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Post Info TOPIC: GB Elite tennis: What's so special about Croatia and Serbia, and what can we learn?


Challenger level

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GB Elite tennis: What's so special about Croatia and Serbia, and what can we learn?


All of us are desperate to see GB success at the top table of international tennis, and many rightly talk about taking the learnings from Spain and France, who produce great players in large volumes.

But as Tony Blair might say, perhaps there is a "third way".

We've all been aware of both Croatia and Serbia for producing star tennis players for 10-20 years now. Ivanisevic, Ancic, Cilic, Majoli. Djokovic, Tipsarevic, Troicki, Ivanovic, Jankovic. Not bad!

But seeing the likes of Vekic, Konjuh, Coric for Croatia and Jorovic this week in Sunderland, it would appear that the conveyor belt of outstanding prospects continues.

I thought I'd do a quick stat and background check and see what it shows.

Croatia

Population. 4 million (yes, that's 1 million less than Scotland, less than 7% of the UK!)

Big ball/athletic sports. Football. Basketball. Handball. Tennis

Men. Top 100: 2; Top 250: 5; Top 1000: 18 (includes former top 10 player)

Boys. Top 20: 2; Top 100: 2; Top 250: 7 (includes world #4)

Women. Top 100: 2; Top 250: 7; Top 1000: 21 (includes youngest player in top 100)

Girls. Top 20: 1; Top 100: 2; Top 250: 4 (excludes Vekic, includes world #1)

Serbia

Population. 7 million (yes, that's 1 million less than Scotland & Wales combined; 12% of the UK!)

Big ball/athletic sports. Football. Basketball. Handball. Tennis. Water polo.

Men. Top 100: 3; Top 250: 5; Top 1000: 20 (includes 2 top 10 players, world #1 and multiple GS winner)

Boys. Top 20: 2; Top 100: 2; Top 250: 4 (includes world #2 and #5)

Women. Top 100: 4; Top 250: 5; Top 1000: 17 (includes 2 former wolrd #1s, and a GS winner)

Girls. Top 20: 0; Top 100: 2; Top 250: 4

UK

Population. 62 million

Big ball/athletic sports. Football. Rugby. Cricket. Hockey. Golf. Cycling. Athletics. Tennis

Men. Top 100: 1; Top 250: 3; Top 1000: 35 (includes world #3 and GS winner)

Boys. Top 20: 0; Top 100: 6; Top 250: 15

Women. Top 100: 2; Top 250: 6; Top 1000: 22

Girls. Top 20: 1; Top 100: 4; Top 250: 8

 

What's interesting is that Serbia and Croatia don't have the sheer numbers of players in the pro top 1000, or playing junior tennis than GB does. Considerably less in fact. With their tiny populations and limited financial resources, that makes complete sense. With France and Spain this would be very different, of course.

What's also interesting is that with their limited player numbers, Serbia and Croatia seem to have far more players proportionately at the pinnicle of the game, whether men, women or juniors. And the sheer number of world #1s between them is bewildering. I refuse to believe that the coaching and financial support set-up in GB is so much worse than in the Balkans, and GB is a famously sports mad country with a population which is 5 times Croatia and Serbia combined.

As previously stated, I believe that what this actually shows is that Croatia and Serbia attract an above average proportion of their countries' "mega athletes" to choose tennis as their sport, whereas GB (when you look at our population) must have attracted almost none over many many years. I genuinely believe that the LTA should be scouting for young talent at school football, rugby, athletics competitions, not at tennis clubs (where kids of tennis coaches, or people with tennis courts in their gardens tend to shine at a young age, and get pushed to the front of the queue). When Rafa and Nole are interviewed, and are asked if they hadn't been pro tennis players, what would they have been instead....they say pro footballer and pro downhill skier respectively. This is my point.....they would have excelled at other sports, and if they had been British, would almost certainly now be representing GB at another sport. Send the LTA to Serbia and Croatia and ask questions! 



-- Edited by korriban on Friday 22nd of March 2013 10:03:44 AM



-- Edited by korriban on Friday 22nd of March 2013 10:08:34 AM

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Tennis legend

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I think the most interesting point here is that I imagine so many of our top players have emerged through playing tennis in tennis clubs from a very young age and then the good ones picked up on and developed as well as they can be. But at the start that group is by nature essentially children of tennis orientated and / or pretty privileged parents, the tennis club fraternity.

