14 losses to players 28 or older (only one of whom outside the top 40 at 61). Outside that only two bad losses based on rankings differential all season (not including Dennis the orbital exenterator) one a three setter where he came back after loosing the first, the other two tie break sets, so no sign of caving there.
It's all entirely consistent with a great year in terms of progress, it's just he has moved to such a level of increased intensity that the outcomes that indicate continued progress become more subtle as Priesty and the data suggests taking mature players to three sets is a positive outcome.
-- Edited by Oakland2002 on Wednesday 9th of August 2017 07:25:28 AM
I agree with a lot of what you have been saying re Kyle's performances and competing with and taking very good players so often to three sets.
But "no sign of caving" in connection with the facts that I have given and many would be generally aware of anyway. 10 three set matches against top 50 players this year that have gone the three sets and all lost ( 5 by 6-4, 5 by 6-3 ) that's just head in the sand sheer denial. For what purpose? I think we all here want Kyle to succeed.
There is so clearly an issue there, whatever words one uses, caving may not be the best nor the worst, but I'd like to think you at least recognise that. Those final set scores are clearly not bad, consistent 6-3s and 6-4s, but still a cumulative 60-35 in games having shared first sets and I have a feeling that many be late fall aways like the *4-4 vs Ferrer ( and yes Kyle had come from a break down earlier ) then evidently two very poor games. Hmm, maybe my next task to try and check back on that, when were the final breaks.
Kyle is still on a very good course, I'd certainly like to think top 20 at least in time. And while you may not be able to add his 23rd birthday as yet another year of steady incremental rankings improvement ( and maybe you will still be able to yet, he could better last year's strong finish ) this year has at times been very encouraging for the competitiveness with some very good players.
I just point to a clear issue, and not a totally new one ( seen in his early pro career and passed through, hopefully it again will be ). So hopefully say Hilts as a new voice can help and as soon as possible get more Ws which is what it ultimately has to be about, however really encouraging as a lot of his play and competitiveness may have been. "No sign ...", I beg to differ.
One thing also that Edmund should be proud of is that, I think I am correct in saying this, but he is the number 1 ranked ginger player in the world.
Since Guccione retired and Tursonov dropped down the rankings, the competition has been weak.
I hate to disagree but ed sheeran is clearly the top ginger tennis player around. He got there around the time he 19 of the top 20 singles and managed to also rise up the tennis rankings before headlining Glastonbury... Or maybe you forgot that?
I have major issues with the assumption that Kyle has ginger hair, he is definitely strawberry blonde. I do worry about sun exposure he gets indeed more than I worry about the likelihood of him failing to be a top 20 player.
I loved the educational metaphors but feel he is well beyond GSCEs, he is definitely in post grad territory.
He is in the first year of his PhD has some cracking experiments in the bag that have shown that his hypothesis "Kyle Edmund is a top 20 ATP player" is in all probability true. If he has appointed Hilts he has an excellent supervisor that can help fine tune a few more experiments (and there is a genius Nobel prize winning scientist running the lab next door (Andy) who is more than happy to pass on tips and tricks learned from an entire career in the business) while he puts it all together and writes it up over the next 2 years or so.
Yes there are a couple of problems to solve but he has a very good grant (well funded indeed more grants come piling in with each positive experiment) and the experimenting is the developmental process that guides the design of the next experiment. Perhaps it will take Kyle a bit longer to write up but my feeling is he will nail his PhD and get the opportunity to spend a bit of time working on prizes himself, a Nobel may be beyond him but I feel he has a talent for geology and anticipate a nature paper or two on clay.
The loosing in three sets to top 50 players is a kin to having done some preliminary testing and he is now setting up the more difficult experiments he just needs time to look closely at the problems he is trying to solve, how he sets up the experiments, have a chat to the other labs perhaps borrow or buy some new kit, but as I said he is well funded and already has most of the kit he needs.
And got to have a little shout out for Shapo and the Canadian crowd - the 18 year-old (who played so well and was so much fun at Queens) now puts out Rafa, keeps Andy at no. 1 for another week at least, gets the crowd positively going into hyperspace, and produces a thriller. Along with Sacha's antics, these kids are doing well Bravo.
And got to have a little shout out for Shapo and the Canadian crowd - the 18 year-old (who played so well and was so much fun at Queens) now puts out Rafa, keeps Andy at no. 1 for another week at least, gets the crowd positively going into hyperspace, and produces a thriller. Along with Sacha's antics, these kids are doing well Bravo.
Shapo has really impressed with the way he handled and bounced back from the DC debacle. Good for him and is a real talent. He plays Mannarino next and could well win that one. After the win against Rafa, his live ranking is at 100, another win would jump him up to the mid 60's in what looks to be a crowded set of points in that lower end of the top 100, so he can make some real headway. Unfortunately he was someway off making the US Open cut and is currently lined up for qualies. If he can make the semis this week, presumably he would be hard to ignore for a WC, although I am not sure how often the USTA give wildcards to non US players?
Also, I noticed there is on SE spot in Cinci available, presumably Shapo would get that if he makes the semis in Montreal?
-- Edited by JonH on Friday 11th of August 2017 08:39:29 AM