Week 8 - (ITF W25) - Glasgow, GB Hard

the addict · Tennis legend

RE: Week 8 - (ITF W25) - Glasgow, GB Hard

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

Ella lost 2-6 4-6 and that caps a very disappointing day in Glasgow. These 25k events in GB are few and far between these days and it's harder for those 400-800 to get into these events as we have seen recently, so you'd have hoped for a better return than 1 win in 8, followed by a subsequent loss and no points at all for any of them.

The calibre of GB player wasn't as strong as last week in Shrewsbury, but then again, considering that was a 60k, neither would the opposition on the whole here. Some commendable performances, but a lot of missed opportunities. Hopefully the girls tomorrow can take advantage of some relatively kind draws to even things out.

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

Qualifiers placed.

Robson vs Maria Sanchez
Freya vs Arcangioli (who beat Alicia in a MTB)
Emma vs Talaba (who beat both Tara and Ella)

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

Looks like it's just Maia and Jodie playing tomorrow and a lot of doubles.

paulisi · Tennis legend

Peter too wrote:
R1: ROBSON, Laura (GBR) WC 535 v SANCHEZ, Maria (USA) Q 369 CH=107 2013
R1: JONES, Francesca (GBR) (IR) 469 v SERBAN, Raluca Georgiana (CYP) 3 219 CH=214 17/12/18
H2H 0-1 Santa Margherita Di Pula 2018 SERBAN 2-6 3-6

R1: LUMSDEN, Maia (GBR) 325 v CRISTIAN, Jaqueline Adina (ROU) 328 CH=201 19/3/18

R1: BURRAGE, Jodie Anna (GBR) WC 345 v OZGEN, Pemra (TUR) 7 236 CH=207 2014
H2H 0-3
Sharm El Sheikh 2017 Ozgen 2-6 1-6
Sharm El Sheikh 2017 Ozgen 2-6 1-6
Woking 2018 Ozgen 3-6 5-7

R1: RADUCANU, Emma (GBR) WC 627 v TALABA, Gabriela (ROU) Q 402 CH=398 24/12/18
R1: CHRISTIE, Freya (GBR) WC 505 v ARCANGIOLI, Manon (FRA) Q 340 CH=268 2015
Updated to include qualifiers.

-- Edited by Peter too on Monday 18th of February 2019 10:07:07 PM

I would suggest they are tough draws, but the standard of 25k events and higher has risen this year.

If Maia is fully fit she has the best chance, Emma next best. I don't expect the other four to win.

Coup Droit · Tennis legend

The toughness or otherwise of the draw is relative to who's entered. So when people above say the draws are relatively kind, they're right, because compared to who else the players could have drawn, they've got reasonable draws. It's not a comment on whether our players will win or not.

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

paulisi wrote:
Peter too wrote:
R1: ROBSON, Laura (GBR) WC 535 v SANCHEZ, Maria (USA) Q 369 CH=107 2013
R1: JONES, Francesca (GBR) (IR) 469 v SERBAN, Raluca Georgiana (CYP) 3 219 CH=214 17/12/18
H2H 0-1 Santa Margherita Di Pula 2018 SERBAN 2-6 3-6

R1: LUMSDEN, Maia (GBR) 325 v CRISTIAN, Jaqueline Adina (ROU) 328 CH=201 19/3/18

R1: BURRAGE, Jodie Anna (GBR) WC 345 v OZGEN, Pemra (TUR) 7 236 CH=207 2014
H2H 0-3
Sharm El Sheikh 2017 Ozgen 2-6 1-6
Sharm El Sheikh 2017 Ozgen 2-6 1-6
Woking 2018 Ozgen 3-6 5-7

R1: RADUCANU, Emma (GBR) WC 627 v TALABA, Gabriela (ROU) Q 402 CH=398 24/12/18
R1: CHRISTIE, Freya (GBR) WC 505 v ARCANGIOLI, Manon (FRA) Q 340 CH=268 2015
Updated to include qualifiers.

