Coup Droit wrote:

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Am hoping that Gabi can cause an upset here.

1-1

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The bookies had Gabi a slight favourite before the match started - so not sure it was an upset(unless you are going purely on ranking) 

Coup Droit wrote:

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Yes, going on ranking.

Money flows are dodgy, as we know

I think if someone who's about 700 or so beats a player in the top 500, that's an upset, even if a fair number of people thought she might stand a good chance.

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Yes, but her current WR 695 is nothing like Gabi's "true" position, it is a ranking based on just 7 counters from basically the second half of last year. 

She should have a decent chance against a player in the 400s ( if that is a much more true ranking )  since, as I've said, I would think she'll be top 500 later this year if she stays fit. Just double her now 28 points from 8 completed counting tournaments and she'd be there and one would hope she's improving so the next 8 counters and following ones would be better overall.

The bookies will undoubtably look at much more than rankings unless they want to set up for a fall.

Good decisive looking win though for Gabi, well done.

The bookies will most certainly make judgements, most obviously initially when they set the opening prices, and those will still weigh, if less as time goes on, against the money flow.

Re Gabi, I don't think it's harsh at all to say that realistically she should have a decent chance as a young player probably fairly rapidly moving towards the top 500 against a seasoned 10K 400s ranked player. Not to say she should / has to win, but reflecting her progress. That, to me, it is no real upset, is just appreciation of that progress.

Not arguing the point in principle, honestly, just curious, Indy, but looking at the summary of odds/bets before the match, it seems that Gabi was clearly the underddog.

Gabriella Taylor vs Josephine Boualem betting: click here to show all odds
1XBet   2.54   1.49   93.9%  08:51
24hBet   2.40  1.48   91.5%  08:44
Bet365   2.50  1.50  93.8% 08:45
Bet-at-Home 2.39   1.47   91.0% 08:47
Betadonis   2.40   1.48  91.5% 08:43
BetRedKings 2.40  1.45  90.4% 08:48
Boylesports   2.50  1.50  93.8% 08:45
Coral         2.10     1.67  93.0% 07:30
Jetbull      2.40     1.48   91.5% 08:43
William Hill  2.10   1.67 93.0% 20:48

Assuming I'm reading that right, surely that means the bookies had Jo as favourite, and it was an 'upset'? Am I missing something? I know paulisi mentioned it too but where did it have Gabi as favourite? Not initially, seemingly.