haven't voted, buz its a best of 5 sets! but i think murray win in 4, monfils is the home favourite, so murray's greater power and variety will lead him to beat monfils

Despite Monfils' ability to strike the ball with real power, especially on the forehand side, his natural instinct is that of a retriever, often 10 ft or more behind the baseline, using his athleticism to induce errors from an opponent overreaching while aiming to penetrate Monfils' defences.

If that plan isn't working Gael is prepared to up the pace on his groundstrokes, deploying a venomous forehand to hit outright winners at the first opportunity. In this mode, while he'll determine the outcome of the vast majority of the points, the unreliability of his attacking game means the strategy tends to favour his opponent.

During the first set in Hamburg Andy looked to take Monfils out of his comfort zone by drawing him to the net, then using passing shots and lobs to win the point. While Gael's speed around the court enabled him to reach drop shots with ease, and his volleying technique appeared solid, his lack of positional awareness and sense of where to place the ball presented Murray with gaps to exploit. Add in a few fiercely struck double-handed backhands down the line, the odd unreturned serve, and some sharp forehand combinations, Andy, without ever getting near his best, had for once controlled the destiny of a set, playing sensible clay court tennis, given the strengths and weaknesses of his opponent. 

A repeat of this formula should give Andy the edge, provided he serves aggressively, and keeps the match short enough that fitness isn't the determining factor. He has the weapons for clay but is too often guilty of presenting opponents with the opportunity to dominate, and ultimately win, the point without having to do anything special; serves lacking pace or angle, and forehands landing in midcourt, aren't good enough at this level.