The usual early start to the thread now that the new rankings are out - I've put Group I in the name this time to remind us to start a new thread if we manage to get to the playoffs again.
GB have dropped one place to 17 after losing to Argentina, with them, Poland and Canada all moving ahead of us, while France and the Ukraine have dropped behind us. Yes that's right, we are now ahead of France!
For the second year in a row, three European teams lost in the World Group II playoffs, which means that having gone up from 15 teams to 16 last year, Euro/Africa Zone Group I will grow again, to 17 teams, in 2014. A pity really, since the number of teams is dependent on the number coming down from the playoffs, so more teams tends to mean more relatively strong teams.
As things stand (i.e. unless the order of the teams in the rankings changes between now and the end of the year), the seeding bands would be as follows:
Rk Team - all were in EAZ Group I last year unless otherwise stated
15 Belgium - relegated from World Group II 17 Great Britain - lost promotion play-off 21 Ukraine - relegated from World Group II 22 Belarus
26 Austria 27 Bulgaria 28 Croatia 30 Hungary
31 Portugal 32 Netherlands 33 Slovenia 35 Romania
36 Israel 38 Turkey 48 Luxembourg 58 Tunisia - promoted from EAZ Group II
63 Latvia - promoted from EAZ Group II
(there will be one pool of 5 next year, as there was in 2006, the last time there were 17 teams in Group I)
The teams that were in Group I last year but will not be returning in 2014 are Poland, who won promotion to World Group II, and Bosnia Hercegovina & Georgia, who both got relegated this year.
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
Looking at the countries, nothing much to fear in the group stages - most have one decent player and no back up. Just the top four seeding in the playoff match that may cause a problem.
You would worry about Belarus if Azarenka played singles and doubles
No one as good as Poland in 2014, but Belgium would probably be the toughest opposition. Much will depend on which players turn up for each country - a number of countries didn't have their top 2 playing in 2013 for one reason or another.
Yes, a year on, Croatia could be a bit of a handful. They gave Poland a bit of a fright this year.
I assume that the top 2 ranked teams would be seeded to avoid each other, so we would avoid Belgium if the rankings remain in that order.
A thread I was hoping not to have any reason to start too!
I can certainly imagine Croatia being the one the top 4 seeds are desperate to avoid in their pool ... and preferably in their 'half' of the draw too.
As you say, the tournament is effectively split into two even if it isn't that obvious and we should therefore avoid Belgium throughout, since a quick check suggests none of the relevant teams have points still to come off before the seedings are done and hence the order of these teams in the rankings shouldn't change between now and then.
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
With Anne K retiring, JoKo and Sam doing well in Winnapeg and Bally seeming to have gone missing? I have been thinking about the team selection for next year's Fed Cup. Obviously Hev and Laura are automatic choices (barring illness/injury). Then I suspect JoKo would be the next choice and finally it would appear that Tara is the favourite for the 4th spot at the moment. This may change of course during the course of the coming months, but if this is the final team then it would be the youngest GB Fed Cup team in a very long time (I believe) , with JoKo the eldest at the ripe old age of 22!! In fact, I may be wrong in this as I have not checked , but I suspect that it would be the youngest ever.
Bally was nearly back to her very best before her little break, so on that form would put her a smidgen ahead of JoKo. Assuming she is fine I would make her our number 3 just.
I agree if Tara keeps progressing she will put herself into contention even without any injuries etc.,