Elena Baltacha: 70
Anne Keothavong: 105
Heather Watson: 80
Laura Robson: 65
Naomi Broady: 180
Emily Webley-Smith: 320
Tara Moore: 265
Melanie South: 270
Samantha Murray: 320
Anna Fitzpatrick: 340

Elena Baltacha: 72
Anne Keothavong: 74
Heather Watson: 65
Laura Robson: 60
Naomi Broady: 160
Emily Webley-Smith: 240
Tara Moore: 275
Melanie South: 290
Samantha Murray: 340
Anna Fitzpatrick: 345

Last year when at the end of March we ran a thread predicting the end of year British no 1,  just about everyone said either Bally or Hev with Bally just having most votes  ( Elena  21, Heather 18, Anne 1, Laura 1 )

This time, just going by our predictions here, Laura and Anne have more of a lookin based on the 32 in this contest, with the GB rankings effectively given by folk as follows :

1.  Elena  :      1st :  14,  2nd :  10,  3rd :   6,   4th :   2

2.  Heather :   1st :  10,  2nd :   9,   3rd :  11,  4th :   2

3.  Laura :       1st :    5,  2nd :   8.   3rd :   7,   4th :  12

4.  Anne :        1st :    3,  2nd :   6,   3rd :   7,   4th :  16 

RBBOT wrote:

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I'm not surprised - a good first round draw in the big tournaments helps a lot at the rankings range our top 4 are at, and last year Bally and Anne had amazing luck, whilst Heather and Laura, well, didn't. Bally didn't face a single seed in a WTA tour/Grand Slam first round until October. I just counted the average ranks of the first round main draw opponents in big tournaments from the four of them:

Name	GS	PremM	Prem5	Prem	220K	100K	Average	Average GS/M/5
Bally	130	70	81	90	129	189	123	100
Anne	145			103	171	193	163	145
Heather	69	57	76	50	127	154	99	68
Laura	62	35	59		154		88	55

Even with no change in relative skill between them, you would expect the gap to close simply based on an anticipating a more even draw. I knew this about Bally when I did my prediction, but hand realised it also applied to Anne; I wish I did this last week ;)

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Great stats - that table needs to be shown to anyone who thinks the luck of the draw events out over a year! I hadn't realised Anne had been even luckier than Bally with R1 draws - and at every level too.

Of course, this is more of an issue in WTA where the points for R1 wins in the biggest tournaments are high relative to the points for winning R2, etc.