This tournament is certainly a top junior fest! Not just our boys, but top current/recent junior Americans, French and Japanese too.
Form and history would give slight advantage for Kyle, but Luke clearly also playing well, and indeed all 3 boys seem to be on form, very motivated, desperate to play matches and benefitting from each others' company/competition.
Whoever wins, most likely opponent would be a Japanese junior, Nishioka who has only just turned 17, yet has a ranking in the 600s with a Futures Final already under his belt. That would be a great match to see.
Meanwhile, over in Brazil, the 16 year old Italian Quinzi has reached the semi finals of a futures event too. Could well be the best of the lot.....I'd need to look at Tomic's history (not convinced that he will turn out well - EDIT sorry Bernard, you actually won a Challenger at 16!), but I believe you have to go back to Nadal, Djokovic and Murray for boys aged 16 actually winning futures, and then at 17 winning multiple futures and challengers (and with Nadal) ATPs and Slams.
-- Edited by korriban on Friday 26th of October 2012 10:15:25 AM
Kyle wins 8 of the last 9 games to reach his first Futures singles semi-final:
QF: Kyle Edmund WR 805 beat Luke Bambridge WR 972 by 5 & 1
SF: Kyle Edmund WR 805 v (WC) Mitchell Krueger (USA) WR 895 (= CH)
Krueger was world junior no. 5 in January. Junior H2H is 1-1 - Kyle won 6-1 in the 3rd at last year's junior US Open, while Krueger won 10-8 in the 3rd at junior Wimbledon this year.
-- Edited by steven on Friday 26th of October 2012 06:29:29 PM
__________________
GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
This tournament is certainly a top junior fest! Not just our boys, but top current/recent junior Americans, French and Japanese too.
Form and history would give slight advantage for Kyle, but Luke clearly also playing well, and indeed all 3 boys seem to be on form, very motivated, desperate to play matches and benefitting from each others' company/competition.
Whoever wins, most likely opponent would be a Japanese junior, Nishioka who has only just turned 17, yet has a ranking in the 600s with a Futures Final already under his belt. That would be a great match to see.
Meanwhile, over in Brazil, the 16 year old Italian Quinzi has reached the semi finals of a futures event too. Could well be the best of the lot.....I'd need to look at Tomic's history (not convinced that he will turn out well - EDIT sorry Bernard, you actually won a Challenger at 16!), but I believe you have to go back to Nadal, Djokovic and Murray for boys aged 16 actually winning futures, and then at 17 winning multiple futures and challengers (and with Nadal) ATPs and Slams.
-- Edited by korriban on Friday 26th of October 2012 10:15:25 AM
Cue for some stats!
16 (or less) year old that have won Futures/Satellites/Challengers since 2002
Tournaments won
When
Yuki Bhambri
IND
3
2009
Bernard Tomic
AUS
1
2009
(1 challenger)
Chase Buchanan
USA
1
2008
Gastao Elias
POR
1
2007
Marius Copil
ROU
1
2007
Rhyne Williams
USA
1
2007
Ricardas Berankis
LTU
1
2007
Kei Nishikori
JPN
1
2006
Marin Cilic
CRO
1
2005
Juan Martin Del Potro
ARG
3
2005
Evgeny Korolev
KAZ
2
2004
Novak Djokovic
SRB
3
2003-04
(1 challenger)
Andy Murray
GBR
1
2003
Mischa Zverev
GER
1
2003
Richard Gasquet
FRA
6
2002-03
(3 challengers at 16 & 3 Fut/Sat at 15!)
Rafael Nadal
ESP
7
2002-03
(1 challenger)
Lleyton Hewitt, Michael Chang & Aaron Krickstein (twice) won ATP tournaments aged 16.
This tournament is certainly a top junior fest! Not just our boys, but top current/recent junior Americans, French and Japanese too.
Form and history would give slight advantage for Kyle, but Luke clearly also playing well, and indeed all 3 boys seem to be on form, very motivated, desperate to play matches and benefitting from each others' company/competition.
Whoever wins, most likely opponent would be a Japanese junior, Nishioka who has only just turned 17, yet has a ranking in the 600s with a Futures Final already under his belt. That would be a great match to see.
Meanwhile, over in Brazil, the 16 year old Italian Quinzi has reached the semi finals of a futures event too. Could well be the best of the lot.....I'd need to look at Tomic's history (not convinced that he will turn out well - EDIT sorry Bernard, you actually won a Challenger at 16!), but I believe you have to go back to Nadal, Djokovic and Murray for boys aged 16 actually winning futures, and then at 17 winning multiple futures and challengers (and with Nadal) ATPs and Slams.