It is no sort of cross-section of the nation's youngsters and on the whole very many really talented young ball players will barely ever see a tennis court or have anything much to draw them to the sport.

So, effectively we are really limiting ourselves and the tennis pool we start with is essentially not a talent piol , but a privilege pool. OK, there may be some genes passed down from some tennis parents, but that is essentially what we have.

Now with many starting at a young age, the better ones can be worked on and polished over many years and emerge as very decent tennis players. But in many ways, with this being a small subsection of the population and most not starting out because of inherent real sporting ability, it is in some ways luck if an absolute star emerges such as an Andy Murray, the son of a pro tennis player turned coach.

The big question is how do we attract the "mega athletes" in to at least give tennis a decent crack and from a fairly young age. Do the LTA for instance ever organise and run widely advertised and cheap / free open weekends aimed at attacting good young athletes with good coaches on hand and information as to how to progress an interest in tennis ? What do they do to try and engage and capture the mega athletes / ball players ?

With regards to Croatia and Serbia, whilst there will be many cultural and sporting differences there from the UK, it is worth finding out what talent identification programs they have and how their very top players got into tennis.

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County player

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Might I cause a shock by actually agreeing with someone?

But of course I said it first! sssssss

On 18 March 2010:

Ratty wrote:

The people who would have been our other top 100 tennis players are in the England cricket team. This is no joke, the skills of a batsman and a tennis player are very similar. 

 

and on 17 June 2011:

Ratty wrote:

The other issue is of course that's is much easier to make a living at cricket & rugby, the other "posh" sports. If Boggo had been the Brit no 2 in cricket, he would have been earning £millions pa for several years. 

Tennis is a pretty poor career choice in that sense, and it also tends to have a shorter time span as well - ie 10 years is probably the limit of most careers.


 



-- Edited by Ratty on Friday 22nd of March 2013 10:00:41 PM

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Futures qualifying

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Well, 10 minutes on the Croatia tennis site looking at their national competitions:

1. They have a national league with 3 divisions, promotion/relegation 8-10 teams in each division that play each other and then have play-offs/finals. Basically the way we run football. 

2. For individuals 2013 calendar has 29 U18 events, 46 U16 events, 83 U14 events, 89 U12 events. I can't make sense of the U10 and U8 calendars but I think they are regional competitions rather than national with one national 'masters' competition in each age group.

3. Like us, they rank their junior events grade 1 - 7 with like us only the national championships being grade 1.

4. They can produce a website that is easier to find information on through google translate than the LTA's is in its native language.


However, what seems to be the most obvious and significant difference is their junior events are spread fairly evenly at different grades throughout the whole year. If were willing to play across say 3 grades (like most juniors do at ITF level) and could travel around the country (it's only 250miles side-to-side), you could play every other week. More likely would be to play every month.

Our national/regional junior competitions run for 3 months in the summer and 3 months in the winter, with the winter competiions only have 4 weekends of events for each age group with an event at 6-10 locations nationwide each weekend. 




-- Edited by RBBOT on Friday 22nd of March 2013 11:26:26 PM

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But actually, is anything so special about Serbian tennis? On the men's side, it's just Djokovic, Tipsarevic & Troicki. That and Zimonjic are about it for the last 20 years.

OK, I agree that 4 is more than GB's 2 (Henman and Murray; Rusedski grew up as a Canadian). Let's think about possible explanations for this supposed "outperformance":

1. Is their development and coaching set-up better than ours? Unlikely, I'd have thought - many coaches with illustrious track-records have worked for the LTA.

2. Are Serbs intrinsically better at sport than Brits? Well, genes are a possibility - after all, one of the reasons for the lack of Indian and Chinese tennis players is that the average height in those countries is low - but on the whole it seems unlikely.

3. Do young sporty Serbs choose tennis over other sports? This is definitely a possibility, but their population is so small that I can't see this makes a lot of difference.

4. That leaves us with luck. Actually, to me this seems like the most likely explanation. The sample size is far too small to draw any kind of other meaningful interpretation from it.

I'm more and more convinced that (apart from luck and genes) the main predictor of a country's number of successful adults in a particular sport is no more than applying a tiny percentage to the number of young players. With a very technique-driven sport like tennis, starting early is an absolute must, and as Indiana has said, most British youngsters never really go on a tennis court.



