Of all tyrannies a tyranny exercised for the good of its victim may be the most oppressive.... those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience
Of all tyrannies a tyranny exercised for the good of its victim may be the most oppressive.... those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience
No, not live. They've just released the women's qualifying draw a lot earlier than they said they would (around the same time they did in 2011) but that usually comes out first.
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
Of all tyrannies a tyranny exercised for the good of its victim may be the most oppressive.... those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience
I'm not sure, but memories of previous years and the fact that the women's draw came out before 22.30 BST but the men's draw is not out yet makes me think they do the women's draw at 5 pm local and the men's draw at 6 pm local. Saying midnight BST (i.e. 7 pm local) is to give them some leeway in getting the draws up.
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
Good draw for both guys. Obviously Devvarman and Kavcic will be favourites to come through the respective sections but both Ward and Evo have a decent chance of qualifying and if not at least winning a round or 2.
Jeff at TennisAbstract has a system that works out full probabilities for all draws based on past results, surface and so on. It always appears to me to give slightly too high a chance of upsets, but he's the kind of person who would keep testing it, so the figures probably mean something.
Anyway, the chances he gives James are 69.3% to reach QR2, 35.9% to make the FQR and 16.8% to qualify.
As for Dan, 45.0% to reach QR2, 13.6% to make the FQR and 5.3% to qualify.
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
Yes, those things seemed odd to me too. I think the TennisAbstract approach is purely statistical and perhaps doesn't weight form over the last few weeks any higher than form over the previous few months. I don't know whether it takes into account specific head to heads - that particular %age suggests it doesn't!
-- Edited by steven on Tuesday 20th of August 2013 01:24:44 PM
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!