-- Edited by Peter too on Monday 18th of February 2019 10:07:07 PM
I would suggest they are tough draws, but the standard of 25k events and higher has risen this year.
If Maia is fully fit she has the best chance, Emma next best. I don't expect the other four to win.

I'd say they're generally far better than could have been expected. It was always going to be tough with 4 of them WCs and Maia and Fran just sneaking in to the main draw and IR placings respectively, but I think all bar Fran will have a reasonable chance to progress, not that they will be the favourites.

I think Ozgen did win a match in Bath the other week, but she has lost her 5 ranking matches, the last 3 of those at 25k level including to a Chinese girl last week who is of a similar age and ranking to Jodie. Jodie beat Gramm' last week who is higher ranked. The H2H isn't great and I do remember the match in GB last year, but Jodie does have a lot of good wins since then.

Barnett took a set off Arcangioli today and Eden beat her in straights 2 weeks ago, so that's not formidable, unfortunately Freya isn't in great (single's) form herself, but if she thought she had little chance of winning this type of match, she really shouldn't have put her name down - it's a very fair 25k draw.

I won't digest the others, but I'd like to think we'd get at least 2 combined wins there and with a little bit of luck here and there, maybe 3. I was largely very happy with the draw when it came out, could have been a lot worse.

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

Odds-wise:

Maia is 1/3 favourite vs 9/4 Christian
Jodie is evens vs 8/11 Ozgen

So from that perspective, it would suggest both are winnable and no big 4/1 outsiders, whether they do win is another matter though.

I thought Maia starter at 10am for some reason.

Coup Droit · Tennis legend

Ace Ventura wrote:
Odds-wise:

Maia is 1/3 favourite vs 9/4 Christian
Jodie is evens vs 8/11 Ozgen

So from that perspective, it would suggest both are winnable and no big 4/1 outsiders, whether they do win is another matter though.

I thought Maia starter at 10am for some reason.

I found it strange that Maia was such a clear favourite, although I think the odds are often generous to the GB players, don't really believe them.....

I hope this is the anti-jinx that will then mean Maia cruises home, 2 & 3

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

Coup Droit wrote:
Ace Ventura wrote:
Odds-wise:

Maia is 1/3 favourite vs 9/4 Christian
Jodie is evens vs 8/11 Ozgen

So from that perspective, it would suggest both are winnable and no big 4/1 outsiders, whether they do win is another matter though.

I thought Maia starter at 10am for some reason.
I found it strange that Maia was such a clear favourite, although I think the odds are often generous to the GB players, don't really believe them.....
I hope this is the anti-jinx that will then mean Maia cruises home, 2 & 3

I did think that too about Maia too, to be honest. Thought she'd be favourite, but more like 4/7 vs 5/4 or 1/2 vs 6/4 at best. They did have Jodie 1/2 fave vs the much higher ranked Grammatikapolou last week, so here's hoping it's a sign and they know what they are talking about...

I do also think the odds are generally slightly favoured towards the GB players as you say, although saying that, they did have Boulter a pre-match 11/4 underdog vs the similarly ranked Alexandrova the other week in St Pete's - Alexandrova is obviously a great indoors player, but at face value, you generally wouldn't have expected her to be that long and would go against the thesis.

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

Maia underway. 2-1*. Maia was 2-0, but just been broken back.

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

More breaks, went from *3-1 to *3-3, so 4 of the 6 games have been breaks.

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

2 tough holds in a row for Maia, but hold she did. 5-4*

Jodie underway, serving first and on deuce.

Ace Ventura · Tennis legend

Maia dropped the first set 5-7. She held to 15 first game but has been broken twice and had long games for the other 2 holds. I've not seen the total points, but would imagine it would make it look less closer than that.

Jodie broken first game, but now on the board. 1-2*

the addict · Tennis legend

Maia was 34 points to 42 in the first set. 19/32 on first serve, 3/13 on second