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Post Info TOPIC: Week 3 - Australian Open (women's)


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Week 3 - Australian Open (women's)


L128: Heather Watson WR 49 v Tsvetana Pironkova BUL WR 67 (CH 31 in 2010)

H2H 3-2 - Hev has never won the 1st set v Pironkova but has beaten her from a set down 3 times - in Eastbourne in 2010 & 2014 and in Fed Cup in 2013. She lost to the Bulgarian in Miami in 2010 and in Hobart in 2012.

Not an easy R1 draw, but certainly a reasonable one. She is in a tough section though - the winner plays last year's runner-up Cibulkova or Flipkens.

 



-- Edited by steven on Thursday 15th of January 2015 11:58:32 PM

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Two in form players - winnable, but awkward.

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Tough section, tough quarter. I feel for Ms Wozniacki! Think on balance, though, that a reasonable first round is better than a harder first round and softer section.

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How funny is this draw by the way... Li Na's english is catching out the guy bless him.

No easy draws in grand slams at the end of the day. It could've been worse.

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Heather won twice on grass and once on hard in the Fed Cup, Pironkova won twice on hard.

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I suppose it all depends which Pironkova turns up, but going on what happened last year when she played even better in Sydney ( won it/ potentially more fatigued as a result ) she lost 0&2 to Stosur in R2 here, so quietly confident Hev can win that one. As for the next round neither Cibulkova or Flipkens are in form so it could be worse.

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I agree Phil, this is a pretty decent draw. Pironkova is tough but winnable, so of course a softer round 1 would have been nice, but in terms of a high seed Cibulkova is a pretty good one to get and Flipkens has been a bit all over the place.

It really depends how much Hobart has taken out of Heather, I think there is a risk that she will have a bit of a let down in Melbourne. Fingers crossed for a Tuesday start, as that would help.

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PaulM wrote:

I agree Phil, this is a pretty decent draw. Pironkova is tough but winnable, so of course a softer round 1 would have been nice, but in terms of a high seed Cibulkova is a pretty good one to get and Flipkens has been a bit all over the place.

It really depends how much Hobart has taken out of Heather, I think there is a risk that she will have a bit of a let down in Melbourne. Fingers crossed for a Tuesday start, as that would help.


 I was thinking the same thing. Quite often players who do really well in the previous event find it hard to perform well in the next one, and it's not something Hev has had to deal with before as when she won Osaka it was her last event of the year.

 

As for the draw, could have been better, but could have been a lot worse so I think Hev will settle for it. Pironkova is a player Hev comes across a lot  - I doubt she has played anyone else as often.



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I reckon this is a nightmare draw for Pronk. She did pretty well this week but that forehand is all over the place. She has absolutely no confidence in it, slicing it whenever she can. So if Heather scrambles around the court hitting as many balls to that side as she can, she's got a great chance.

Agree that of all the seeds, you'd pick Cibulkova. Let's hope the pressure of being the player with the most to lose at this tournament is too much for her!



-- Edited by LordBrownof on Friday 16th of January 2015 12:33:13 PM

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At previous GSs, Heather has drawn Sharapova, Azarenka, Na Li, Halep in Round 1; Halep, Na Li, Kerber on grass, in Round 2. Twice into the third round, she's lost both times to Aggie Rad.

By her own shocking standards then, this is a very good draw.

Cibulkova should be very worried. She's down to 24 on the live rankings, and hasn't played well since April 2014. This week she got the wooden spoon in Sydney, losing to Aggie, who lost to... etc...

Cornet in R3 would be a tough ask; but of the 2 girls to beat Hev this year, better Cornet than Radwanska. At least it makes a change.

EDIT: Cornet 'twas, not Cibulkova, who collects the Sydney wooden spoon.



-- Edited by wimdledont on Friday 16th of January 2015 05:29:52 PM

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Yes, unless Domi makes 4R+ she's almost certain to finish the AO outside of the top 20.
If you extended her form from the second half of last year out, to make a full year based on those results, she'd be about WR65 - and that includes an easy soft points haul from those on offer in the Sofia tournament of Champions.
Still dangerous though, should we get that far.

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I certainly agree the fatigue factor is the worry for Hev, it's tough to perform well at the major's if you put in a big effort the week before.

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philwrig wrote:

I certainly agree the fatigue factor is the worry for Hev, it's tough to perform well at the major's if you put in a big effort the week before.


 Yeah, but so far H has only played 8 sets of tennis this week. Pronkers has played 15.



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wimdledont wrote:
philwrig wrote:

I certainly agree the fatigue factor is the worry for Hev, it's tough to perform well at the major's if you put in a big effort the week before.


 Yeah, but so far H has only played 8 sets of tennis this week. Pronkers has played 15.


 More including doubles, I count 13.



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wimdledont wrote:
philwrig wrote:

I certainly agree the fatigue factor is the worry for Hev, it's tough to perform well at the major's if you put in a big effort the week before.


 Yeah, but so far H has only played 8 sets of tennis this week. Pronkers has played 15.


 There's also the emotional factor as well, with dealing with a final/ potentially winning a final. It's a huge match for Hev against Brengle, unilke say someone who is used to playing/winning finals week in week out. There's a risk she could be quite flat when she plays on Tuesday.



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