I suspect there are only 2 main draw wildcards for Birmingham; that's problematic. Two for Notts and 3 for Eastbourne. Heather received main draw wildcards for both Indian Wells and Miami so will only have one available for Birmingham/Eastbourne. I think Laura has 2 main draw wildcards available for Notts/Birmingham/Eastbourne.
I would imagine priority will be given to those who were successful in applying for funding under the new rules......sort of making sure their investment does well. As they haven't published the recipients, I think the allocation of WCs might be quite illuminating.
If a top 10 player doesnt ask for a WC in to Notts or Birmingham does that mean we would have 3 WC's in to the main draw?
No. But in Birmingham it would improve Heather's chances (currently 4th Alternate) as the next in the alternates list gets in if one of the two top 20 WCs aren't used.
-- Edited by kundalini on Friday 6th of May 2016 08:38:45 PM
I thought that Australia was a pretty useful analogue to measure WC distribution and it's success. They have the same number of events as us, and the same levels of events too. Also, their players are roughly a good fit throughout the rankings to ours.
So, here's a quick look at the WC that were handed out in Australian events in 2016, the players and ranks that got them, whether age or ranking was a factor, and, ultimately, how they fared, and thus what we might expect in terms of all those things. If nothing else, it disproves the suggestion someone made the other day that a WC had to have a reasonable chance of success.
Not sure how you can graph this, but the ATF will have effectively granted 8 Australian wildcards to GrandSlam main draws, and 8 Australian wildcards to GS qualies, after swaps with the USTA and FFT are accounted for.
I would count a win as granting a wildcard to a player who in the future goes on to play in that tournament as a direct entry by rank. For example every wild card attributed to Naomi Broady, (Dan Evans and Kyle Edmund) at Wimbledon must now be considered a win.
Using that metric, the ladies side I see a number of opportunities for plenty of Wimbledon QF wild cards go to youngsters, Jodie Burrage, Ali Collins, Emily A's x 2 and Katie Swan, although torn with Katie (and indeed Freya) as I can see her winning through qualifying but would not be too critical of a MD wildcard as she could with a good draw and a prevailing wind win there also and regardless it will be a fantastic experience and preparation for the juniors.
...followed by 63 other GB entrants. Last year, this had the weakest field of the UK 50k tournaments. (There is also an outside chance that, should Heather's Rio ticket be in any doubt, she might have to ask for a WC to this too.)
The LTA has announced, inter alia, that the 50ks will be 100ks from 2017 onwards...
Of the 49 women down for Surbiton MD+Qs, 48 will expect to be involved in Wimbledon qualifiers; so it's clearly doing them all a favour. None is British.
Tara is slightly further out, at ALT37, and last year this list, and Ilkley, both had less withdrawals than Surbiton. So most UK participation will be from wildcards.