-11-07

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Count Zero - Creator of the Statistical Tennis Extrapolation & Verification ENtity or, as we like to call him, that steven.


www.alexbogdanovic.com



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I don't think so, he's had a really superb last 6 weeks - final of a 125K and two quarters in 50K+Hs and won a round in an ATP and then took a set off Henman - I think we'd have taken those results in mid-September !!

I know all the many Boggo-bashers are lining up to say that he's not going to make the top 100 by the end of the year but that was always going to be really hard and getting there by the end of 2006 isn't the be all and end all, doesn't make much difference if he does it in January/February or does it in November. The important goal is that he gets his ranking to about 115 and gets a DA to AO and ATP Chennai

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