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Post Info TOPIC: Weeks 17 & 18 - ATP Masters 1000 - Madrid, Spain (clay)


Tennis legend

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Weeks 17 & 18 - ATP Masters 1000 - Madrid, Spain (clay)


As at 3.05 pm BST :

Cam has started on Arantxa Sanchez Stadium. *3-1 in the first set.

Jake is scheduled 5th on Stadium 3. The first match there lasted 3 hours and it is currently 5-5 in set 2 in the second match.



-- Edited by indiana on Thursday 24th of April 2025 02:08:11 PM



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Tennis legend

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Cam broken back for 3-2*

The second match has been completed on Stadium 3.



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Tennis legend

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indiana wrote:
stevemcqueen wrote:

Yunchaokete  has won only 7 matches this year. The majority of his ranking points come from hard courts.   He has never beaten a top 200 player on clay. The bookies will have JF as favourite



-- Edited by stevemcqueen on Wednesday 23rd of April 2025 03:11:18 PM


 Jake was slight favourite when I looked yesterday. Now showing 10/11 each.


Interestingly, Tennis Abstract forecast Bu as 55-45 slight favourite.  



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Tennis legend

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TA has Cam as 85% chance of winning.

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administrator

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That's a bit optimistic of TA

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Tennis legend

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Sheddie wrote:

That's a bit optimistic of TA


 Yes, it surprised me also! 



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Tennis legend

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Sheddie wrote:

That's a bit optimistic of TA


 I usually think the TA ratings are quite reflective of form. But they have Colton Smith (ATP rank 161) as 45th in the ELO ratings 

 

https://tennisabstract.com/reports/atp_elo_ratings.html

 

Im looking at his recent form and just dont get it.



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JonH comes home wrote:
indiana wrote:
stevemcqueen wrote:

Yunchaokete  has won only 7 matches this year. The majority of his ranking points come from hard courts.   He has never beaten a top 200 player on clay. The bookies will have JF as favourite



-- Edited by stevemcqueen on Wednesday 23rd of April 2025 03:11:18 PM


 Jake was slight favourite when I looked yesterday. Now showing 10/11 each.


Interestingly, Tennis Abstract forecast Bu as 55-45 slight favourite.  


 Well, my money is on Jake.



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Tennis legend

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indiana wrote:
JonH comes home wrote:
indiana wrote:
stevemcqueen wrote:

Yunchaokete  has won only 7 matches this year. The majority of his ranking points come from hard courts.   He has never beaten a top 200 player on clay. The bookies will have JF as favourite



-- Edited by stevemcqueen on Wednesday 23rd of April 2025 03:11:18 PM


 Jake was slight favourite when I looked yesterday. Now showing 10/11 each.


Interestingly, Tennis Abstract forecast Bu as 55-45 slight favourite.  


 Well, my money is on Jake.


 Fingers crossed, but yes, agree. 



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Tennis legend

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And a wee one on Cam ( at 11/5 against ) to recover from 5-7 *3-4 down and win. He was *0-3 in the second set.

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Cam into a 3rd set.

5-7 7-5

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indiana wrote:

Cam into a 3rd set.

5-7 7-5


 oh, this could be a good little bet, Indy! 



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JonH comes home wrote:
indiana wrote:

Cam into a 3rd set.

5-7 7-5


 oh, this could be a good little bet, Indy! 


 Ha, I've got to go out at *1-2. Took a wee profit at 1-1* 30-30 and cashed ( wimped ) out.



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Tennis legend

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indiana wrote:
JonH comes home wrote:
indiana wrote:

Cam into a 3rd set.

5-7 7-5


 oh, this could be a good little bet, Indy! 


 Ha, I've got to go out at *1-2. Took a wee profit at 1-1* 30-30 and cashed ( wimped ) out.


 ah, man - keep the faith!!!

 



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Strong Club Player

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That final set was the best I've seen Cam Norrie play for a long while

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