-- Edited by korriban on Friday 26th of October 2012 10:15:25 AM
Cue for some stats!
16 (or less) year old that have won Futures/Satellites/Challengers since 2002
Tournaments won
When
Yuki Bhambri
IND
3
2009
Bernard Tomic
AUS
1
2009
(1 challenger)
Chase Buchanan
USA
1
2008
Gastao Elias
POR
1
2007
Marius Copil
ROU
1
2007
Rhyne Williams
USA
1
2007
Ricardas Berankis
LTU
1
2007
Kei Nishikori
JPN
1
2006
Marin Cilic
CRO
1
2005
Juan Martin Del Potro
ARG
3
2005
Evgeny Korolev
KAZ
2
2004
Novak Djokovic
SRB
3
2003-04
(1 challenger)
Andy Murray
GBR
1
2003
Mischa Zverev
GER
1
2003
Richard Gasquet
FRA
6
2002-03
(3 challengers at 16 & 3 Fut/Sat at 15!)
Rafael Nadal
ESP
7
2002-03
(1 challenger)
Lleyton Hewitt, Michael Chang & Aaron Krickstein (twice) won ATP tournaments aged 16.
Wow! Thank you for doing this...it's brilliant! Just proves how dangerous a little knowledge is - many more young champs than I had imagined, but still a really select group, so I'm now watching Quinzi even more closely now and hope he joins them!
1. Not a bad indicator for who has or is likely to make top 10. Murray, Nadal, Djokovic are all there. A few surprises too....Zverev, Copil, Buchanan
2. What's also really interesting is how the tournament wins have all but dried up since 2009. Increasing power in the game (training, equipment, etc), a few years of "relatively" late developers, or just no real stars emerging.
3. Bhambri. He's top 200 now and starting to get noticed, but there really hasn't been much fanfare to my mind. Is he regarded as a Nishikori (wait and he'll get there) or a Zverev (never happened).
4. Richard Gasquet.....oh. what could have been!! My wife is French and to say he's been a let down, doesn't do it!!!
16 (or less) year old that have won Futures/Satellites/Challengers since 2002
Tournaments won
When
Yuki Bhambri
IND
3
2009
Bernard Tomic
AUS
1
2009
(1 challenger)
Chase Buchanan
USA
1
2008
Gastao Elias
POR
1
2007
Marius Copil
ROU
1
2007
Rhyne Williams
USA
1
2007
Ricardas Berankis
LTU
1
2007
Kei Nishikori
JPN
1
2006
Marin Cilic
CRO
1
2005
Juan Martin Del Potro
ARG
3
2005
Evgeny Korolev
KAZ
2
2004
Novak Djokovic
SRB
3
2003-04
(1 challenger)
Andy Murray
GBR
1
2003
Mischa Zverev
GER
1
2003
Richard Gasquet
FRA
6
2002-03
(3 challengers at 16 & 3 Fut/Sat at 15!)
Rafael Nadal
ESP
7
2002-03
(1 challenger)
Lleyton Hewitt, Michael Chang & Aaron Krickstein (twice) won ATP tournaments aged 16.
Wow! Thank you for doing this...it's brilliant! Just proves how dangerous a little knowledge is - many more young champs than I had imagined, but still a really select group, so I'm now watching Quinzi even more closely now and hope he joins them!
1. Not a bad indicator for who has or is likely to make top 10. Murray, Nadal, Djokovic are all there. A few surprises too....Zverev, Copil, Buchanan
2. What's also really interesting is how the tournament wins have all but dried up since 2009. Increasing power in the game (training, equipment, etc), a few years of "relatively" late developers, or just no real stars emerging.
3. Bhambri. He's top 200 now and starting to get noticed, but there really hasn't been much fanfare to my mind. Is he regarded as a Nishikori (wait and he'll get there) or a Zverev (never happened).
4. Richard Gasquet.....oh. what could have been!! My wife is French and to say he's been a let down, doesn't do it!!!
Thanks again
Thanks also (to Akhenaten) for the stats. The second question is a good one, which I don't know the answer to either. Regarding the third point Bhambri was very much part of the strong 1992 junior presence of TOmic, Harrison, Bhambri and Krajinovic - and I expected more from him at that time. In retrospect it appears that the multiple Futures titles were won in fairly weak home events, and his current ranking is highly dependent on 1 tournament (he won an Uzbek challenger), so he is some way away from top 100 level. I wouldn't dismiss Zverev, even though he hasn't reached the heights, given that he has at least had 4 years in the top 100.
Meanwhile Kyle is running away with this at 7-5 5-1*
Looks like a comfortable win for Kyle - in the end. I doubt that clay is his best surface either. I would say he has a style more suited to the faster courts.