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Post Info TOPIC: Week 27 - Poland F4 ($15,000) - Mragowo (clay)


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Week 27 - Poland F4 ($15,000) - Mragowo (clay)


Bob in Spain wrote:

QF : Billy Harris WR 952 v Juan Ignacio Ameal (ARG) WR 1002 (CH 552 July 2015)

Ameal has just taken out the 8th seed 1&2 so is clearly on form.


Excellent R2 win for Billy He has played Ameal before, edging him 6-4 5-7 7-6(8) (wasn't that the match that went on for hours?) in R1 here only last week.

Meanwhile, today's losses elsewhere (Billy apart, it was almost as bad a day for Brits outside the UK as it was good for Brits at Wimbledon!) mean that, unless any Brits qualify for Challengers next week, I think Ewan (currently GB no. 31) or Luke Johnson (currently GB no. 26) will move into the GB top 25 on Monday week.

For the current GB 25-31:

Farris 11 - (3 + 1) + 1 = 8

** Luke 10

Tom 10 - 1 = 9

Keelan 10 - (6 + 1) = 3

Ryan 9

Alastair 9

** Ewan 9 + 1 = 10

I think Ewan will be just below Luke on tiebreak unless he manages to beat Grigelis, but I'm not 100% sure. 



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It also looks possible that we may need a Ewan R2 win to save us having both the men's and women's #25 outside the top 1000 at the same time.

That certainly hasn't happened in the last year or at the quarterly points Steven has recorded over recent years so maybe not for quite some time.

To be fair, if so, it will still be close in both cases, and the men are rather queued up on 10, 9 and 8 points. And there is I suppose nothing really particular about #25, but it is an interesting tracker point and of course linked to the top 25 tables. And it's not great if both our #25s are out of the top 1000 and also almost both in single figure ranking points.

As Steven says that's unless someone comes in next week with challenger level points that would add next week and change things.

But looks all down to Ewan to beat the top seed in R2 here to avoid this fate. You better win, mate  

Anyway that's the lower ranks and depth that have concerned many. But meantime at Wimbledon, what a day !!



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steven wrote:
Bob in Spain wrote:

QF : Billy Harris WR 952 v Juan Ignacio Ameal (ARG) WR 1002 (CH 552 July 2015)

Ameal has just taken out the 8th seed 1&2 so is clearly on form.


Excellent R2 win for Billy He has played Ameal before, edging him 6-4 5-7 7-6(8) (wasn't that the match that went on for hours?) in R1 here only last week.


 

Good spot.  Didn't realize that.  Let's hope Billy can repeat his win from last week and make his first ever SF.

It went on for 3 hours 30 mins last week.



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indiana wrote:

It also looks possible that we may need a Ewan R2 win to save us having both the men's and women's #25 outside the top 1000 at the same time.

That certainly hasn't happened in the last year or at the quarterly points Steven has recorded over recent years so maybe not for quite some time.

To be fair, if so, it will still be close in both cases, and the men are rather queued up on 10, 9 and 8 points. And there is I suppose nothing really particular about #25, but it is an interesting tracker point and of course linked to the top 25 tables. And it's not great if both our #25s are out of the top 1000 and also almost both in single figure ranking points.

As Steven says that's unless someone comes in next week with challenger level points that would add next week and change things.

But looks all down to Ewan to beat the top seed in R2 here to avoid this fate. You better win, mate  

Anyway that's the lower ranks and depth that have concerned many. But meantime at Wimbledon, what a day !!


I wonder how much this stat is affected by the numbers of people now taking the US College route.  I get the feeling that this route is more popular now than a few year ago and so we lose (temporarily) a number of the younger players who would otherwise be climbing the rankings ladder.  As examples, there is no doubt in my mind that both Ewan and Ali Gray would be substantially higher in the rankings had they played a full season instead of being at college.  As I don't follow the college tennis scene that much, I don't know if there are too many others in the same situation but I strongly suspect there are, on both the men's and women's side.

 



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Good point, Bob. Beware those folk that just spout out stats

Certainly Ewan and Ali would be top 1000, being just outside even now.

Though again if all those players from different nationalities weren't going to college then it would be tougher to break the top 1000 ( and other levels ) with ranking points generally harder to obtain at futures level. I wonder how GB's undoubted increase in such college players over the years compares with many other countries. I'd imagine on the high side even against most European countries given our greater US links and perhaps language though so many people do speak English, but I don't really know.



