That would be a strange decision by Kyle, given his targets that have been discussed at length on this board.
Can any of the knowledgeable folk around here give a quick analysis on whether he is still likely to make AO qualies still and what he is now likely to play to gain the necessary points?
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That would be a strange decision by Kyle, given his targets that have been discussed at length on this board.
Can any of the knowledgeable folk around here give a quick analysis on whether he is still likely to make AO qualies still and what he is now likely to play to gain the necessary points?
I believe AO qualies cut-off is higher than elsewhere, as many don't make the trip - so I assume around 250-260 might get the job done.
It looked likely that Kyle would have needed to play qualifying over the weekend for Sibiu: even thought he's moved up the alts list overnight, I still make him 12th in line, which would be very unlikely to see him into MD at this stage (although you never know).
He's been on the road for 3 weeks already (Romania: 3 qualifying matches, 1 MD match, food poisoning; Croatia all week for DC; Slovakia until yesterday), and is down for 2 $15k clay Futures in Hungary starting on Monday week (we don't know his schedule after that, but I'd imagine he'll add at least another week on the road). A short break at home makes sense now under any circumstances.
He's likely to be seeded in both $15ks, so if points generation (rather than level of competition) is the short term priority for the Edmund team with AO qualies in mind, they may regard bigger clay Futures as a more fruitful/less risky approach to gaining the requisite points over the coming weeks. If he'd made SF this week in Slovakia, of course, it's very possible he would have stayed in Europe for Romania on a SE, perhaps dropping one of the Hungarian Futures to rest and recover. But as that didn't happen, I'm not surprised he's going home to get ready for Hungary and beyond.
That would be a strange decision by Kyle, given his targets that have been discussed at length on this board.
Can any of the knowledgeable folk around here give a quick analysis on whether he is still likely to make AO qualies still and what he is now likely to play to gain the necessary points?
250 ranking is currently at 180pts, Kyle has 141pts with 31pts to drop off by the end of the year.
Therefore he will need to find 70+pts to guarantee a trip down under.
Dan Cox might have a decent chance of making it with no points to defend and currently on 164pts, so just needs 18pts+ to make it.
Alex Ward has lots of points to defend and will need a really big finish to the year to get anywhere near. Not sure anyone else has a chance to get in this time.