-- Edited by Ratty on Saturday 23rd of March 2013 08:27:57 AM

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All-time great

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I tend to agree on the luck side. The most extreme example, to my mind, is women's tennis in the US. A fairly dedicated and iconoclastic father decides that his two little girls will be tennis players and starts to train them; they're good athletes and enjoy the game ... and "US tennis" gets two number 1s, 48 (if you count singles and doubles) GS titles, and a bunch of Olympic gold medals. But it has nothing whatsoever to do with "US tennis."

Also agree on the "numbers of players" side. I don't know if it's statistically significant, but there are more US women in the top 250 than there are men (25 to 20) ... 80% of whom were born (yes, really. I did need to count twice to be sure I was correct) after the Williams sisters began to find success. At a guess, as people have commented, if you have stars that make tennis look like something that's "cool" to do, people will do it. And the more that do ....

On the "institutions matter" side, one institution that I would suspect is making a diffference (globally, given the diversity of nationalities involved) is the university system in the US. Again, it's partially a numbers thing. That system's virtue is that it allows people who are good, but not yet quite good enough to go on Tour -- or not sure they are ... or with other priorities -- to continue playing seriously longer than they would otherwise be able to. The result is that some of the later developers, who might have given up at 18 before they were at a point where they could play professionally, actually both get an education and "make it" as Tour players.

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Some fair points re luck.

Clearly though far from all success that various nations have achieved in tennis is down to luck. And one should always be on the lookout to see if there is anything one can learn without waiting for more evidence regarding say how many successful Serbs is statistically significant.

It could be a coincidental collection of individual circumstances, then again...


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Sim


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Firstly I have enjoyed following this forum for some time - it is great to be able to follow the exploits of all the British tennis players who don't get any press coverage.

I feel it is more than the population or just luck, the priority that sport is given to children and of course the facilities which are very important. We moved to Pittsburgh in the USA 18 months ago and although I was aware of the higher profile of school and college sports here it is not until you live here that you realize just what a different level youth sport generally is here compared to the UK. When I was at school in England we were lucky to get 10 spectators to a match who weren't parents, here the high school (American) football matches regularly draw crowds of more than 1,000 with perhaps 10 times that for championship matches, and a even a recent championship basketball match got 3,000.

The range of sports played at schools is far wider than in the UK, and every high school round here has a tennis team. If you are good at one sport then it appears to be encouraged to try a different one. Getting into the school team has high status, and the commitment levels are high too- my daughter tried out for the high school soccer team and they had training 4 days a week for several weeks followed by a 3 day try-out - when she was in England it was a case of if you had boots then you were in the school team, and 1 practice a week for those who could be bothered to turn-up. There is a law (not sure whether at state or national level) that ensures that all schools and colleges have to give equal opportunities to girls in sports, and not surprisingly the outcome is far higher level of participation in sports by girls which I am sure has lead to the success of the US women in sports.

The college system with sports scholarships is a big driver too, so kids are encouraged to keep going at sports if they show promise in the hope that they can get a full or partial scholarship. The profile of sports at college is huge - the football coach will earn more than the chancellor.

Thirdly the facilities - the school sports facilities are shared with the public so we have 6 outdoor tennis courts 1 mile from our house which are open 9 months of the year and I know of 2 more sets of courts within 5 miles, plus 2 indoor complexes both 20-30 minutes drive away. So you can spend $30 for a basic racket and play for free outside to see if you like it.

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Welcome Sim, an interesting read, the college sports scene seems to bare no comparrison to ours.

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I absolutely agree with Ratty that dragging huge numbers of kids onto tennis courts who have never played before, and who in today's world would probably never step onto a court in their lives is critical...........I would focus on the young sporty athletes who we know are unlikely to have tried tennis, which means big cities, poorer sections of society, and lots of subsidies and free coaching/equipment.......it's the Gael Monfils type of kid that the FTF is able to attract in France, but we singularly fail to in GB.

But I don't think its just this, I think there is a danger that the review and appraisal process could also be self-fulfilling....especially if there is a certain amount of "closed shop" mentality.

In what is a very technical sport, a rather expensive sport, and one which historically has been very middle-class and "tennis family" dominated in GB, there is a real danger that the "best" young players almost exclusively come from identikit backgrounds............