-- Edited by indiana on Thursday 6th of July 2017 07:57:39 AM

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indiana wrote:

Good point, Bob. Beware those folk that just spout out stats

Certainly Ewan and Ali would be top 1000, being just outside even now.

Though again if all those players from different nationalities weren't going to college then it would be tougher to break the top 1000 with ranking points generally harder to obtain at futures level. I wonder how GB's undoubted increase in such college players over the years compares with many other countries.


Sounds like a question for "The O" to me - our expert in all things US College based.



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L16:  (1) Laurynas Grigelis (LTU) WR 251 defeated (Q) Ewan Moore WR 1047 by 3 & 2



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indiana wrote:

And there is I suppose nothing really particular about #25, but it is an interesting tracker point and of course linked to the top 25 tables. And it's not great if both our #25s are out of the top 1000 and also almost both in single figure ranking points.



There isn't anything special about it, I agree, but it does have the merit of being a number we've tracked here for a long time rather than being a number that's been picked with hindsight to make a point.

I had a very fleeting discussion with someone at the LTA once about whether there was a single number (ranking of GB no. X, various averages, etc) that could be used to track progress or lack of it over the years. When I thought it through afterwards, I found it's very difficult to do it with a single figure.

 



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GB top 25s (ranks, whereabouts) & stats - http://www.britishtennis.net/stats.html



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Bob in Spain wrote:
indiana wrote:

It also looks possible that we may need a Ewan R2 win to save us having both the men's and women's #25 outside the top 1000 at the same time.

That certainly hasn't happened in the last year or at the quarterly points Steven has recorded over recent years so maybe not for quite some time.

To be fair, if so, it will still be close in both cases, and the men are rather queued up on 10, 9 and 8 points. And there is I suppose nothing really particular about #25, but it is an interesting tracker point and of course linked to the top 25 tables. And it's not great if both our #25s are out of the top 1000 and also almost both in single figure ranking points.

As Steven says that's unless someone comes in next week with challenger level points that would add next week and change things.

But looks all down to Ewan to beat the top seed in R2 here to avoid this fate. You better win, mate  

Anyway that's the lower ranks and depth that have concerned many. But meantime at Wimbledon, what a day !!


I wonder how much this stat is affected by the numbers of people now taking the US College route.  I get the feeling that this route is more popular now than a few year ago and so we lose (temporarily) a number of the younger players who would otherwise be climbing the rankings ladder.  As examples, there is no doubt in my mind that both Ewan and Ali Gray would be substantially higher in the rankings had they played a full season instead of being at college.  As I don't follow the college tennis scene that much, I don't know if there are too many others in the same situation but I strongly suspect there are, on both the men's and women's side.

 


I've talked about this in the past (I call it 'the Borwell effect', though she's not solely responsible!) and I think it continues to be a more significant effect on the women's side than on the men's side.

With a sudden increase in the numbers going to college in the US, you'd expect the number of Brits in the top 1000 to drop temporarily but if college was a good thing, you'd then expect that to improve again (and perhaps more to make the top 500 and better) once the first group of players graduated and had been on the pro circuit full time for a year. 

However, that won't be the case if, after 4 years of college, those who could have made at least the top 1000 decide to specialise in doubles (which playing at college always seems to encourage) or to do something else entirely. That's bad for us as GB (singles) tennis fans, in terms of having fewer players to follow on the pro circuit, but of course it could be argued that it's better for the players themselves if they otherwise have just been hanging around in the 500-1000 range for a few years.



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GB top 25s (ranks, whereabouts) & stats - http://www.britishtennis.net/stats.html



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Billy makes his first ever Semi- Final.

QF : Billy Harris WR 952 bt Juan Ignacio Ameal (ARG) WR 1002 (CH 552 July 2015) 6-3 6-2

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SF:  (1) Laurynas Grigelis (LTU) WR 251 vs Billy Harris WR 952



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Congratulations to Mr Harris.

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Yay, well done Billy

These 6 points so far on top of last week's point certainly will demolish his CH 915 from May. Takes him for now up to GB #19 and a live ranking of 828.

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It's been a while in coming, but I am delighted for Billy. Let's hope he can go 1 or 2 steps further now.

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Rain has interrupted Billy's SF which might no be a bad think. Billy is *1-5 down.

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