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RobC


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Tim's competitors Weeks 35 and 36: US Open
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Here's Tim's table for US Open fortnight.  


Running|---------Start of week--------|Running So    18th  Def1  Def2  19th
Rank  rank         name          points Points Far  Result            Result
50    54    Fabrice Santoro        781   751  5-out   25     35          25
51    53    Filippo Volandri       750   750  5-out   15      5          15
52    47    Arnaud Clement         802   717  5-out   15     90          15
53    58    Florian Mayer          675   705 35-out   19      5          16
54    59    Paul-Henri Mathieu     660   690 35-out   15      5          15
55    60    Mardy Fish             651   681 35-out    5      5           5
59    61    Luis Horna             642   672 35-out    5      5           5
56    55    Max Mirnyi             740   670  5-out   15     75           5
58    62    Tim Henman             640   670 35-out   25      5          25
59    56    Ruben Ramirez-Hidalgo  695   667  5-out    7     27    12     6
60    78    Marc Gicquel           504   649 150-out   5      -           1
61    67    Nicolas Mahut          605   625 35-out   15      -          15
62    63    Philipp Kohlschreiber  619   608  5-out   10      5    16     5
63    70    Hyung-Taik Lee         576   606 35-out   10      5           6
64    66    Christophe Rochus      605   605  5-out   15      5           9
65    64    Daniele Bracciali      617   601  5-out   15     20    16    15
66    65    Bjorn Phau             605   597 35-out   15     43          14
67    68    Jurgen Melzer          595   595  5-out   15      5          15
68    42    Guillermo Coria        835   590  5-out    5    250           5
69    71    Andreas Seppi          565   565  5-out   40      5          36
70    72    Juan Monaco            564   564  5-out    5      5           5
71    73    Justin Gimelstob       528   558 35-out   15      5          15
72    69    Ivo Karlovic           586   556  5-out    5      5           5
73   104    Marat Safin            400   550 150-out  15      0          15
74    83    Wesley Moodie          495   550 75-out    5     20           5
75    80    Benjamin Becker(q)     383   545 165-out   3                  3
76    57    Davide Sanguinetti     690   545 5g-out(5) 15   150          15
77    84    Vince Spadea           490   530 75-out   15     35          10
78    81    Paul Goldstein         497   527 35-out   15      5          15
79    75    Andrei Pavel           514   514  5-out   15      5           9
80    82    Jan Hajek              495   506 35-out    8     35           8


Players in italics won on Thursday. Underlined players went out on Thursday


Genoa Challenger(g): 50   35   22   12    5    1(2)


US Open:  1000 700 450 250 150 75 35 5(q:15 8 4)



-- Edited by imoen at 12:35, 2006-09-02
-- Edited by imoen at 23:07, 2006-09-02
-- Edited by RobC at 08:51, 2006-09-04
-- Edited by RobC at 08:54, 2006-09-04
-- Edited by RobC at 22:41, 2006-09-04
-- Edited by RobC at 08:09, 2006-09-05
-- Edited by RobC at 08:09, 2006-09-05
-- Edited by RobC at 11:36, 2006-09-05
-- Edited by RobC at 11:38, 2006-09-05

-- Edited by RobC at 21:03, 2006-09-06

-- Edited by RobC at 09:22, 2006-09-07

-- Edited by RobC at 08:13, 2006-09-08

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RobC


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Tim begins the week by getting back into the top 60!  Beating Greg might take him up to 55th, assuming his competitors get knocked out early.


His move up to 59th is because of a Agassi, Coria and Sanguinetti losing points and diving down the table.


Other losers  are Wawrinka, Clement, Phau, Karlovic, Greul and Goldstein,  while  Lopez and Shuettler drop off the bottom of Tim's table.


Big gainers, generally from defending only 5 points from last year are: Mayer,  Rochus, Melzer, Gicquel, Garcia-Lopez, Hajek, Goldstein.


No- one can overtake unless they reach the third round. However Kohlschreiber, Rochus, Bracciali, Melzer, Mahut, Coria and Lee will overtake if they get that far, and Tim goes out in R1.


Again, more detailed pinning plans from Imoen later (hopefully!)



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imoen


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RobC wrote:


Again, more detailed pinning plans from Imoen later (hopefully!)



And once again, you can rely on me to produce the plans but not till tomorrow morning I'm afraid. Please be patient with me!

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RobC


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imoen wrote:

  Please be patient with me!


 


Always.



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imoen


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RobC wrote:


imoen wrote:

  Please be patient with me!


 


Always.



