There is also atleast 1 LL place available should she not qualify by right.

Status Quo wrote:

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Good win that.
One to go, and Wang Xiyu is a good a chance as could realistically be hoped for given the magnitude of the stage.
Go on Harriet: make it so.

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I'm not sure, looking at some of the other FQR options, there's so many others I'd have rather she played. Reigning US Open junior champ so has good memories / experiences, beat Puig in Miami earlier in the year, beat Peterson the week before the Swede beat Jo, won a W60+H title a few months ago, not far from the top 100 and improving all the time, a lot of finance behind her, and comes with a big team. It'll be a very tough test IMO.

Katie S did beat her in RG quals (which I was surprised about), and she is yet to qualify for a slam, but I'd make the youngster a fairly big favourite. Obviously really hope Harriet comes through. 

emmsie69 wrote:

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There is also atleast 1 LL place available should she not qualify by right.

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I was just about to mention this, in my recent Wang post, but it's probably not going to be relevant to Harriet, but may well be to Xiyu - there's actually 3 LLs at the moment, so as one of the higher remaining seeds left, Xiyu will have a very good chance of getting it, but it's done by ranking involving the highest ranked, not pot luck, so Harriet would need a massive sequence of results to go her way for her to be in contention if she did lose.

I'm sure that won't be on Wang's mind though, even conservatively, because it's too big a risk.

emmsie69 wrote:

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Ace Ventura wrote:

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emmsie69 wrote:

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There is also atleast 1 LL place available should she not qualify by right.

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I was just about to mention this, in my recent Wang post, but it's probably not going to be relevant to Harriet, but may well be to Xiyu - there's actually 3 LLs at the moment, so as one of the higher remaining seeds left, Xiyu will have a very good chance of getting it, but it's done by ranking involving the highest ranked, not pot luck, so Harriet would need a massive sequence of results to go her way for her to be in contention if she did lose.

I'm sure that won't be on Wang's mind though, even conservatively, because it's too big a risk.

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 I thought it was still a draw between the 4 top ranked to lose in the FQR, is it different at the US open. Currently a max of 12 seeds left so if 8 win then Harriet will make it into the pot.

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Yeah, it's not actually quite as bad as I thought. McHale has just lost, so that's another one out of the equation - the ironic part is that she was the next in at the time of the cut off, so if Zvonareva and Schmeidlova didn't do what Katie B did in Roland Garros (which they are perfectly entitled to do), McHale would have been in the main draw and there'd be less lucky loser spots.

Anyway, there's only 1 other FQR match between 2 seeds which is in Harriet's favour, so one of Babos or Lepchenko are guaranteed to be in that pot of 4 ahead of Harriet, but hopefully the majority of seeds do win their FQR - there's 9 other matches involving higher ranked seeds (vs unseeded players), and Harriet would need at least 7 of them winning, so still a long shot, 7/9 wins needed, but not impossible. She could of course win to avoid us even discussing this back door route.

Just for the record, here is the complete list of 16 FQRs:

1. Rybakina vs Cabrera
2. Badosa vs Frech
5. Flipkens vs Larsson
13. Townsend vs Stojanovic
17. Kalinskaya vs Muhammad
24. Gibbs vs Peng
25. Hon vs Allertova (PR)
27. Martincova vs Kucova
28. Bogdan vs Shinikova
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10. Wang (Xiyu) vs 29. Dart
11. Lepchenko vs 19. Babos
Cepelova vs Fourlis
WC Dolehide vs Friedsam
Bolkvadze vs Xu
Gracheva vs Hogemkamp
Wang (Xinyu) vs Ruse

So there's only actually been 13/32 seeds to have made it this far.

There'll actually be 5 LLs placed in a pot for 3 to make the main draw. Babos/Lepchenko will be in the LL pot before Harriet (if required), but she'd need no more than 3 seeds from the first batch of 9 matches to lose for her to stand a chance. 4 losing seeds would join Babos/Lepchenko in the pot to put Harriet out of contention. Any more withdrawing between now and the start of play would obviously increase her chances further.

ROSAMUND wrote:

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I see one of the USA players who has got into the main draw because she is their junior champion of 2019 has an appropriate surname if she makes it and that is Katie Volynets.

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 With a name like that, what other career could you possibly follow?

Volleyball?