Reflecting how well she has done this year, particularly lately, and with relatively very little to defend the rest of the year, in addition to WR 96, Jo is now up to 76 in the "race".
It's as of now rather difficult to envisage her not finishing the year in the top 100 and getting a direct entry to the Aussie Open.
The question is probably more how high will she get in the rankings before the year is out.
It's clear that since Jo has gained 100% fitness ( fingers crossed it stays that way !!!!), and spent time with her new coach, she has really improved the solidity/reliability of her game. Massive reduction in those pesky unforced errors has seen her ranking drop exponentially. With very little to defend until May next year, she could really get inside the top 50, her recent illness setback ( I'm a bit inclined to believe that was a very minor affair ) has had no impact at all it would seem.
It wouldn't at all surprise me to see Jo ahead of Heather by Aus Open based on form and points to defend until then.
Great to see Jo in form and would hope to see her move up the rankings, but big ask to overtake Hev by year end (effectively 2 months). There is still almost a 300 point gap (more than 2 100k titles) and Hev only effectively has 40 points to defend. Still some competition at the top would be most welcome.
-- Edited by Sim on Monday 24th of August 2015 06:51:40 PM
Jo is going to be setting our Fed Cup captain a few problems if she carries on winning singles and doubles. Do we still pick our top two doubles players or go for three singles players and play Jo and Heather in the doubles, particularly if Laura is regularly beating top 100 players by then.
At this stage we pick Heather and Jo. If Laura is back to top 100 level, for me we pick her too and just one doubles specialist.
That would be my preference for the week long Fed Cup series. Last year was a bit particular in the real lack of a form third singles player, this next time the way things are looking Naomi B could yet be an option if Laura, or indeed Hev or Jo for any reason, is not an option
May seem tough on Joss or Anna, if they are still about as well ranked and playing decently, especially given how they played in the Fed Cup last year, and it would be Joss that I would take. But we would be well covered for pretty good doubles players and importantly covered for any issues with one of our singles players.
Clearly still a long way off, but these are my current thoughts and indeed were even before Jo's last few weeks. I think it is the clear way to go.
-- Edited by indiana on Tuesday 25th of August 2015 05:46:08 PM
It wouldn't at all surprise me to see Jo ahead of Heather by Aus Open based on form and points to defend until then.
Great to see Jo in form and would hope to see her move up the rankings, but big ask to overtake Hev by year end (effectively 2 months). There is still almost a 300 point gap (more than 2 100k titles) and Hev only effectively has 40 points to defend. Still some competition at the top would be most welcome.
-- Edited by Sim on Monday 24th of August 2015 06:51:40 PM
Jaggy did rather importantly say "ahead of Heather by Aus Open". Take Heather's 280 Hobart title points off and they are already running very close in the year to the Aus Open, with Jo very much in form.
With Hobart so close to the start of the Aus Open I am hoping that those points won't come off until after the entry list for the MD is settled otherwise Hev might be struggling to make the cut. Of course I hope she has a couple more good runs after the US to make it academic, I just never know what to expect from her.
With Hobart so close to the start of the Aus Open I am hoping that those points won't come off until after the entry list for the MD is settled otherwise Hev might be struggling to make the cut. Of course I hope she has a couple more good runs after the US to make it academic, I just never know what to expect from her.
Yes, although Hev's Hobart points coming off could be when we get a new GB no 1 ( clearly much water to flow under the bridge before then ) the Aussie Open entry will be out well in advance of the Hobart points coming off, so she's already perfectly safe for Aussie MD Open entry.
I expect Jo to be there there too, but she still has to see it across the line.
Edit : actually doing some sums, taking account of Jo already having 20 points for her US Open QR1 win and with how little she has to defend, I make her guaranteed to have a minimum 615 ranking points by year end and Aussie Open entry date. That's currently equivalent to WR 101 so she's not got anything much to worry about on that score and much less with each win
Edit edit : and 30 points for reaching the US Open FQR takes Jo to a minimum season ending 625 points, currently equivalent to WR 100.
-- Edited by indiana on Thursday 27th of August 2015 11:55:18 PM