Probably depends on how you calculate it. Someone on another forum revealed that The Tennis Base (a subscription service) has I guess some kind of a retrospective calculation that gives Gonzalez 291 weeks at #1 while Bill Tilden gets a whopping 723 weeks. Rod Laver also gets 452 weeks and Tony Wilding - who is outside the scope of Jeff's project here - has 378 weeks.
But that 291 weeks for González seems low if he was generally considered to be the best pro player at the end of 10 consecutive seasons.
>But that 291 weeks for González seems low if he was generally considered to be the best pro player at the end of 10 consecutive seasons.
This is where pro tennis history gets messy. There were people who rated him #1 at the end of '52 and '53, but he really didn't play much. Imagine if the PTPA staged two tournaments, Tim Henman came out of retirement to win one and make the final of the other, and then the PTPA rated Henman #1 at the end of the year. That's basically Gonzalez in 1952. A little less extreme, but similar, in 1953.
1954-61 is legit, though my ratings don't quite agree. He was definitely the #1 pro for that stretch, except possibly a little while behind Hoad. *But* my ratings occasionally put the best amateur ahead of the best pro, like the end of the 1958 season when Ashley Cooper won three slams. There's a good argument to be made that the best pro was always ahead of the best amateur, but on the other hand, in those years, Gonzalez sometimes had a very small margin ahead of the #2 pro, while the top amateur was miles ahead of that pack.
Jon, I have his Elo topping out in the 2150-2200 range. Though the overall ranking algorithm adjusted that a bit because Elos in that era were depleted (because the best players couldn't always play each other -- amateur vs pro, etc.) He's a really, really tough player to judge, because his best level sounds like it was so outrageously high, but the only really GOAT-level player he faced a lot in his prime, and beat, was Rosewall. And Rosewall seems to have peaked later, plus it probably wasn't a great matchup for him.
>But that 291 weeks for González seems low if he was generally considered to be the best pro player at the end of 10 consecutive seasons.
This is where pro tennis history gets messy. There were people who rated him #1 at the end of '52 and '53, but he really didn't play much. Imagine if the PTPA staged two tournaments, Tim Henman came out of retirement to win one and make the final of the other, and then the PTPA rated Henman #1 at the end of the year. That's basically Gonzalez in 1952. A little less extreme, but similar, in 1953.
1954-61 is legit, though my ratings don't quite agree. He was definitely the #1 pro for that stretch, except possibly a little while behind Hoad. *But* my ratings occasionally put the best amateur ahead of the best pro, like the end of the 1958 season when Ashley Cooper won three slams. There's a good argument to be made that the best pro was always ahead of the best amateur, but on the other hand, in those years, Gonzalez sometimes had a very small margin ahead of the #2 pro, while the top amateur was miles ahead of that pack.
Jon, I have his Elo topping out in the 2150-2200 range. Though the overall ranking algorithm adjusted that a bit because Elos in that era were depleted (because the best players couldn't always play each other -- amateur vs pro, etc.) He's a really, really tough player to judge, because his best level sounds like it was so outrageously high, but the only really GOAT-level player he faced a lot in his prime, and beat, was Rosewall. And Rosewall seems to have peaked later, plus it probably wasn't a great matchup for him.
thanks Jeff! Given that relatively low ELO peak, was it longevity of being at the top that swung him into 17th?
I was wondering if, given their respective years (Nadal with 2 slams, Djokovic with 1 slam and a Tour Finals) whether either of their years had moved the dial on their ranking spat out by Jeffs algorithm? I guess we all expect them to be high up if not tops, might their results this season have cemented or even changed the positions Jeff calculated at the start of this exercise ?
>Given that relatively low ELO peak, was it longevity of being at the top that swung him into 17th?
Yep. And I adjusted the Elo slightly for the era. This is where things got complicated -- in some eras, due to limited data, or the fracture between amateurs and pros, it was basically impossible to achieve an Elo as high as other eras. I made an adjustment for that, but not so much that it erased all era differences entirely.
>might their results this season have cemented or even changed the positions Jeff calculated at the start of this exercise ?
If I answered this completely, I'd end up spoiling whether one of them was already #1 when I made the list :).
But... one of them was pretty close to the person in front of him, and he did pick up a spot. For the most part, though, the top ~10 ended up pretty widely spaced out, so that's the only change that happened because of this season.
>Given that relatively low ELO peak, was it longevity of being at the top that swung him into 17th?
Yep. And I adjusted the Elo slightly for the era. This is where things got complicated -- in some eras, due to limited data, or the fracture between amateurs and pros, it was basically impossible to achieve an Elo as high as other eras. I made an adjustment for that, but not so much that it erased all era differences entirely.
>might their results this season have cemented or even changed the positions Jeff calculated at the start of this exercise ?
If I answered this completely, I'd end up spoiling whether one of them was already #1 when I made the list :).
But... one of them was pretty close to the person in front of him, and he did pick up a spot. For the most part, though, the top ~10 ended up pretty widely spaced out, so that's the only change that happened because of this season.
Thanks Jeff, makes sense. Will wait with interest !
Venus is next - I had her 26 so was some way out and Gameover was similar? Exre had her 20th so was closest of us three. But we all under rated her compared to Jeff.
Its late so will read the narrative and comment further tomorrow