Just for that, I've made the rankings threads all sticky

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Well, Tim, what can we say. Based on the assumption that he won't get beyond the second round but will reach it, we need some frantic pin work to eliminate: Mirnyi, Mathieu (extra pins, he plays a Brit!), Fish and Horna. If these four all go out in the first round, Tim will overtake them all by reaching the second. If they all win the first round then he can't overtake anymore people (sorry folks but there's no way he'll beat Federer), and anything in between results in anything in between - you get the picture.


We can then move on the people behind Tim. The nearest (Kohlschrieber) is 21 points behind, which is good because it means he is the only one who can overtake with a first round win (and a first round loss for Tim). Below him is any number of players all of whom will be trying to overtake (no respect for their elders you see) but we'll turn our attention (and pins) to them after the first round results are in and we know whose left.


So, it could be worse for Tim, he is lucky in that he has a 21 point cushion to the nearest rival but if any of them get a couple of rounds in that advantage will dissappear and it could be a massacre to his ranking . I expect Tim to go out in the second round, overtake a couple of the players I mentioned, be overtaken by three or four people from behind and so end the week at around 59/60.



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RobC


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First post updated post tennisfacts & steveg.


A numeber of def2 points added, which affect Kohlschreiber, Bracciali, Greul and Hajek. Otherwise 18th & 19ths again, which don't affect the players in Grand Slam week. Will have to update these once ATP is up



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RobC


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Table updated.


Mixed fortunes for Tim's ranking:


Fish and Youzhny go out of reach unless the Fed has another bad day against Brtish opponents


Ramirez- Hidalgo, however, goes out, and is in Tim's sights should he beat Greg.


Behind Tim, Lee, Phau, Gimelstob and Lopez advance. Lee  is now one win away from overtaking.


Bracciali, Karlovic, Sanguinetti and Paveldo the decent thing.


& over to Imoen for the analysis



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imoen


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We still need pins into Mathieu, Mirnyi, and Horna but good work on Ramirez Hidalgo (especially as I'd missed him in my last post!) shame about Fish. Tim, by winning round 1 now has a certain gain of one place (R-H)


Behind, it's still a case of no one can overtake before round 2 even if Tim were to lose so I'll save the pessimism for tomorrow!



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RobC


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Good start for Tim: Garcia- Lopez and Montanes  are both out behind him.  Unfortunately, Horna and Mayer have both won ahead of him, so he's now relying on Josh to beat Mathieu, or he'll only gain the one place if he wins.


Mirnyi's 2 sets to 1 down to Moodie.



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RobC


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The table's updated.  Tim ended up advancing just the one place. He's on the same points as Mirnyi, but unfortunately the Beast has more points from mandatory events so is placed ahead of Tim.


Only  Mirnyi went out ahead of Tim, as Mayer, Horna and Mathieu all advanced. All are within reach should they lose and Tim beat Federer


Behind him, Mahut advanced and is looking threatening. Luckily, he plays Davydenko next.


Gicquel, Goldstein, Moodie and Hajek also advanced.


Kohlschreiber, Melzer, Coria, Seppi, Monaco, Garcia- Lopez and Montanes  all dropped out, significantly reducing the threat from behind


Over to Imoen!


 



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As Rob said, Tim made just the one place yesterday because our pins didn't work.


A win against the Fed would gain Tim a possible 7 places (Youzhny, Mayer, mathieu, Fish, Horna and Mirnyi) Of those one (mirnyi) is definite. The rest require some serious pin work!


Looking more realistically, behind:


Mahut is next in line but needs to reach the fourth round to overtake, plus he plays Davydenko next.


Lee and Phau must also reach the fourth to overtake, they are playing Robredo and Malisse respectively in the second.


After them, Gimelstob, Gicquel, Goldstein, Moodie, Hajek, Lopez, Spadea, Sluiter, Di Mauro, Hernych must reach the quarters. But, only 6 of them can do so altogether.


So, there are quite a few competitors breathing down Tim's neck but I expect that number to greatly reduce after the second round when the men will be sorted from the boys.



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Robredo helpfully removed Lee from the picture despite carrying some kind of injury/problem.

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RobC


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Phau and Gimelstob have also been removed from behid Tim, and Horna from ahead of him. Fish  is a set down to Djokovic.

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Table updated.


Youzhny and Moodie  advance. Fish, Horna, Lee, Phau, Gimelstob and Lopez go out.


A very good day for Tim. there's a long gap behind him now, with only Mahut within 100 points. It's cleared up a bit ahead too. That Federer win guarantees him 3 places!



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