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Ace Ventura


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Weeks 12 & 13 - WTA Premier Mandatory - Miami, USA - Hard
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ROSAMUND wrote:
Ace Ventura wrote:

Jo responding well here 4-1*.

Could still turn out that way, but I was expecting a really tough match here - Pegula has come a very long way this past 7/8 months. She was underranked due to injury, but I remember Gabi losing to her in a US Open warm up event (some US ITF) and Gabi was higher ranked at the time and I was a bit disappointed, pretty sure she beat Katy Dunne around that time as well, probably the same tournament, but since then she reached WTA Quebec final, a recent 125k final (losing to Andreescu) and is now in the top 100.

Interesting background as well as her dad is a billionaire and owns a couple of Tampa sports teams.

 Re Jessica Pegula, she has been around a long time. Back in April 2009 at Ponta Vedra Beach, Marion Bartoli who was 13 in the World at the time finished up playing qualifying because I think she forgot to enter. She beat Jessica Pegula in the 2nd round of qualifying in what was a very early tournament in Pegula's career.

Didn't realise that, but yeah just checked. She's just turned 25 now so would have just turned 15 then. Thought this may have been a banana skin for Jo, so glad she came through relatively straightforward.

Interesting match up with Wang Q next. Wang hasn't hit the heights yet of late last year when playing at home and really climbed the rankings, but is starting to find a bit of form after a short injury layoff and is obviously the seed. 



-- Edited by Ace Ventura on Friday 22nd of March 2019 10:00:24 AM

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ROSAMUND


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With the odds I've seen, Jo is favourite to win this  match  with Wang. In their previous meeting at Shenzen  which was Jo's first match of 2016, Wang had a 3 set win. Apart from Tomljanovic at Brisbane and Alexandrova (when injured) at Sydney you have to go back a  while  to find when Jo last  lost to a lower ranked player. The trouble is that latterly  Jo  has played  competitive matches  against higher ranked players which she has finished up  losing.



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Ace Ventura


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ROSAMUND wrote:

With the odds I've seen, Jo is favourite to win this  match  with Wang. In their previous meeting at Shenzen  which was Jo's first match of 2016, Wang had a 3 set win. Apart from Tomljanovic at Brisbane and Alexandrova (when injured) at Sydney you have to go back a  while  to find when Jo last  lost to a lower ranked player. The trouble is that latterly  Jo  has played  competitive matches  against higher ranked players which she has finished up  losing.

Yeah, very close, but Jo 8/11 slight fave.

It's quite strange, Putintseva beat Konta at the French Open last year and then went on to beat Wang in the 3rd round. Had Jo have met Wang instead, it would have been 21 Jo vs 85 Wang (she was ranked 91 the week before in Strasbourg), and that's only 9 and a half months ago, so the odds are probably taking into account where both have been these past 2 or 3 years.

Both are 27, but Jo is in and around the lowest she has been ranked since that Shenzhen match (before that great AO run to really propel her to the next level), whereas Wang (who was outside the top 100 at Shenzhen) is at a CH and well away from where she has been for the majority of her career. I think 50/50 is a fair reflection.

I'd even be looking forward to it as a neutral.



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JonH


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Ace Ventura wrote:
ROSAMUND wrote:

With the odds I've seen, Jo is favourite to win this  match  with Wang. In their previous meeting at Shenzen  which was Jo's first match of 2016, Wang had a 3 set win. Apart from Tomljanovic at Brisbane and Alexandrova (when injured) at Sydney you have to go back a  while  to find when Jo last  lost to a lower ranked player. The trouble is that latterly  Jo  has played  competitive matches  against higher ranked players which she has finished up  losing.

Yeah, very close, but Jo 8/11 slight fave.

It's quite strange, Putintseva beat Konta at the French Open last year and then went on to beat Wang in the 3rd round. Had Jo have met Wang instead, it would have been 21 Jo vs 85 Wang (she was ranked 91 the week before in Strasbourg), and that's only 9 and a half months ago, so the odds are probably taking into account where both have been these past 2 or 3 years.

Both are 27, but Jo is in and around the lowest she has been ranked since that Shenzhen match (before that great AO run to really propel her to the next level), whereas Wang (who was outside the top 100 at Shenzhen) is at a CH and well away from where she has been for the majority of her career. I think 50/50 is a fair reflection.

I'd even be looking forward to it as a neutral.

 Tennis abstract rates Wang as a very slim favourite, it does seem a real 50/50 match overall

18)Qiang Wang (CHN)     51.3%      
Johanna Konta (GBR)     48.7%


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JonH
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Heather's doubles is about to start shortly

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Ace Ventura


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Ostapenko blows a 4-1* and 5-3 *40-15 lead to lose 5-7 1-6 and that's 2 matches on Jo's court to have finished within 3 hours of play starting. 15 y/o WC Gauff vs Kasatkina next and then Jo, so she'll likely clash directly with the England match.

Ostapenko was defending F points here so will be at her lowest ranking since winning the French Open 2 years ago and it's only really the Wimbledon SF that's keeping her in and around the slam seeding positions.

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JonH


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Heather and partner 5-2 ahead first set versus 7th seeds

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R1: KONTA, Johanna (GBR) 38 def PEGULA, Jessica (USA) Q 90 6-1 6-4

R2: KONTA, Johanna (GBR) 38 v WANG, Qiang (CHN)18 18 =CH
H2H 0-2
Shenzhen 2016 Wang 3-6 6-3 3-6
Hong Kong 2016 Wang w.o.

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JonH


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And a good win for hev and arruabarrena, well done them

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JonH
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JonH wrote:

And a good win for hev and arruabarrena, well done them

 6-2 7-5 They were *4-3 a few minutes ago, then it was 4-5.

Excellent result



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flamingowings


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Ace Ventura wrote:

Ostapenko blows a 4-1* and 5-3 *40-15 lead to lose 5-7 1-6 and that's 2 matches on Jo's court to have finished within 3 hours of play starting. 15 y/o WC Gauff vs Kasatkina next and then Jo, so she'll likely clash directly with the England match.

Ostapenko was defending F points here so will be at her lowest ranking since winning the French Open 2 years ago and it's only really the Wimbledon SF that's keeping her in and around the slam seeding positions.

 Ostapenko will leave the top 30. Sabalenka out also. Such is the WTA tour - varied.



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indiana


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L32: Lara Arruabarrena (ESP) & Heather Watson CR 88 (39+49) beat (7) Andreja Klepac & Maria Jose Martinez Sanchez (SLO/ROU) CR 38 (19+19) by 6-2 7-5

L16: Lara Arruabarrena (ESP) & Heather Watson CR 88 (39+49) vs Darija Jurak & Raluca Olaru (CRO/ROU) CR 76 (40+36)



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flamingowings


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tsk, beaten by indi by a whisker.

 



-- Edited by flamingowings on Friday 22nd of March 2019 07:39:25 PM

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Ace Ventura


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Another straight sets win on Jo's court, so she should be on in the next 10/15 mins or so. Seems a tight turnaround (finished her match around 1.30am UK), but I guess it'll be similar for many of the smaller WTA events.

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indiana


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Indian Wells and Miami generally are singles day on, day off in the earlier rounds.

I think Jo, like quite a few, had got a day behind with the earlier weather problems and today is due to be bottom half R3 which is where she is now.



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