........how can a very average young child athlete (10 and under), coached to within an inch of their life from a very young age, often from a tennis obsessed or tennis coach family, perhaps knowing all the right people, and for some even with access to a tennis court at home......fail to play tennis better than other superb young athletes who may barely have played before, and only have access to average coaches. Which is rather helpful when being tested and assessed. If those "lucky" kids then make up the majority of places on GB training and funding squads (plus also getting first dibs on public school tennis scholarships to Reeds, Epsom, St George's etc), it reinforces the problem.

I'm probably about to be very unfair here, but I would almost certainly fall into the middle class bracket myself, so I can have a little latitude. I accept there may be huge concidences here, and that there may be superstars amongst them, but there are lots of names like Joshua, Daniel and Oliver among the pro and junior GB men's ranks, and plenty of names like Katie, Lucy, Molly, Emily and Pippa on the womens/girls side. I'm sure if I looked hard I'd find some Tilly's, India's and Holly's too. How many of them are genuine athletes vs how many have been playing tennis from kindergarden - and how many are competing in nationals and getting funding? 

When the type of names we see making up the bulk of GB youth tennis funding spots has changed, THEN we will know something has genuinely changed at the heart of British tennis.



-- Edited by korriban on Monday 25th of March 2013 09:52:36 AM

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Improver

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I just had to reply to this. I am a parent of a child who all of you are aware of on this forum.

I just don't agree that the types of names matter - it's the hunger and desire of the child and the support of the parent that matters. I might classify us as middle class and my family income has been well above average but what is more important is my child's desire to succeed. From an early age we reiterated that this was a long journey and we placed little emphasis on short term results. We tried to encourage enjoyment - which isn't always easy given that this is a gladiatorial sport.

We will never get away from the fact that sport in school in this country has been on the decline for many years and frankly if there is any sport left in some schools it rarely includes tennis. It's football usually - that's where all the big story money has ended up ie via Sky sponsorship etc. Tennis is not as popular as football and it never will be. The public just aren't really that interested in tennis. I have travelled to UK tournaments where children and young men are playing world level tennis (for their age etc) and there are just no spectators.

The biggest cost for us was never the courts and frankly it wasn't the coaching, it was the travel and hotel costs. We started off playing local tournaments but of course as your child improves the tournaments get further away until you are travelling from one end of the country to the other on a regular basis. As your child continues improving, travelling abroad becomes a necessity which costs a small fortune - this is when the help of the LTA becomes paramount. Until this point the costs can be as much as £1,000 per month in travel, hotel, coaching, clothing, shoes, racquets etc. 

I can also tell you, because there are many conspiracy theorists on the forum, that the LTA have been excellent and they hardly ever meddle in programs and tournament schedules.

I can't comment on how well they are doing with building a wider base but at a performance level they are very professional. We were at grassroots so I know how hard and expensive the road can be. Building a load more courts is not the way in my opinion to changing British Tennis.



-- Edited by tennischildandbroke on Monday 25th of March 2013 01:41:43 PM

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If the standard of tennis locally and elsewhere within this country was such that you didn't need to travel abroad to find a high standard opponent, wouldn't that be an improvement? If so, then I can see a large increase in available courts would be of benefit.

Maybe the not the complete answer, but surely the bigger the base the higher the peak.



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Improver

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The point is, we never had a shortage of courts or court time. There are courts available and they are not currently used enough in my view.



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tennischildandbroke wrote:

The point is, we never had a shortage of courts or court time. There are courts available and they are not currently used enough in my view.


 But most people will not know where they are.  Tennis in this country needs to drag people in.  Promote the hell out of it.  Competitions, freebies, get famous players to come a couple of times a year.  

 The aim of British Tennis should be that every child in this country has tried this fantastic game.  Until then we have failed and every slam win or final from Andy is just a sticking plaster.  

 We cannot just rely on such a small base in perpetuity.  This isn't a criticism of yourself tcab, it is just a case of saying that things are broken and perhaps always have been and must be fixed.



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When we were members of the local David Lloyd club, there were plenty of courts (and usually the outside courts were available most of the time). However, we stopped as 1) we could no longer spare the £150pm family membership, and 2) We couldn't afford the cost of coaching.

Most local junior football clubs are run by volunteers and most of the coaches give up their time to coach the kids. I'm involved in a local athletics club and similarly most of the coaches are volunteers. How may tennis coaches would be willing to coach younsters for free?

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