The Race to Rio

wimdledont · Challenger level

The Race to Rio

indiana · Tennis legend

So as we stand Jo will be seeded for the Olympics

wimdledont · Challenger level

And, rereading the rules, a gold medallist only need be in the ATP top 200 to qualify. So Andy should be good, after Queen's alone.

I presume that Aljaz is ineligible, unless he chose to represent Slovenia; and I don't know if Naomi Broady is in good enough odour with the LTA to be eligible.

The Knight · Challenger qualifying

wimdledont wrote:
I don't know if Naomi Broady is in good enough odour with the LTA to be eligible.

It would be unbelievably stupid if she wasn't

KyleM · Lower Club Player

I think qualifying for Rio should be Edmund's aim for the next 12 months. He is currently 86th in the race and with gradual improvements to his game there is no reason why he can't be ranked in the top 65 come next summer. Personally I think he may just miss out on but it should be close and there is no reason why he can't qualify.

LouieG · County player

Could a place in Rio be Wardy's new target after cracking the top 100?

-- Edited by LouieG on Saturday 4th of July 2015 09:25:57 PM

wimdledont · Challenger level

Wimbledon not yet done and dusted, and I think we probably have another qualified for entry.

Jamie Murray's points for making the Wimbledon final, let alone if he wins it, should be sufficient for him to make the cut.

Murray + Murray looking good for the men's doubles, leaving one further place available for another men's doubles team.

wimdledont · Challenger level

Same as, same as...

Andy Murray has qualified, as has Jamie.

Dunno about the rest of the guys.

JoKo has 950 points since the cut-off date, and is almost certain to qualify.

NaomiB second with around 410 points, and should be very close if she keeps that up.

Heather has only 335 points, and her qualification is in doubt unless her form and results improve.

In the doubles, Josanna have 555 points, which is borderline; none of the rest of the gals seem likely contenders.

wimdledont · Challenger level

Latest update, as the dust settles around the Oz Open...

Andy has qualified. Jamie has qualified, and is the second most popular tennis player in Brazil today.

Alex Bedene's fate rests in the hands of an ITF commitee. I think they are much more likely to say "Yes you can play the Olympics" than they were to say "yes, the UK can call you up at the last minute for the Davis Cup final."

Kyle Edmunds needs to get a shift on; Ward, Evans or Klein would need to do a Konta.

Dom Inglot will be hoping that either Fleming or Marray can gain a few more rankings places, or he'll have to enter on his own.

Jo Konta has qualified and has a good shot at, as indi was predicting in June 2015, above, being seeded for the Olympics.

Unfortunately, she may be our only female representative, and without a doubles partner, unless Smith and Rae failed to make it, together, but one of them + JoKo make a team.

Laura would need a miracle.

Heather still has a realistic shot, but she does need to improve her current ranking. Judy Murray has gone on record that NaomiB has been asked, and refused, to play the Fed Cup, so she has DQed herself, which is very unfortunate.

Joss and Anna's AO points should see them move up from WTA80= to around WTA60=, which is probably short of the mark, but not by much. I suppose Jo and Heather could get in, using their combined singles rating, even if Heather should fail to qualify for singles.

All sorts of intriguing possibilities for the mixed doubles. With 2 current ATP2s looking for partners, potentially offering 2 of our women their best shot at winning a medal, and a possibility that only 1 woman will be available.

wimdledont · Challenger level

The early annual exit from the Fed Cup clarifies one issue. There's no Play-Off in April, at which NaomiB could perhaps have played, and rendered herself eligible for Olympics selection: she looks increasingly likely to make the grade on ranking points.

Kyle does appear to be getting a shift on - is Evo about to "do a Konta"?

indiana · Tennis legend

I doubt Naomi would have been anywhere near a Fed Cup team. All a pity

wimdledont · Challenger level

With Heather needing some sort of miracle (she was down to around 150 in the Race 2016), it was all getting too depressing to think about this.

Her Monterrey win now looks like a good half-miracle. She now has 735 points since the cut-off date; and probably needs another 200 to 250 points from American hardcourts and the clay season to make the Olympics team; which would also give JoKo and Andy the chance of additional entries in doubles.

wimdledont · Challenger level

I found the following on women's tennis forum...

www.tennisforum.com/12-general-messages/891506-race-2016-rio-olympics-after-kuala-lumpur-monterrey.html

...as things stand, JoKo is ranked 18, and would be seeded if Pennetta and Sharapova do not compete. (See Post 2).

Heather is ALT1, and would qualify if NaomiB doesn't.

-- Edited by wimdledont on Tuesday 8th of March 2016 12:17:04 PM

GBJ · Club Coach

I just did a quick count up on the men's side and with the success of the French Spanish and Americans in the current rankings the cut off is more likely to be around WR 70 or lower so maybe around 730 points which gives Kyle reasonable chance if he makes a run and even a very outside chance to Evo if he can win a couple of the Asian challengers.

wimdledont · Challenger level

Cut-off for the guys should indeed be around WR72; so Dan would have had to decimate his ranking of 727 ove the year. This is starting to look increasingly possible. If he won the tournament in Busan, he'd be within 50 points or so of qualification...

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