Weeks 3-4 - Australian Open, Women's Main Draw - Melbourne, Australia - Hard

Michael D · All-time great

Weeks 3-4 - Australian Open, Women's Main Draw - Melbourne, Australia - Hard

Michael D · All-time great

Jo's H2H with Jabeur: 1-1

Screenshot 2020-01-16 09.16.16.png

-- Edited by Michael D on Thursday 16th of January 2020 09:18:54 AM

Michael D · All-time great

These H2Hs are a nuisance since on both the ITF and WTA sites now they take up a massive amount of space. Nothing neat and easy to copy any longer. But I will do Heather's the more laborious way.

H2H: 1-1

Katowice Open - 04 Apr to 10 Apr 2016 City/Town:KatowiceSurface:Hard
1st round: Heather Watson GBR L 2-6 6-3 4-6 W Kristyna Pliskova CZE

Cincinnati - 09 Aug to 10 Aug 2014 City/Town:Cincinnati, OHSurface:Hard
1st round: Heather Watson GBR W 6-3 6-4 L Kristyna Pliskova CZE

Julia Carrot · All-time great

Presume Jo's and Heather's 1st round matches won't be on major show courts so fingers crossed I get to see them play. Forecast wet for Monday though, but I hope to be there at least 3 days.

JonH comes home · Tennis legend

Julia Carrot wrote:
Presume Jo's and Heather's 1st round matches won't be on major show courts so fingers crossed I get to see them play. Forecast wet for Monday though, but I hope to be there at least 3 days.

Jo, dan and kyle scheduled for monday, heather, katie and Cam on tuesday line up

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

Bit of a mixed bag there.

Jabeur really must be one of the most inconsistent players on tour, you never know what you're going to get, but I suspect it'll mainly come down to how Jo is physically as to what transpires.

Svitolina did get hammered the other day in her only match of 2020, but it's still an unfortunate draw for Katie, and I'll be treating it as a free hit where hopefully she can give a good account of herself, a bit like vs Sabalenka in R2 last year. Hopefully she'll get a few more games under her belt to assist her comeback.

A near enough 50/50 match for Hev I'd imagine. Pliskova (the lesser one) is currently ranked about as how as I can remember her being for a good while, but it definitely could have been worse (her twin for starters).

Hopefully Harriet can join them and get one of the nicer Q spots in the draw.

Julia Carrot · All-time great

JonH comes home wrote:
Julia Carrot wrote:
Presume Jo's and Heather's 1st round matches won't be on major show courts so fingers crossed I get to see them play. Forecast wet for Monday though, but I hope to be there at least 3 days.
Jo, dan and kyle scheduled for monday, heather, katie and Cam on tuesday line up

Thanks so much for that. I hadn't worked it out. Of course rain may mess things up. It's going to be around I think.

Michael D · All-time great

Julia Carrot wrote:
JonH comes home wrote:
Julia Carrot wrote:
Presume Jo's and Heather's 1st round matches won't be on major show courts so fingers crossed I get to see them play. Forecast wet for Monday though, but I hope to be there at least 3 days.
Jo, dan and kyle scheduled for monday, heather, katie and Cam on tuesday line up
Thanks so much for that. I hadn't worked it out. Of course rain may mess things up. It's going to be around I think.

At least you shouldn't need to worry so much about air quality then Julia!

I see there are plenty of bushfires ongoing still, so in that sense, I hope the rain lingers around a little longer to finish the task. With luck though it won't disrupt the tennis too much, but should make the temps more bearable than they have been some years.

JonH comes home · Tennis legend

For those interested, I have put a poll on how many winners we will get at the AO in the predictions section

Barefoot · Lower Club Player

Ace Ventura wrote:
Bit of a mixed bag there.

Jabeur really must be one of the most inconsistent players on tour, you never know what you're going to get, but I suspect it'll mainly come down to how Jo is physically as to what transpires.

Svitolina did get hammered the other day in her only match of 2020, but it's still an unfortunate draw for Katie, and I'll be treating it as a free hit where hopefully she can give a good account of herself, a bit like vs Sabalenka in R2 last year. Hopefully she'll get a few more games under her belt to assist her comeback.

A near enough 50/50 match for Hev I'd imagine. Pliskova (the lesser one) is currently ranked about as how as I can remember her being for a good while, but it definitely could have been worse (her twin for starters).

Hopefully Harriet can join them and get one of the nicer Q spots in the draw.

Pretty much totally agree with you here, but I think Hev will have a little more of a free hit now as well after this week and I can see her not quite getting over the line. Katie will lose, but it should be great practice. Svitolina got hammered by DRC, but everyone is currently getting hammered by DRC so I reckon she'll be on better form next week!

JonH comes home · Tennis legend

tennis abstract rates our ladies chances as:

JK - 66% chance to win first round, 40% to win 2nd round (v Garcia) and then likely to lose (19%) chance in last 32 v Yastremska

HW - 46% chance to win first round, just the underdog v Pliskova

KB - just a 15% chance versus Svitolina

They rate Osaka as favourite to beat Pliskova in the final

http://tennisabstract.com/current/2020AustralianOpenWomenForecast.html

-- Edited by JonH comes home on Friday 17th of January 2020 03:26:19 PM

HarryGem · Club Coach

JonH comes home wrote:
tennis abstract rates our ladies chances as:

JK - 66% chance to win first round, 40% to win 2nd round (v Garcia) and then likely to lose (19%) chance in last 32 v Yastremska

HW - 46% chance to win first round, just the underdog v Pliskova

KB - just a 15% chance versus Svitolina

They rate Osaka as favourite to beat Pliskova in the final
http://tennisabstract.com/current/2020AustralianOpenWomenForecast.html

-- Edited by JonH comes home on Friday 17th of January 2020 03:26:19 PM

Heather has a great chance to win her match. Jo, who knows how fit she is. Very tough for Katie though.

Hard to see past Serena for the final, especially given her usual easy draw which she always seems to get in the first few rounds.

kundalini · Specialist Reporter + Intermediate Club Player

Harriet plays Misaki Doi who has 1 win in Aus Open in 5 attempts. Last year she managed to qualify then lost to Madison Brengle in the first round.

In previous years she lost to Parmentier in straight sets, a tight three set match against Kerber, a heavy defeat against Jelena Jankovic. Her main draw win came against Petra Martic in 2013, failed to win a game against Sharapova in the 2nd round.

Elsewhere her record in slams is W1 - L7 at US Open, W1 - L7 at Roland Garros, W6 - L7 at Wimbledon, including reaching R16.

Last year Misaki Doi won a 125K on clay in Sweden, other than that her best results came in Japan.

Tennis Abstract give Harriet a 40.6% chance.

As far as I can tell, Misaki Doi has played one match so far in 2020, a 4-6 1-6 loss to Kateryna Bondarenko in Shenzhen.

Simona Halep or Jennifer Brady awaiting the winner.

-- Edited by kundalini on Saturday 18th of January 2020 06:57:28 AM

Babfive · Pro player

That's not the worst first round match for Harriet.

JonH comes home · Tennis legend

Just a reminder in case anyone wants to participate in the poll

https://britishtennis.activeboard.com/t66234778/how-many-british-main-draw-wins-will-we-get-at-ao-2019/