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imoen


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RE: Andy's competitors week 32: TMS Toronto
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VSandhi20 wrote:

when looking at the table, it shows his defending points as 50. i thought his run to the washington final was enough to get rid of the binghampton win


Last week Andy's 18th result was 21 from reaching the quarters at Mons. The 120 for the washington final replaced this, leaving 40 (from the quarters at Nottingham) as his 18th score. The 50 Binghampton points (which come off this week anyway) are currently in the 17th position. Does that clear things up or still not make sense?


The 'other countable tournaments' (all those not compulsory, so not Masters or Grand Slams) are very respectable scores, as shown by his having an 18th score of 40. However, the masters are less impressive. This means that in most ATP tournaments until this time next year at least Andy will have get beyond the quarters to gain any points, however, come the masters events he will be able to pile on the points by getting beyond round 1.



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mkkreuk


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The good news is that Andy cant be immediately (i.e. not in the next round) displaced by anyone below him other than Ferrero. Other than JC the others would have to get round three at least to overtake.

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imoen


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Good pin work yesterday. We lost Vliegen, Chela, and Massu.


Behind Andy the remaining threats are: Ferrero, T Johansson, Youzhny, Srichaphan, Moya and Mallisse.


Any spare pins could be put to good use in the people above Andy as well or he is unlikely to rise any further this week.



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RobC


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.........but things still looking ominous, with seven on that table into the second round.


The pessimists' post is as follows:


Worst case for Andy is now a drop of 6 if he goes out to Tim. This would put him down to 35th again. 12 can overtake, all the way down to Tim & Sanguinetti.


If he beats Tim, he gains two places, and could then lose a maximum of four, meaning a drop to 31, where he started the week. 10 can overtake.


If he makes the quarters (past Moya or Gremelmayer), he gains four places, and could then lose a maximum of four, meaning no move from his current 29th. 10 can overtake (from Tursunov to Benneteau).


If he makes the semis (past Niemenem?), he gains 9 places, and could then lose a maximum of five, meaning a gain of 4 to 25th. 12 can overtake (from Hrbaty to Gasquet).


If he makes the finals (Nadal?), he gains 11 places, and could then lose a max of 2, meaning a gain of 9 to 20th. 7 can overtake (Hrbaty to Johansson).


If he wins (Fed?), he gains 12 places, and could then lose a max of 2, meaning a gain of 10 to 19th. 2 can overtake (Haas & Hrbaty)


 



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Madeline


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That's a pessimist's post? Maybe the start!

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RobC


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Madeline wrote:

That's a pessimist's post? Maybe the start!


Welcome back Madeline!


It's a pessimist's post inasmuch as it's working out what his worst case ranking will be for each of the possible results.


 



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RobC


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JC's a set down to Gonzalez


Moya's a set and a break up on Gremelmayer


Srichapan & Malisse going with serve


Hrbaty's a break up on Benneteau ( if Andy makes the Semis, if he's out before then)



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mkkreuk


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Malisse takes the first set of Srichaphan on a tiebreak.



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mkkreuk


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Gonzalez beats Ferrero 6-2 6-1 (Great match from Gonzo)
Bennetau takes the first set off Hrbaty 7-2 in the tiebreak

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mkkreuk


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Moya bts Gremelmayr 6-1 6-4

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RobC


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JC loses to Gonzalez!


Benneteau beats Hrbaty - good news if Andy makes the Semis!


Malisse beats Srichapan


Now up: Acasuso  is battling it out in the third with Robredo (Andy overtakes in the quarters if Acasuso goes out now)


Clement is in a first set tie- break with Ljubicic (but needs to get to the final past the Fed to overtake)


Gasquet is a set up on Blake (also needs to reach the final past Nadal) to get past.


 



-- Edited by RobC at 18:57, 2006-08-09

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RobC


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Gasquet and Acasuso win.


Clement lost the tiebreak


Now Youzhny's taking on Berdych. Looks like it's with serve in the first.



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RobC


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Clement loses to Ljubicic


Grosjean  is already a set down against the Fed


Youzhny lost the first set breaker, and is a break down in the second



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johnnylad


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Youznhy is out at the hands of Berdych, which is doubly nice as I bet 10AM's on Berdych!

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nads


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Andy beat Tim, so up to 27

Poor Tim though

-- Edited by nads at 22:16, 2006-08-09

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