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Post Info TOPIC: Week 11 - ITF ($60K) - Shenzhen, China Hard


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Week 11 - ITF ($60K) - Shenzhen, China Hard


Dreadful

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Tennis legend

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Both Tara and Em play last week's winners

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AliBlahBlah wrote:

Laura might as well only play the first set. In 2017, she is 0-6 after losing the first set. Since her comeback in 2015, she is 2-27 (7%) after losing the first set.



 A large reason for that stat is Laura's awful record in close matches, and if you lose the first set it's going to be an easy defeat or a close match. Not the first time Laura has won the second set convincingly in a 3 set loss too.

Laura is a long way from top 100 form, but she could at least improve her win loss record significantly by winning 50% of matches from 4-4 in the 3rd.



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Agree; she needs to turn those final sets into wins somehow. At the moment it must feel like one step forward, two steps backwards :(
Hopefully Laura will keep the faith and find the missing ingredient shortly.

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vohor wrote:

Agree; she needs to turn those final sets into wins somehow. At the moment it must feel like one step forward, two steps backwards :(
Hopefully Laura will keep the faith and find the missing ingredient shortly.


 The missing ingredient is in her head.



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tony_orient wrote:
AliBlahBlah wrote:

Laura might as well only play the first set. In 2017, she is 0-6 after losing the first set. Since her comeback in 2015, she is 2-27 (7%) after losing the first set.


 A large reason for that stat is Laura's awful record in close matches, and if you lose the first set it's going to be an easy defeat or a close match. Not the first time Laura has won the second set convincingly in a 3 set loss too.

Laura is a long way from top 100 form, but she could at least improve her win loss record significantly by winning 50% of matches from 4-4 in the 3rd.


Not quite.
When Laura loses the first set she invariably loses in straight sets.

Since return:
Lost the first set in 29 matches since return
Lost in straights 22/29 times (76%)
Match went to a third set 7/29 times (24%)
Of those times it went to a third set, Laura won 2/7 (29%). Overall when losing first set 2/29 (7%)

There is a different issue, which is the one to which you refer.
Even when Laura wins the first set, unless she wins in straights, she is very bad at closing out matches.
Since return:
Laura wins first set she is 18/25 (72%)
Of those 18 wins, 15 came in straight sets (83%)
When Laura wins the first set, but it goes to a decider, Laura is 3/7 (30%)

In matches where Laura won at least one set, she is 21/33 (64%) - or, alternatively, her opponents are 36%
In matches where her opponent won at least one set, she is 5/41 (11%) - or, her opponents are 89%

If her opponent manages to get a set at any time in the match, they are very highly likely to go on to win the match.



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3/7 is 43%

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3-7 3/10

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3/7 'NE' 3-7

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Don't know what 'NE' means.
But, what I should have written originally is 3/10.
She has had 10 matches where she has won the first set, but it has gone to a decider. Of those 10 matches, she has won 3, or 30% of them.
Apologies for the confusion

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AliBlahBlah wrote:

Don't know what 'NE' means.
But, what I should have written originally is 3/10.
She has had 10 matches where she has won the first set, but it has gone to a decider. Of those 10 matches, she has won 3, or 30% of them.
Apologies for the confusion


 Sorry - I was being an *insert insult*.

When I said 'NE', I meant "not equals". I guessed (eventually) what had been meant, but the meaning was not - at least to me - immediately obvious (until you clarified).



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Well, 3/7 was wrong, so no hard feelings

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So actually Laura is winning c. 30% of deciding sets however the first two are split.

My observation was more based on memory than data, but looking at her results she has lost the last 5 that finished 6-4 7-5 or 7-6 in a deciding set and those are the type of defeats that stick in the memory.

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Em's doubles is underway

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Drop the first set 6-4. Opponents only missed three first serves in 5 service games, so they didn't have a look in on return at all.

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