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Post Info TOPIC: Week 21 - Greece F8 ($10,000) - Marathon-Athens (Hard)


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RE: Week 21 - Greece F8 ($10,000) - Marathon-Athens (Hard)


To be fair the other big game is Jamie Baker v Peliwo and that should be a lot tighter than the bookies suggest. I would have that as a 50/50 match.

PS David Rice is 6/5 to win.



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I'm a bit surprised that the bookies have Josh as the favourite, even if only marginally.

After a rough adjustment for the probabilities not summing to 1, they give Richard about a 1 in 3 chance v Angelinos, Josh about 55%/45% v Dave and Jamie about a 58% chance against Peliwo.

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RJA wrote:

Jamie had a break point but couldn't take it. He lost 2 and 4


First tournament after a mini-break or not - this is a bad loss (2 fairly easy straight sets), especially after 2 "warm up" matches beforehand.

I come back to Leon Smith's decision to drop Jamie after having picked him for the DC tie against Russia, with Jamie pulling out of 2 or 3 weeks of tournaments to be available, and then training with the squad fully expecting to playing as our #2. Just how badly must Jamie have been playing in practice before that DC tie for Leon to make such a big decision to unilaterally drop him and call in an emergency back-up? Now we know. 



-- Edited by korriban on Friday 24th of May 2013 03:23:31 PM



-- Edited by korriban on Friday 24th of May 2013 03:24:12 PM

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Richard is down an early break at *3-1

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But fights back to level at 3-3*

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Richard manufactures a BP but can't convert.

Now serving at *4-5

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Angelinos takes 5 points in a row and with it the first set tie break against Richard.

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Am rooting for Richard who seems to have had an amazingly close first set (practically the same number of points throughout) only to lose the tie-break. But hasn't dropped hid head and is now 3-0 up in the second.

David Rice had 2 BP but didn't convert, in the first game. Now 1-1

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RJA


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Gabb takes the second set 6-1

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RJA


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Rice won the first set 6-4

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Richard is now struggling in the final set 5*-3 down.

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Richard breaks back. *4-5 down final set, he's won more points than his opponent, created more than double the BPs (both interesting but not key stats) and also converted 2 more breaks than his opponent (which should definitely be a key stat!).

Now win the match Richard! Win the match!



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*4-5 in the tiebreak ... another very tense livescore watch!

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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!

GB top 25s (ranks, whereabouts) & stats - http://www.britishtennis.net/stats.html



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*4-6 - Angelinos gets a crucial mini-break.

1 match point saved 5-6* now another on the Greek's serve - also saved!

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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!

GB top 25s (ranks, whereabouts) & stats - http://www.britishtennis.net/stats.html



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3rd match point for Angelinos - 6-7*

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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!

GB top 25s (ranks, whereabouts) & stats - http://www.britishtennis.net/stats.html

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