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Post Info TOPIC: 2023 Men's Predictions Competition


Tennis legend

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2023 Men's Predictions Competition


Time to start scratching your heads and come up with your predictions for 2023. We had just 21 entries last year, so I hope more will take part this time around. Over forty people voted in the Player of the Season poll so it would be good to get more entries here. The closing date for entries is midnight on Dec 28th to give me time to process the entries before the tours start again on January 1st. As the time is tight this year I won't be accepting any late entries !

The finishing date for the competition will be the Monday after the ATP finals (20th November 2023) or after any later WTA events, although this may be extended further depending on the tour calendars and participation of our players. I won't be putting any entries onto the spreadsheet before Christmas, so until then you can change your entry as much as you like - but please, do it by editing your post rather than posting afresh, to save me some work !

Just so everyone is clear, and for anyone who didn't take part last year, here are the competition rules

Select 10 players and give your prediction of their end-of season GB ranking and world ranking.

As in the 2022 competition one substitute player is allowed, who must be named as such at the same time as the main selection of 10. Their predicted WR must also be given. The eleventh player may be substituted for any one of your main selections, but only in the two weeks immediately following the end of Wimbledon (i.e. 17th to 29th July only, to be confirmed precisely nearer the time). This will give a little flexibility, particularly in the case of long-term injuries, and will make it more interesting. The substitute will take your prediction of the GB ranking of the player they replace, so for example if you replaced Ryan Peniston (GB #6) with Billy Harris, Billy would become your #6 prediction so think carefully ! Continuing from last year, there will be two dummy entries, AsYouWere (based on the starting rankings) and Mr Average (based on everyones WR predictions).

Points will be awarded with a maximum of 10 points per player split between GB ranking and world ranking.

GB rankings. 5 points for a correct prediction, 4 for one out, 3 for 2 out, 2 for 3 out, 1 for 4 out or more than 4 out and player finishes in GB top 10. Note you can get points if a player finishes as low as GB14 e.g. You predict 10 they finish 14 difference is 4 so 1 point. You also get a point if your player finishes in the top ten if you havent gained any points already i.e. you predict GB7 and they finish GB1 you still get one point.

World ranking. Tweaking this slightly this year, hopefully to give a few extra points.

5 points if your prediction is within 7.5%, 4 if +/- 12.5%, 3 if +/- 20%, 2 if +/- 25% and 1 if  within +/- 30%  The reason why world ranking points is on % is that there is a big spread of rankings for GB top 10, so this method tries to even it out.



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Specialist Reporter + Intermediate Club Player

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Cam Norrie 18
Jack Draper 25
Dan Evans 36
Andy Murray 75
Liam Broady 135
Ryan Peniston 165
Paul Jubb 195
Jay Clarke 220
Jan Choinski 230
Alastair Gray 240

--

Substitute

Kyle Edmund 70


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Tennis legend

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Have no faith this will happen!!

1. Jack D 12
2 Cam N 25
3. Dan E 45
4. Kyle E 75
5. Andy M 90
6. Ryan P 120
7. Paul J 175
8. Jan C 200
9. Liam B 225
10. Ali G 275

Sub - Arthur Fery 210

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  1. Cam                    12
  2. Jack                    20
  3. Dan                      35
  4. Kyle                     70
  5. Liam                   100
  6. Paul                    160
  7. Ryan                   170
  8. Jan                     190
  9. Alastair              200
  10. Arthur                 220

Sub Felix                    230



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Intermediate Club Player

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Cam Norrie 14
Jack Draper 22
Dan Evans 27
Andy Murray 54
Liam Broady 118
Ryan Peniston 133
Paul Jubb 166
Jan Choinski 210
Arthur Fery 247
Charles Broom 299

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Rich2310



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Rich2310 wrote:

Cam Norrie 14
Jack Draper 22
Dan Evans 27
Andy Murray 54
Liam Broady 118
Ryan Peniston 133
Paul Jubb 166
Jan Choinski 210
Arthur Fery 247
Charles Broom 299


 Hi RIch - don't forget your subs picks - see TA's opening post for how this works but in essence you can select an 11th player who you might think is a bit of a wild card to do well but not sure, and put them as your sub to replace one of your top 10 , to be done during a post Wimbledon window. A sort of transfer window really. If someone is letting you down and your sub is doing well, it can help and, as said to me last year, a bit of a miss not to select someone. eg in your case Kyle might be a good wildcard?



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Tennis legend

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Thanks JonH for reminding people. I was going to do a follow up at the weekend, perhaps with some ranking tables to sharpen people's minds.

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the addict wrote:

Thanks JonH for reminding people. I was going to do a follow up at the weekend, perhaps with some ranking tables to sharpen people's minds.


 Ha - helping other folks out was in my mind and I also fought against it last year and eventually succumbed, and the sub process did help my score as well as make it more interesting. Folks interested in Fantasy Football would probably get it !



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Intermediate Club Player

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Cam Norrie 14
Jack Draper 22
Dan Evans 27
Andy Murray 54
Liam Broady 118
Ryan Peniston 133
Paul Jubb 166
Jan Choinski 210
Arthur Fery 247
Charles Broom 299

Sub Kyle Edmund 61

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Rich2310



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As a side note, CD won the women's competition last year when their sub (Beth) came in almost exactly as predicted. So well worth trying.



-- Edited by the addict on Thursday 15th of December 2022 05:05:20 PM

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Tennis legend

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You can also sub out a player who looks as if they will do 'too well' and not end up scoring well for you compared to your sub.

Tossing Ryan P aside worked rather well for me in the 2022 men's competition 



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All-time great

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Tennis legend

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Time to start chasing people up. Only 6 entries so far and I would like to see at least 30 to make it more interesting. Even if you don't follow players outside the top 100 you can still take a guess at who will be in the top ten at this time next year.

After all, the player of the season votes were over 40, so why not give it a go.

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the addict wrote:

Time to start chasing people up. Only 6 entries so far and I would like to see at least 30 to make it more interesting. Even if you don't follow players outside the top 100 you can still take a guess at who will be in the top ten at this time next year.

After all, the player of the season votes were over 40, so why not give it a go.


 I will be entering before the deadline.  Just not had time yet to make a chart and stick pins in it while blindfolded. wink



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I shall cerrtainly be defending my title. Well attempting to ...

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