Weeks 3-4 - Australian Open, Women's Main Draw - Melbourne, Australia - Hard

Michael D · All-time great

Weeks 3-4 - Australian Open, Women's Main Draw - Melbourne, Australia - Hard

the addict · Tennis legend

Not bad for Harriet, gives her a chance. Unfortunately Halep is likely to be waiting in the second round.

Michael D · All-time great

JonH comes home wrote:
Just a reminder in case anyone wants to participate in the poll

https://britishtennis.activeboard.com/t66234778/how-many-british-main-draw-wins-will-we-get-at-ao-2019/

And only 6 votes so far, so would be good to have some more!

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

That's a fair draw for Harriet. Won't be easy, but more favourable than most of the other possibilities I'd have thought. If I was listing my preference, it would go something like

Badosa, Cabrera, Doi, Stosur, Davis, Giorgi, Ostapenko, Sasnovich, Zheng, Cornet, Peng, Kanepi, Kerber, Muguruza, Yastremska, Kenin

On a side note, after a largely drab R1 schedule outside of a few select matches like Vekic-Sharapova, and Gauff-Venus, (that's generally speaking, without my British hat on, which would naturally be of interest whoever they faced), the qualifier placements have thrown in some additional interesting ties. Yastremska vs (a seemingly rejuvenated) Juvan (excuse the pun), could be a good one. Ostapenko-Samsonova another.

-- Edited by Ace Ventura on Saturday 18th of January 2020 12:33:08 PM

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

Michael D wrote:
JonH comes home wrote:
Just a reminder in case anyone wants to participate in the poll

https://britishtennis.activeboard.com/t66234778/how-many-british-main-draw-wins-will-we-get-at-ao-2019/
And only 6 votes so far, so would be good to have some more!

The inclusion of doubles, as opposed to keeping them seperate, may put a few off, because it can lead to just plucking a random number out of the air for those with little interest.

JonH comes home · Tennis legend

Ace Ventura wrote:
Michael D wrote:
JonH comes home wrote:
Just a reminder in case anyone wants to participate in the poll

https://britishtennis.activeboard.com/t66234778/how-many-british-main-draw-wins-will-we-get-at-ao-2019/
And only 6 votes so far, so would be good to have some more!
The inclusion of doubles, as opposed to keeping them seperate, may put a few off, because it can lead to just plucking a random number out of the air for those with little interest.

To be honest I've done those polls every slam for a couple of years and always included doubles , we usually get around 14 or so people take part usually

JonH comes home · Tennis legend

Ace Ventura wrote:
Michael D wrote:
JonH comes home wrote:
Just a reminder in case anyone wants to participate in the poll

https://britishtennis.activeboard.com/t66234778/how-many-british-main-draw-wins-will-we-get-at-ao-2019/
And only 6 votes so far, so would be good to have some more!
The inclusion of doubles, as opposed to keeping them seperate, may put a few off, because it can lead to just plucking a random number out of the air for those with little interest.

Year also edited to 2020 now !

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

JonH comes home wrote:
Ace Ventura wrote:
Michael D wrote:
JonH comes home wrote:
Just a reminder in case anyone wants to participate in the poll

https://britishtennis.activeboard.com/t66234778/how-many-british-main-draw-wins-will-we-get-at-ao-2019/
And only 6 votes so far, so would be good to have some more!
The inclusion of doubles, as opposed to keeping them seperate, may put a few off, because it can lead to just plucking a random number out of the air for those with little interest.
To be honest I've done those polls every slam for a couple of years and always included doubles , we usually get around 14 or so people take part usually

Yep, I know you have, and hopefully you get a few more taking part before the cut off as you put a fair bit of effort and enthusiasm into it, and doubles are reasonably popular on this forum in general, but I still think a few extra may participate if the singles were kept seperate. That said, a lot do appreciate what you do, so keep it up.

