From Ace's post showing the match ups for the last round, Harriet must be close to getting in via a Lucky Loser Spot, as well as having a chance to qualify. Keeping my fingers crossed for her to qualify by right, but that is really good news. I wonder if they will draw for the Lucky Losers pot tonight or tomorrow?
Yeah, you'd like to think there'd be 6 seeded wins from those selected 9 matches. Unseeded Peng is actually the 8/15 favourite to beat Gibbs (which could be one of the 4 unseeded wins we wouldn't want), and there's a few very close like Martincova and Hon both 4/6 (vs 11/10) to beat their respective unseeded opponents. Rybakina, Kalinskaya, Flipkens, Bogdan and Townsend are are all pretty clear faves, so hopefully there are 6 wins there to give Harriet a 3/5 60% of getting in should she lose to Wang - Harriet is the 13/8 underdog in that match for what it's worth, but then again, she was underdog against Baptiste as well. I'll definitely be keeping an eye on the other results though with the LL situation in mind.
You'd like to think Rybakina would win (I do from a personal POV anyway), as she has been stroming through both her matches, only dropping 5 games combined and is ranked in the 60s so should really be a level above, but then she was also stroming though her Wimbledon quallies as the 8th Q seed, dropping just the 8 games combined before surprisingly going down to Flink in the FQR, and that was also on the back of making the semi final of that Dutch WTA grass event, so you can never take anything for granted when there is so much on the line.
If we were looking at it from a recent Wimbledon perspective there were a fair few higher ranked players who lost either lower ranked seeds or unseeded players in the FQR, which wouldn't be ideal here.
-- Edited by Ace Ventura on Friday 23rd of August 2019 12:21:45 PM
Haven't seen it reported elsewhere, but Stu Fraser reports in The Times that Katie Swan was injured for her QR1 match
"Swan out for a month
It is not the best of times for British tennis players named Katie. A 6-3, 6-3 defeat for Katie Swan by Katrina Scott, a 15-year-old American junior ranked No 1,042, in the first round of US Open qualifying had some of her supporters speculating whether she was injured, and confirmation of this has now come. The 20-year-old will be out of action for a month because of an issue with her left foot."
Regarding the LL situation, was just checking to see what happened last year. Brengle and Barthel got in a few days after Qs had finished after Kumkhum and Buzarnescu withdrew much later - so that option could also be available with even later withdrawals, and with the men, Polansky (remember the career LL grand slam, haha) and Sonego got in the same days as quals finished, so I assume that will be the case here - Mahut and Bemelmens also got in later after further late withdrawals.
Wimbledon also had 3 LLs on the women's side this year and selected their 5 highest ranked FQR losers and then randomly drew them in order - so it was Davis, McHale and Bouzkova in the top 3 (can't remember what order) who all got in as the 3 LLs, and then Blinkova was 4th and Rybakina 5th, and had there have been any more withdrawals (which there wasn't) then that would have been the order that they got in - so I'm not sure if that is part of the Grand Slam rule book and would also apply here, or if that was specific to Wimbledon. I hope it applies here as it seems the most fair - 3 get in and then the other 2 know eactly where they stand.
Regarding the LL situation, was just checking to see what happened last year. Brengle and Barthel got in a few days after Qs had finished after Kumkhum and Buzarnescu withdrew much later - so that option could also be available with even later withdrawals, and with the men, Polansky (remember the career LL grand slam, haha) and Sonego got in the same days as quals finished, so I assume that will be the case here - Mahut and Bemelmens also got in later after further late withdrawals.
Wimbledon also had 3 LLs on the women's side this year and selected their 5 highest ranked FQR losers and then randomly drew them in order - so it was Davis, McHale and Bouzkova in the top 3 (can't remember what order) who all got in as the 3 LLs, and then Blinkova was 4th and Rybakina 5th, and had there have been any more withdrawals (which there wasn't) then that would have been the order that they got in - so I'm not sure if that is part of the Grand Slam rule book and would also apply here, or if that was specific to Wimbledon. I hope it applies here as it seems the most fair - 3 get in and then the other 2 know eactly where they stand.
