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Post Info TOPIC: Week 9 - ATP Challenger 125 - Bengaluru, India (hard)
indiana


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Week 9 - ATP Challenger 125 - Bengaluru, India (hard)
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Madadman wrote:

I think highly unlikely is pushing it a bit. You can have an off game or a bad match up but in general Billy has been on good form a 9-3 record in the previous 3 Indian challengers isnt bad. If he had entered directly, hed have been top seed I believe. I dont think youd say a win was highly unlikely if he had the top seeding!

Yes, Billy would have been top seed if he had entered so certainly not a typical LL. Agree with you here.

For instance, looking at the Tennis Abstract site, based on its ELO ratings Billy is showing with the 2nd highest title forecast at 14 4%. The leading forecast, twice as high at 28.8%, is Brandon Holt who Billy lost to in 3 sets in last week's QF. They are in the same half of the draw and could meet at the SF stage.

So while I think there may be legitimate concerns that he could maybe run out of steam and he did lose that FQR reportedly looking heavy legged ( and I would have had him on a plane out of India after last week ), in general he appears to be a possible contender.



-- Edited by indiana on Tuesday 25th of February 2025 05:08:09 PM

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Stircrazy


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indiana wrote:

So while I think there may be legitimate concerns that he could maybe run out of steam and he did lose that FQR reportedly looking heavy legged ( and I would have had him on a plane out of India after last week ), in general he appears to be a possible contender.

That said, today's effort shouldn't have taken too much out of him:  he was on court for all of 32 minutes & 46 seconds!  wink  More of a warm-up, really!



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JonH comes home


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indiana wrote:
Madadman wrote:

I think highly unlikely is pushing it a bit. You can have an off game or a bad match up but in general Billy has been on good form a 9-3 record in the previous 3 Indian challengers isnt bad. If he had entered directly, hed have been top seed I believe. I dont think youd say a win was highly unlikely if he had the top seeding!

Yes, Billy would have been top seed if he had entered so certainly not a typical LL. Agree with you here.

For instance, looking at the Tennis Abstract site, based on its ELO ratings Billy is showing with the 2nd highest title forecast at 14 4%. The leading forecast, twice as high at 28.8%, is Brandon Holt who Billy lost to in 3 sets in last week's QF. They are in the same half of the draw and could meet at the SF stage.

So while I think there may be legitimate concerns that he could maybe run out of steam and he did lose that FQR reportedly looking heavy legged ( and I would have had him on a plane out of India after last week ), in general he appears to be a possible contender.



-- Edited by indiana on Tuesday 25th of February 2025 05:08:09 PM

 To be honest I hadnt got around to checking tennis abstract and so interested to read that. Hes also done ok over the Indian stretch, not amazing but not terrible by any stretch. Generally a positive step forward. 

 

my comment was largely based on his qualies loss and my feeling hed run out of steam. Maybe a bit harsh and Im a big Billy fan, so Id love to see him have a great week and go as far as he can. Come on Billy! 



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Interestingly, two of the stalwarts of the Indian circuit this past few weeks, Jacquet and Kiprova went out round one. Jacquet has probably been the best performer and he lost 5-7 6-1 6-2 , suggesting he was tired; Kiprova was seeded one and he went out to a qualifier.

So possibly a number of them are tired - Schoolkate is the possible last 8 opponent for Billy and hes played a lot as well, as has Holt. It possibly could be last man standing takes the prize!

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Madadman


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A nice 6-4 6-3 win for Billy in 75 minutes.

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Stircrazy


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L16:  (LL) Billy Harris WR 110 defeated Marek Gengel (CZE) WR 251 by 4 & 3  smile



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Stircrazy


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L16:  Nicolás Mejía & Bernard Tomic (COL/AUS) UNR (399+0) defeated Jay Clarke & Blake Ellis (AUS) CR 463 (321+142) by 4-6 6-3 [10-5]  bleh



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Stircrazy


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Stircrazy wrote:

L16:  (LL) Billy Harris WR 110 defeated Marek Gengel (CZE) WR 251 by 4 & 3  smile

QF:   (LL) Billy Harris WR 110 vs (2) Tristan Schoolkate (AUS) WR 133 (= CH) 



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Well done Billy, good stuff. Big match next! Billy has a 2-0 H2H including 2 weeks ago in a 3 set toughie in New Delhi - Tennis Abstract have him a very tight favourite to win this one.

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Stircrazy


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L16:  (7) Shintaro Mochizuki (JPN) WR 167 defeated Jay Clarke WR 274 by 5-7 6-1 6-2



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Not been able to follow but see Billy is a break down in the third, 2-3. Won the opener well enough and lost the second 1-6, feels like momentum must be with the Aussie?

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indiana


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Not really now. Billy breaks to 30 and holds to 15.

4-3*

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indiana


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5-4*

C'mon Billy !

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QF:   (LL) Billy Harris WR 110 defeated (2) Tristan Schoolkate (AUS) WR 133 by 6-2 1-6 7-5  biggrin



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marvellous, great result for Billy!!

Where does that leave us? Has he gained any spots this week?

And is it Holt up next?

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