JonH comes home · Tennis legend

JonH comes home wrote:
Ace Ventura wrote:
Michael D wrote:
JonH comes home wrote:
Just a reminder in case anyone wants to participate in the poll

https://britishtennis.activeboard.com/t66234778/how-many-british-main-draw-wins-will-we-get-at-ao-2019/
And only 6 votes so far, so would be good to have some more!
The inclusion of doubles, as opposed to keeping them seperate, may put a few off, because it can lead to just plucking a random number out of the air for those with little interest.
To be honest I've done those polls every slam for a couple of years and always included doubles , we usually get around 14 or so people take part usually

Although I used to exclude mixed and then added it due to various aspects of popular demand !

Guess I cant win!

ROSAMUND · Futures level

JonH comes home wrote:
tennis abstract rates our ladies chances as:

JK - 66% chance to win first round, 40% to win 2nd round (v Garcia) and then likely to lose (19%) chance in last 32 v Yastremska

HW - 46% chance to win first round, just the underdog v Pliskova

KB - just a 15% chance versus Svitolina

They rate Osaka as favourite to beat Pliskova in the final
http://tennisabstract.com/current/2020AustralianOpenWomenForecast.html
Not too sure how they make Jo favourite against Jabeur. On their last meeting at Eastbourne Jo only won 5 games. The thing you can say about that was that the match was on court 1 and not the Centre Court and Jo might have been saving her energy for Wimbledon. However Jabeur was in good form this week.

-- Edited by JonH comes home on Friday 17th of January 2020 03:26:19 PM

Coup Droit · Tennis legend

Just for interest (or not....), and with thanks to zootennis:

Five former #ausopen junior champions in women's singles draws this year:

Strycova(02, 03)
Pavlyuchenkova(06, 07)
Rus(08)
Ka Pliskova(10)
Townsend(12)

ROSAMUND · Futures level

Coup Droit wrote:
Just for interest (or not....), and with thanks to zootennis:

Five former #ausopen junior champions in women's singles draws this year:

Strycova(02, 03)
Pavlyuchenkova(06, 07)
Rus(08)
Ka Pliskova(10)
Townsend(12)

Interesting to see which former junior champs are in the main draw even going back 18 years. Shows how durable Strycova is. However there are no players from 2013 onwards which begs the question what has gone wrong? I know the player who beat Katie Swan in 2015 has never made it on the main tour.

emmsie69 · Top national player

I find junior tennis very one dimensional and they don't need to be natural athletes to progress, whereas once you hit the seniors you really need to be able to move well to push on.

kundalini · Specialist Reporter + Intermediate Club Player

ROSAMUND wrote:
Coup Droit wrote:
Just for interest (or not....), and with thanks to zootennis:

Five former #ausopen junior champions in women's singles draws this year:

Strycova(02, 03)
Pavlyuchenkova(06, 07)
Rus(08)
Ka Pliskova(10)
Townsend(12)
Interesting to see which former junior champs are in the main draw even going back 18 years. Shows how durable Strycova is. However there are no players from 2013 onwards which begs the question what has gone wrong? I know the player who beat Katie Swan in 2015 has never made it on the main tour.

2013 - Ana Konjuh - elbow injury

2014 - Elizaveta Kulichkova - last played 2017 US Open qualifying so I imagine injured but not sure. Career high ranking 87. Wikipedia says retired. Tennisforum says now a coach.

2015 - Tereza Mihalikova - currently ranked 528, career high 349

2016 - Vera Lapko - currently ranked 360. Career high 60. Not played since Wimbledon. Knee injury and health issues (low immune system) mentioned in an article.

2017 - Marta Kostyuk - currently ranked 149. Career high 116

2018 - En-Shuo Liang - currently ranked 235. Career high 150

2019 - Clara Tauson - currently ranked 271. Career high 265

So I guess the answer is a combination of serious injury (3), perhaps not that amazing a player (1) and too early to expect much at WTA level (3).

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

Everyone of those from 2013-2018 received a QWC the next year, bar Kulichkova, who was already in the Q draw. No Tauson this year, so not sure if she's injured, or if they have stopped doing that. Diane Parry did get a QWC announced ages ago, so perhaps they have another arrangement with France to swap QWCs now, along with the reciprocal MDWC?