Week 21 - Roland Garros women's main draw

steven · Tennis legend

RE: Week 21 - Roland Garros women's main draw

LordBrownof · Futures level

Sloane is definite banana skin for Bally, playing some really good tennis and improving all the time.

Great draw for Heather though!

Jajon · Strong Club Player

Hope Heather can get on a court which has some sort of cameras on it, the bbc have been following her all week and did a piece with her before the qualies, plus she is playing a french woman!

philwrig · Hall of fame

Foretz though is in good form at the moment, having qualified and reached the second round of Strasbourg. I would have to make her marginal favourite to beat Hev, also being on home soil.

Sloane has been impressive in qualies, is playing on her best surface and is on the upgrade, so will be tough for Bally even if fully fit.

RBBOT · Futures qualifying

Sloane is pretty good on clay. She won the Trofeo Bonfiglio in 2009 (beating Laura Robson on the way), won a $50K on clay last week and beat Oudin in Estoril after qualifying in April.

indiana · Tennis legend

tony_orient wrote:
Three players in the draw and three 1st round oppononts ranked outside the top 100.

Can't ask for much more than that

I have to agree with you here, Tony. Yes, each opponent has some real merits and dangers that can be pointed to but overall for a French Open Main Draw 1st Round this is a tremendous draw and has to be seen as such.

We could not have really envisaged having such a good chance of getting at least one player through to R2.

I'll say right now that I consider Elena and Heather as favourites for their matches.

-- Edited by indiana on Friday 20th of May 2011 03:40:23 PM

tony_orient · ATP qualifying

indiana wrote:
tony_orient wrote:
Three players in the draw and three 1st round oppononts ranked outside the top 100.

Can't ask for much more than that

I have to agree with you here, Tony. Yes, each opponent has some real merits and dangers that can be pointed to but overall for a French Open Main Draw 1st Round this is a tremendous draw and has to be seen as such.
We could not have really envisaged having such a good chance of getting at least one player through to R2.
I'll say right now that I consider Elena and Heather as favourites for their matches.

-- Edited by indiana on Friday 20th of May 2011 03:40:23 PM

I agree that both Elena and Heather are marginal favourites to win whilst Anne will be a marginal second favourite.

I think it's worth clarifying the distinction between my stating that this is an excellent draw and saying that we should expect two or three victories. The fact is that the opponents to all 3 British girls also have what they would consider good first round draws.

It is a cliche but also true that there are no easy draws in a grand slam but you can't get much better than three draws offering a genuine chance of victory.

RBBOT · Futures qualifying

So how many tournaments do you think Heather will need to win before the headline writers get bored with lame Sherlock Holmes puns?

steven · Tennis legend

tony_orient wrote:
indiana wrote:
tony_orient wrote:
Three players in the draw and three 1st round oppononts ranked outside the top 100.

Can't ask for much more than that

I have to agree with you here, Tony. Yes, each opponent has some real merits and dangers that can be pointed to but overall for a French Open Main Draw 1st Round this is a tremendous draw and has to be seen as such.
We could not have really envisaged having such a good chance of getting at least one player through to R2.
I'll say right now that I consider Elena and Heather as favourites for their matches.

I agree that both Elena and Heather are marginal favourites to win whilst Anne will be a marginal second favourite.

I would agree with that but the bookies don't fancy Elena's chances very much - the probability of each of them winning based on the bookies odds is currently:

52% Hev

42% Anne

32% Elena

Or in other words:

7% chance of all 3 winning

31% chance of 2 winning (38% for at least 2)

43% chance of 1 winning (81% for at least 1)

19% chance of all 3 losing

-- Edited by steven on Saturday 21st of May 2011 11:14:15 AM

philwrig · Hall of fame

Bally's odds wrong IMO, and I expect they will see some serious cash at those odds, assuming of course she is 100% fit.

tony_orient · ATP qualifying

I'm certainly tempted by the 7/4 on offer for Bally, though the bookies rarely get it wrong so maybe they know something we don't

Madeline · Admin:Moderator + Tennis Legend

RBBOT wrote:
So how many tournaments do you think Heather will need to win before the headline writers get bored with lame Sherlock Holmes puns?

I don't think we, on this site, have any room to complain of other people's puns!

RBBOT · Futures qualifying

We do when they are that obvious - ours have a little more class.

Regarding the odds, I'm inclined to agree with bookies on all counts.

indiana · Tennis legend

Must admit the more I look Sloane Stephen's recent record and commanding wins on clay I am coming round to view that she is favourite vs Bally.

I do hope though that it instead goes with my initial thoughts.

I do still see Heather as a marginal favourite in her match and Anne as outsider in hers.

tony_orient · ATP qualifying

From her BBC sport column (http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/tennis/13396398.stm) it's clear that Bally considers herself favourite for the first round match. That's good enough for me to maintain my initial assessment.