I'm going for a Harriet win, Wang can worry about the LL spot
Regarding the LL situation, was just checking to see what happened last year. Brengle and Barthel got in a few days after Qs had finished after Kumkhum and Buzarnescu withdrew much later - so that option could also be available with even later withdrawals, and with the men, Polansky (remember the career LL grand slam, haha) and Sonego got in the same days as quals finished, so I assume that will be the case here - Mahut and Bemelmens also got in later after further late withdrawals.
Wimbledon also had 3 LLs on the women's side this year and selected their 5 highest ranked FQR losers and then randomly drew them in order - so it was Davis, McHale and Bouzkova in the top 3 (can't remember what order) who all got in as the 3 LLs, and then Blinkova was 4th and Rybakina 5th, and had there have been any more withdrawals (which there wasn't) then that would have been the order that they got in - so I'm not sure if that is part of the Grand Slam rule book and would also apply here, or if that was specific to Wimbledon. I hope it applies here as it seems the most fair - 3 get in and then the other 2 know eactly where they stand.
The Grand Slab rulebook isn't clear on what happens when additional LL places become available. but it is certainly drawn from two more than the places available at the time. Interesting to surmise what would happen of someone withdrew at the last minute from a match scheduled late on the second day of the first round.
I think if someone withdraws late on in the first round that the Lucky Loser still takes the spot, as whoever is next reserve is expected to be on call until the first round is completed - there have been instances of that happening in the later matches of first rounds in the past at Grand Slams, but don't ask me to recall names and dates. In doubles though I don't think they are as strict; it seems that if there are a rash of withdrawals, that they then allow players through to the next round, probably as they rapidly run out of reserves still available to play.
I can remember quite a few Wimbledons from many years ago, where the number of withdrawals from the doubles became ridiculous, as bad weather decimated the event, and by the first Thursday, they were still attempting to play first round singles matches, so players in the doubles were dropping like flies, as players in the singles didn't fancy a huge amount of back to back matches.
Incidentally as King of Typos, I much prefer the Grand Slab rulebook to the Grand Slam rulebook - makes me think of something a bit Egyptian, for the lackeys to bring in a great ancient stone slab, for those elderly priests of the rules to consult what the ancient stones say the rules are!! Mind you some of those running Wimbledon were probably alive in the ancient Egyptian era.
At least you didn't type 'stroming' for 'storming' twice in the same paragraph, ha. I swear something has changed for me these past couple of weeks - I'm sure there was some kind of spell check when on here in the past, but that seems to have vanished, and it's the same for other sites too.
Play underway after a near two hour delay, so Harriet will be on later than originally expected.
Edit - Doesn't affect Harriet, but the first player to come through quals is 17 year old Wang Xinyu, in under an hour - let's hope she's the only Wang X to do so today. A couple of seeds like Badosa and Martincova have dropped their first sets.
-- Edited by Ace Ventura on Friday 23rd of August 2019 05:39:25 PM
Badosa out, so she will definitely be one of the 5 in the pot, and joining the Babos/Lepchenko loser as 2 ahead of Harriet in the pecking order. Martincova has levelled up and is 3-2* in the decider, but Hon has lost her first set - Harriet is ranked below both of those, so both of them losing would be a blow for her chances.
Martincova through in 3, so that's one of the closer looking ones on paper out of the way as well.
-- Edited by Ace Ventura on Friday 23rd of August 2019 07:06:31 PM
Harriet has two break points, but only because Wang doubles on deuce twice. Both saved.
Jeez this Chinese girl is good. Hits a bigger ball than her also scarily talented namesake who demolished Ruse earlier. And nice lefty serve. But the less solid of the two.
Harriet goes from 0-30 to 40-30 to having to save two break points.
Both Wang's have really big support teams, so it's probably a lot of those in the corwd. If they both do carry on their trajectory then it's an absolute dream for the WTA given the direction the tour is going, and both will be big factors in the post New York Chinese Swing, where there are about 10 events.