Berlocq is obviously known for his clay court play, but he usualy fails when playing on the european courts. I don't really know what that happens, but his results this year clearly show it. Last week he didn't pla good tennis at all in Umag, where he advanced a pair of rounds against way worse players and with a lot of difficulties.
Gilles Simon is surely greatly motivated for this game. Not only does he try to win every tournament he plays, but he already won this one last year and therefore is defending a lot of points here, and I expect him to easily win against Berlocq.
Odds on Pinnacle have been increasing a lot, and I think they are too high right now. Betting on Gilles Simon is definetely the right option. Berlocq won the two last encounters, but they were in America and the french had no motivation there, other than money...