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Post Info TOPIC: Week 2 - WTA International ($275k) - Hobart, Australia - Hard
HarryGem


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RE: Week 2 - WTA International ($275k) - Hobart, Australia - Hard
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Ace Ventura wrote:
HarryGem wrote:
Ace Ventura wrote:

It really has been a very good start of the year for Heather. A blip against Sanders, but 2 top 100 wins, and perhaps most pleasing, securing direct AO entry, and avoiding the dreaded qualifiers.

She should have more than a good chance of beating Teichman as she is the 8/15 betting favourite, although it is still a higher ranked, top 100 player. I remember when Katie S played Teichmann at RG quals when Jil was in the top 100, and Andy P noticed the vast majority of her points had come at the WTA Prague event a few weeks prior. She has since added another WTA clay title to her resume (Palermo), so that clearly needs to be respected, and it does make it seem less like a fluke random hot run, but a huge 578 of her 883 points have still come at those 2 events, so it shows how modest she was throughout the rest of 2019.

IF she does get past Teichmann, then it'll be a familiar face in round 2 - either Peterson, who she lost to in the Tianjin final a few months ago, or Ferro, who she beat last week in Brisbane.



-- Edited by Ace Ventura on Sunday 12th of January 2020 12:37:46 PM

 That's amazing really. Though nearly half of Heather's points come from her best two events last season. It is good she has started so well this season especially as she was so poor for the first 4 months of last year she has hardly any points to defend.

Yep, I guess a lot of players will have a few events where they do a lot better than their typical results, but Teichmann's really do stand out massively. Heather does at least have the 70 at Wimbledon, 80 for winning that Japan W60 title, and 57 for the New Haven SF, to go with those 180 and 140 at Tianjin and Vancouver, whereas Teichmann's 3 biggest points hauls outside of her 2 titles are 60, 50 and then 30.

Teichmann would likely rather win the 2 events and then do very little else, than reach e.g. 4 WTA intl SFs and 2 QFs to record exactly the same number of points, as she'll always be a multiple WTA title winner, but for me, when analysing GB opponents, posting far more consistent results throughout the season, but without that end carrot, does make the prospect seem tougher for our players (just generally speaking, not factoring in specific game styles or match ups), and I guess that is reflected in the odds here.



-- Edited by Ace Ventura on Sunday 12th of January 2020 02:31:36 PM

 I agree. I think Heather should win. Teichmann is a few years younger and less experienced and I think Heather has the better game. Last season wasn't really that great for Heather though she finished strongly and happily seems to have taken some of the end of season confidence into the new one.



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Julia Carrot


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Oh Lordy Lordy........ Heather is getting hammered. 1 - 6 0 - 3

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Peter too


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Heather won at least four games in a row to take the 2nd set 6-4. She is 2-0* up in the 3rd.

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Peter too


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R1: WATSON, Heather (GBR) Q 101 def TEICHMANN, Jil (SUI) 67 1-6 6-4 6-4

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Peter too


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R2: WATSON, Heather (GBR) Q 101 v FERRO, Fiona (FRA) 63 CH=61 9/9/19

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Babfive


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Peter too wrote:

R2: WATSON, Heather (GBR) Q 101 v FERRO, Fiona (FRA) 63 CH=61 9/9/19

 Let's hope for a repeat of their last meeting at Brisbane.



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the addict


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Wow, that's some comeback.
Very poor stats for the first set, big improvement after that.

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PaulM


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Big comeback. Good stuff, but hope she doesn't (as she's done before) run herself out of steam in Hobart and have nothing for Melbourne.

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Michael D


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PaulM wrote:

Big comeback. Good stuff, but hope she doesn't (as she's done before) run herself out of steam in Hobart and have nothing for Melbourne.

Yes, but she now has 48 pts from Hobart and is up to LR 91, which all helps her a lot. One more win and she has 78 pts, and would have to win two MD matches in Melbourne to better. 

And so much in the grand slams, if you are unseeded, depends on your first round draw as you know. So I'm still of the view, better the wins and the points in the bank now, and take the risk for Melbourne.  



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mbturner


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Teichmann was leading 1-6 0-3 and playing like Federer, in total control. She then started to make errors, Heather found her range, won the next five games and saw out the set. The last set was a tense affair with breaks early on then both players holding their serve. Heather broke for 3-2 and the rest of the set went with serve. Strange match, Teichmann will be wondering how it got away from her. Great boost for Heather.

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mbturner


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Heather had Alex Ward coaching her, not the usual Morgan Phillips. Both are in the JTC stable though.

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Nix


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Michael D wrote:
PaulM wrote:

Big comeback. Good stuff, but hope she doesn't (as she's done before) run herself out of steam in Hobart and have nothing for Melbourne.

Yes, but she now has 48 pts from Hobart and is up to LR 91, which all helps her a lot. One more win and she has 78 pts, and would have to win two MD matches in Melbourne to better. 

And so much in the grand slams, if you are unseeded, depends on your first round draw as you know. So I'm still of the view, better the wins and the points in the bank now, and take the risk for Melbourne.  

 I agree. But most importantly, the comeback suggests Heather's confidence is high, which is so important to her performance.  



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JonH comes home


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With Peterson losing to Ferro, Tennis Abstract fancy Heather to beat Ferro, roughly 60-40

www.tennisabstract.com/current/2020WTAHobart.html

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Status Quo


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Well done Hev.

BBC still not found room to report this MD WTA win though. Norrie/Evans equivalent ATP R32 results (W1 L1) have had their own story up for >7 hours

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Status Quo


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Status Quo wrote:

Well done Hev.

BBC still not found room to report this MD WTA win though. Norrie/Evans equivalent ATP R32 results (W1 L1) have had their own story up for >7 hours

And now a revision of the Evans/Norrie story has inserted two brief paragraphs on Jev.

Coincidence? Hell NO! I changed the world!!! I WAS the change I wanted to see in the world etc etc dissolves in aphoristic ecstasy




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